Cetatea vs Alexandria — Liga III - Serie 5
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Cetatea and Alexandria meet in the Liga III - Serie 5 2026 season on 16 October 2026. Cetatea have recorded 1 wins from 6 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 2.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Alexandria have won 17% of their 6 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.28 for Cetatea and 1.11 for Alexandria. The models give Cetatea a 61% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Alexandria win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
CetateaAlexandriaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cetatea | Home | Away | Alexandria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 100% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 100% | 25% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Cetatea | Home | Away | Alexandria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 50% | 100% | 83% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 75% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 50% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cetatea | Alexandria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cetatea | Alexandria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 67% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 83% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 60% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 80% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Cetatea (H)
Voluntari II2–2
FCSB II9–0
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti4–2
CSM Ramnicu Valcea0–3
Jiul Petroşani1–0
Minerul Lupeni0–1Alexandria (A)
Omega Sport0–1
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu0–3
CSL Nanov2–2
Axi Adunații-Copăceni1–2
Progresul Spartac3–2
Filiaşi2–2Head to Head · 7 matches
CetateaAlexandriaAlexandriaCetateaAlexandriaCetateaAlexandria| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 2 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 3 |  LPS HD Clinceni | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 4 |  Progresul Mogosoaia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 5 | Omega Sport | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |  Dinamo Bucureşti II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Alexandria | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Cetatea | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 4 |
| 9 | Progresul Spartac | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 | FCSB II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
| 11 | Voluntari II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 12 |  Oxigen Bucuresti | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Cetatea- ●Cetatea have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●100% of Cetatea's goals have been scored at home.
Alexandria- ●Alexandria have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
Season Schedule
CetateaVoluntari II2–2Axi Adunații-Copăceni0–1FCSB II9–0Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu0–2Dinamo Bucureşti II22/09Progresul Mogosoaia26/09LPS HD Clinceni02/10AlexandriaDunărea 2020 Giurgiu2–2Omega Sport0–1Progresul Spartac1–0Progresul Mogosoaia2–2FCSB II22/09Axi Adunații-Copăceni25/09Voluntari II02/10Top Scorers
CetateaAlexandria