Etincelles vs Police — National Soccer League
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Etincelles and Police meet in the National Soccer League 2026 season on 8 December 2026. Etincelles have recorded 2 wins from 6 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 0% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 17%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Police have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 0.43 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 14%, Over 2.5 at 14%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.78 for Etincelles and 0.85 for Police. The models give Etincelles a 34% win probability, with a draw at 33% and an Police win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 22% and BTTS at 31%.
Season Statistics
EtincellesPoliceHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Etincelles | Home | Away | Police | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 33% | 25% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 67% | 75% | 50% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Etincelles | Home | Away | Police | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Etincelles | Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 | 17% | 14% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Etincelles | Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 86% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 17% | 14% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 17% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 29% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Etincelles (H)
APR0–2
Marines0–4
Musanze1–0
Sunrise0–0
Al Hilal Omdurman2–1
Amagaju0–0Police (A)Musanze0–2Sunrise0–1
Mukura1–0
Gasogi United1–0Musanze0–0Mukura0–0Head to Head · 15 matches
EtincellesPoliceEtincellesPoliceEtincellesPolicePoliceEtincellesPoliceEtincellesPoliceEtincellesPoliceEtincellesPolice| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mukura | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Gorilla | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 3 | Marines | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 |  Gicumbi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 5 | Musanze | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Sunrise | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 | APR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Rayon Sports | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | Amagaju | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Kiyovu Sports | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | Police | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Gasogi United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 |  Bugesera | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 15 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 16 |  Al Merreikh | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 17 |  AS Kigali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 |  Etoile de l'Est | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
Team Insights
Etincelles- ●Etincelles have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Etincelles have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Etincelles have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●75% of Etincelles's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Police- ●Police have lost their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
EtincellesAPR0–2Marines0–4Bugesera0–2Musanze1–0Gorilla1–0Sunrise0–0Kiyovu Sports04/11AS Kigali23/11Gasogi United28/11PoliceBugesera1–0Al Merreikh0–1Musanze0–2Gorilla0–0Sunrise0–1Mukura1–0Marines05/11Al Hilal Omdurman20/11APR28/11Top Scorers
EtincellesPoliceCards Given
EtincellesPolice