Sporting Lieşti vs Progresul Fundulea — Liga III - Serie 4
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Sporting Lieşti and Progresul Fundulea meet in the Liga III - Serie 4 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Sporting Lieşti have recorded 6 wins from 8 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 3.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 88%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Progresul Fundulea have won 40% of their 5 matches, with 1.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.33 for Sporting Lieşti and 1.42 for Progresul Fundulea. The models give Sporting Lieşti a 55% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Progresul Fundulea win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Sporting LieştiProgresul FunduleaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sporting Lieşti | Home | Away | Progresul Fundulea | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 75% | 80% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 60% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 20% | 100% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Sporting Lieşti | Home | Away | Progresul Fundulea | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 75% | 100% | 80% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 50% | 75% | 60% | 0% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 50% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 25% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sporting Lieşti | Progresul Fundulea | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 88% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 63% | 60% |
| BTTS | 75% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 63% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sporting Lieşti | Progresul Fundulea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 86% | 25% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Sporting Lieşti (H)
Înainte Modelu5–4
Portul Constanta6–0
Dinamo Bucuresti1–4
Unirea Braniştea2–1
Viitorul Onesti2–0
Soimii Gura Humorului1–2Progresul Fundulea (A)Unirea Braniştea2–4
Agricola Borcea2–4
Dunarea Calarasi1–0
Progresul Spartac0–2
Agigea2–0
Recolta Gheorghe Doja6–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Agricola Borcea | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 |  Axiopolis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 3 | Agigea | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 4 | Înainte Modelu | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Sporting Lieşti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 6 | Progresul Fundulea | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | Unirea Braniştea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Portul Constanta | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 |  Gloria Băneasa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 11 | Dunarea Calarasi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| 12 |  FC Oţelul II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 0 |
Team Insights
Sporting Lieşti- ●Sporting Lieşti have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●100% of Sporting Lieşti's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Sporting Lieşti's points have been earned at home.
Progresul Fundulea- ●Progresul Fundulea have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Progresul Fundulea have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●89% of Progresul Fundulea's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Sporting LieştiÎnainte Modelu5–4Agigea0–2Portul Constanta6–0Unirea Braniştea2–1Dunarea Calarasi23/09FC Oţelul II26/09Agricola Borcea03/10Progresul FunduleaUnirea Braniştea2–4Agricola Borcea2–4FC Oţelul II4–1Dunarea Calarasi1–0Axiopolis23/09Recolta Gheorghe Doja26/09Gloria Băneasa03/10Top Scorers
Sporting LieştiProgresul FunduleaCards Given
Sporting LieştiProgresul Fundulea