USV Iaşi vs Aerostar Bacau — Liga III - Serie 1
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USV Iaşi and Aerostar Bacau meet in the Liga III - Serie 1 2026 season on 24 October 2026. USV Iaşi have recorded 8 wins from 11 matches this season (73% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Aerostar Bacau have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for USV Iaşi and 1.02 for Aerostar Bacau. The models give USV Iaşi a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Aerostar Bacau win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
USV IaşiAerostar BacauHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| USV Iaşi | Home | Away | Aerostar Bacau | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 43% | 75% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| USV Iaşi | Home | Away | Aerostar Bacau | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 43% | 75% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 14% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 57% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| USV Iaşi | Aerostar Bacau | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS | 55% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| USV Iaşi | Aerostar Bacau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 73% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 88% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
USV Iaşi (H)
Gheorgheni2–0
FC Bacău II2–1
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ1–0
Târgu Secuiesc2–1
Sporting Lieşti1–2
Cetatea Suceava1–0Aerostar Bacau (A)Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ3–0
Odorheiu Secuiesc0–2
CSM FC Vaslui0–3
CSM Adjud0–1Odorheiu Secuiesc2–6CSM Adjud3–2Head to Head · 3 matches
Aerostar BacauAerostar BacauUSV Iaşi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM FC Vaslui | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 | USV Iaşi | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 | CSM Adjud | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 4 | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | FC Bacău II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 6 | Aerostar Bacau | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Târgu Secuiesc | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Bradul Putna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 | Gheorgheni | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Viitorul Onesti | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 |  Paşcani | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 1 |
| 12 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
USV Iaşi- ●USV Iaşi have won their last 4 matches.
- ●USV Iaşi have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●USV Iaşi have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●USV Iaşi have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●78% of USV Iaşi's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of USV Iaşi's points have been earned at home.
- ●USV Iaşi have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Aerostar Bacau- ●Aerostar Bacau have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●63% of Aerostar Bacau's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Aerostar Bacau's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
USV IaşiGheorgheni2–0CSM Adjud2–1FC Bacău II2–1Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ1–0Viitorul Onesti0–0Târgu Secuiesc2–1CSM FC Vaslui03/10Bradul Putna10/10Odorheiu Secuiesc16/10Aerostar BacauCeahlăul Piatra Neamţ3–0Odorheiu Secuiesc0–2Bradul Putna3–1CSM FC Vaslui0–3Gheorgheni2–1CSM Adjud0–1Paşcani02/10Târgu Secuiesc10/10Viitorul Onesti16/10Top Scorers
USV IaşiAerostar BacauCards Given
USV IaşiAerostar Bacau