Aerostar Bacau vs CSM Adjud — Liga III - Serie 1
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Aerostar Bacau and CSM Adjud meet in the Liga III - Serie 1 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Aerostar Bacau have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. CSM Adjud have won 64% of their 11 matches, with 2.36 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.84 for Aerostar Bacau and 1.62 for CSM Adjud. The models give Aerostar Bacau a 41% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an CSM Adjud win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Aerostar BacauCSM AdjudHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Aerostar Bacau | Home | Away | CSM Adjud | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 80% | 20% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 80% | 20% | 73% | 57% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 60% | 20% | 27% | 14% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 20% | 80% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Aerostar Bacau | Home | Away | CSM Adjud | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% | 73% | 86% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 0% | 60% | 27% | 43% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 40% | 9% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 27% | 14% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aerostar Bacau | CSM Adjud | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 27% |
| BTTS | 30% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 40% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aerostar Bacau | CSM Adjud | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 73% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 10% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 91% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 80% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Aerostar Bacau (H)
Paşcani5–0
Bradul Putna3–1
Gheorgheni2–1
Viitorul Onesti0–1
CSM FC Vaslui3–1
Bucovina Rădăuţi2–1CSM Adjud (A)
FC Bacău II6–0Viitorul Onesti2–1Paşcani2–1
Râmnicu Sărat3–0FC Bacău II2–1Gheorgheni4–0Head to Head · 6 matches
Aerostar BacauAerostar BacauAerostar BacauCSM AdjudAerostar BacauCSM Adjud| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM FC Vaslui | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 | CSM Adjud | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 3 |  USV Iaşi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 4 |  Târgu Secuiesc | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 5 | Bradul Putna | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 |  Odorheiu Secuiesc | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Aerostar Bacau | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | FC Bacău II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Gheorgheni | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Viitorul Onesti | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 |  Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 3 |
| 12 | Paşcani | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 2 |
Team Insights
Aerostar Bacau- ●Aerostar Bacau have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Aerostar Bacau failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Aerostar Bacau have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●77% of Aerostar Bacau's goals have been scored at home.
- ●82% of Aerostar Bacau's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Aerostar Bacau's points have been earned at home.
CSM Adjud- ●CSM Adjud have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●CSM Adjud have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●CSM Adjud have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●CSM Adjud have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●CSM Adjud have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●CSM Adjud failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of CSM Adjud's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Aerostar BacauTârgu Secuiesc0–3Paşcani5–0Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ3–0Odorheiu Secuiesc0–2Bradul Putna3–1CSM FC Vaslui0–3Viitorul Onesti16/10USV Iaşi24/10FC Bacău II30/10CSM AdjudGheorgheni4–1Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ1–1FC Bacău II6–0USV Iaşi1–2Viitorul Onesti2–1Târgu Secuiesc2–2CSM FC Vaslui17/10Bradul Putna24/10Odorheiu Secuiesc30/10Top Scorers
Aerostar BacauCSM AdjudCards Given
Aerostar BacauCSM Adjud