Gheorgheni vs Aerostar Bacau — Liga III - Serie 1
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Gheorgheni and Aerostar Bacau meet in the Liga III - Serie 1 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Gheorgheni have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Aerostar Bacau have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 30%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Gheorgheni and 1.10 for Aerostar Bacau. The models give Gheorgheni a 49% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Aerostar Bacau win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
GheorgheniAerostar BacauHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Gheorgheni | Home | Away | Aerostar Bacau | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 71% | 75% | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 43% | 25% | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 29% | 0% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 29% | 25% | 50% | 20% | 80% |
Goals Conceded
| Gheorgheni | Home | Away | Aerostar Bacau | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 57% | 100% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 29% | 100% | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 43% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gheorgheni | Aerostar Bacau | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 10% |
| BTTS | 45% | 30% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 40% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gheorgheni | Aerostar Bacau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 18% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 10% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 80% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Gheorgheni (H)
FC Bacău II1–1
Viitorul Onesti2–0
Paşcani4–2
Odorheiu Secuiesc0–1
ASA Targu Mures0–2
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ5–0Aerostar Bacau (A)
Târgu Secuiesc0–3Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ3–0Odorheiu Secuiesc0–2
CSM FC Vaslui0–3
CSM Adjud0–1Odorheiu Secuiesc2–6Head to Head · 4 matches
GheorgheniGheorgheniAerostar BacauGheorgheni| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM FC Vaslui | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 | CSM Adjud | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 3 |  USV Iaşi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 4 | Târgu Secuiesc | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 5 |  Bradul Putna | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Aerostar Bacau | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | FC Bacău II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Gheorgheni | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Viitorul Onesti | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 3 |
| 12 | Paşcani | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 2 |
Team Insights
Gheorgheni- ●Gheorgheni have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gheorgheni have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Gheorgheni have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gheorgheni have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●64% of Gheorgheni's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Gheorgheni's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Gheorgheni's points have been earned at home.
Aerostar Bacau- ●Aerostar Bacau have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Aerostar Bacau failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Aerostar Bacau have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●77% of Aerostar Bacau's goals have been scored at home.
- ●82% of Aerostar Bacau's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Aerostar Bacau's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
GheorgheniCSM Adjud1–4FC Bacău II1–1USV Iaşi0–2Viitorul Onesti2–0Târgu Secuiesc2–4Paşcani4–2Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ17/10CSM FC Vaslui24/10Bradul Putna31/10Aerostar BacauTârgu Secuiesc0–3Paşcani5–0Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ3–0Odorheiu Secuiesc0–2Bradul Putna3–1CSM FC Vaslui0–3Viitorul Onesti16/10USV Iaşi24/10FC Bacău II30/10