MatchPulse

Sunrise vs Bugesera — National Soccer League

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Sunrise
Sunrise
10º · 1.13 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 37d 0h
vs
–
–
Bugesera
Bugesera
8º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
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Sunrise and Bugesera meet in the National Soccer League 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Sunrise have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 0.63 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 13%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Bugesera have won 50% of their 6 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 17%, Over 2.5 at 17%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.96 for Sunrise and 0.76 for Bugesera. The models give Sunrise a 41% win probability, with a draw at 32% and an Bugesera win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 24% and BTTS at 33%.

Season Statistics

Sunrise
—
Bugesera
10º
Position
8º
1.13
PPG
1.50
13%
Win %
50%
0.63
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.67
50%
BTTS %
17%
38%
Clean sheet %
33%
13%
Over 2.5 %
17%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Sunrise
Home (4)
—
Bugesera
Away (3)
1.50
PPG
1.00
25%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
0.67
0.75
Conceded / game
0.67
75%
BTTS %
0%
25%
Clean sheet %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

SunriseHomeAwayBugeseraHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored63%100%25%50%67%33%
Over 1.5 Scored0%0%0%50%67%33%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%0%0%0%
Failed To Score38%0%75%50%33%67%

Goals Conceded

SunriseHomeAwayBugeseraHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded63%75%50%67%67%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded13%0%25%0%0%0%
Over 2.5 Conceded13%0%25%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets38%25%50%33%33%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

SunriseBugesera
Over 0.575%100%
Over 1.563%50%
Over 2.513%17%
Over 3.513%0%
Over 4.50%0%
BTTS50%17%
BTTS & Win0%17%
BTTS & Draw50%0%
BTTS & Over 2.50%17%
BTTS No & Over 2.513%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

SunriseBugesera
Win 1st Half13%33%
Draw 1st Half75%50%
Loss 1st Half13%17%
Scored 1st Half38%33%
Conceded 1st Half38%33%
Win 2nd Half25%33%
Draw 2nd Half50%33%
Loss 2nd Half25%33%
Scored 2nd Half25%33%
Conceded 2nd Half25%33%
Over 0.5 HT50%50%
Over 1.5 HT25%17%

Recent Venue Form

Sunrise (H)
DAl Merreikh1–1
DEtoile de l'Est1–1
DGasogi United1–1
WPolice1–0
WMarines3–1
WGorilla2–1
Bugesera (A)
LPolice0–1
WGasogi United2–0
LKiyovu Sports0–1
WRutsiro2–0
LRayon Sports0–2
DMukura2–2

Head to Head · 7 matches

3
Sunrise
43%
3
Draws
43%
1
Bugesera
14%
57%
Over 1.5
4/7
14%
Over 2.5
1/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
43%
BTTS
3/7
03/02/24
Bugesera
0–2
Sunrise
16/09/23
Sunrise
1–0
Bugesera
22/01/23
Bugesera
1–1
Sunrise
26/11/22
Sunrise
1–0
Bugesera
04/12/19
Sunrise
2–2
Bugesera
05/03/19
Sunrise
0–1
Bugesera
04/11/18
Bugesera
1–1
Sunrise
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Marines8422+714
2Gicumbi7412+213
3Mukura7331+312
4Gorilla8332+112
5Al Hilal Omdurman5311+210
6Kiyovu Sports6312+210
7Al Merreikh5230+49
8Bugesera6303+29
9Musanze7304-29
10Sunrise8161-39
11Rayon Sports5221+38
12APR3210+47
13Amagaju821507
14Etoile de l'Est8143-47
15Police8215-47
16Gasogi United8143-57
17Etincelles7214-77
18AS Kigali6123-55

Team Insights

Sunrise
  • ●Sunrise have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Sunrise have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Sunrise have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Bugesera

—

DHAl Merreikh7º1–1
DAGicumbi2º0–0
DHEtoile de l'Est14º1–1
LAAmagaju13º0–4
DHGasogi United16º1–1
WHPolice15º1–0
DARayon Sports11º1–1
DAEtincelles17º0–0
WHMarines11º3–1
LAAmagaju8º0–1
WHAmagaju13º2–1
LAPolice15º0–1
WAGasogi United16º2–0
WHEtincelles17º2–0
LAKiyovu Sports6º0–1
WARutsiro18º2–0
LARayon Sports4º0–2
DAMukura7º2–2
LAGicumbi12º1–2

Season Schedule

Sunrise
DHAl Merreikh1–1
DAGicumbi0–0
DHEtoile de l'Est1–1
LAAmagaju0–4
DHGasogi United1–1
WHPolice1–0
–AMukura22/11
–AAS Kigali29/11
–HGorilla06/12
Bugesera
LHAl Hilal Omdurman0–1
WHAmagaju2–1
LAPolice0–1
WAGasogi United2–0
WHEtincelles2–0
LAKiyovu Sports0–1
–AEtoile de l'Est20/11
–HGicumbi28/11
–AAl Merreikh06/12

Top Scorers

Sunrise
K. D. Ikpo2 ⚽
D. Ntibazonkiza1 ⚽
H. Kitegenyi1 ⚽
J. P. Nzeyimana1 ⚽
Bugesera
D. Nshimirimana2 ⚽
E. Kwizera1 ⚽
L. Ndabitezimana1 ⚽
N. Akpesiri1 ⚽

Cards Given

Sunrise
J. Nzeyimana1 🟨
Bugesera