Aerostar Bacau vs CSM FC Vaslui — Liga III - Serie 1
← Back

Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Aerostar Bacau and CSM FC Vaslui meet in the Liga III - Serie 1 2026 season on 20 November 2026. Aerostar Bacau have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. CSM FC Vaslui have won 71% of their 14 matches, with 2.36 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 79%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.92 for Aerostar Bacau and 1.49 for CSM FC Vaslui. The models give Aerostar Bacau a 41% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an CSM FC Vaslui win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Aerostar Bacau | Home | Away | CSM FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 83% | 20% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 67% | 20% | 79% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 20% | 50% | 60% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 17% | 80% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Aerostar Bacau | Home | Away | CSM FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 83% | 80% | 79% | 60% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 0% | 60% | 36% | 20% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 40% | 14% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 40% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aerostar Bacau | CSM FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 21% |
| BTTS | 36% | 79% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 36% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aerostar Bacau | CSM FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 55% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 18% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 9% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 100% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 82% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 9 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +14 | 25 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 | |
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 | |
| 10 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 5 | |
| 11 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -14 | 4 | |
| 12 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -16 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Aerostar Bacau have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aerostar Bacau have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aerostar Bacau failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Aerostar Bacau have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●79% of Aerostar Bacau's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Aerostar Bacau's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●77% of Aerostar Bacau's points have been earned at home.
- ●CSM FC Vaslui have won their last 7 matches.
- ●CSM FC Vaslui have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●CSM FC Vaslui have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●CSM FC Vaslui have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●CSM FC Vaslui have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●CSM FC Vaslui have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●CSM FC Vaslui have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●CSM FC Vaslui have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.