Progresul Spartac vs Cetatea — Liga III - Serie 5
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Progresul Spartac and Cetatea meet in the Liga III - Serie 5 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Progresul Spartac have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Cetatea have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 2.50 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Progresul Spartac and 1.41 for Cetatea. The models give Progresul Spartac a 39% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Cetatea win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Progresul SpartacCetateaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Progresul Spartac | Home | Away | Cetatea | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 86% | 60% | 75% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 71% | 60% | 63% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 14% | 40% | 38% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 14% | 40% | 25% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Progresul Spartac | Home | Away | Cetatea | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 86% | 100% | 88% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 29% | 20% | 63% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 14% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 14% | 0% | 13% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Progresul Spartac | Cetatea | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 38% |
| BTTS | 67% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 42% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Progresul Spartac | Cetatea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 8% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 88% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Progresul Spartac (H)
FCSB II2–1
Omega Sport0–1
Progresul Mogosoaia1–2
Concordia2–5
Oxigen Bucuresti5–1
Metaloglobus2–1Cetatea (A)Progresul Mogosoaia3–3
Dinamo Bucureşti II3–1
Axi Adunații-Copăceni0–1
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu0–2Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu1–2
Jiul Petroşani2–0Head to Head · 4 matches
Progresul SpartacCetateaCetateaProgresul Spartac| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omega Sport | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 14 |
| 2 |  LPS HD Clinceni | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 |  Alexandria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 5 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Dinamo Bucureşti II | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Cetatea | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 8 |
| 8 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Progresul Spartac | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 10 |  Voluntari II | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 12 | FCSB II | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -14 | 3 |
Team Insights
Progresul Spartac- ●Progresul Spartac failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Progresul Spartac have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●100% of Progresul Spartac's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Progresul Spartac's points have been earned at home.
Cetatea- ●Cetatea have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Cetatea have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●65% of Cetatea's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Cetatea's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Progresul SpartacFCSB II2–1Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu0–1Omega Sport0–1Progresul Mogosoaia1–2Alexandria0–1Oxigen Bucuresti5–1Axi Adunații-Copăceni02/10Voluntari II10/10Dinamo Bucureşti II16/10CetateaProgresul Mogosoaia3–3Dinamo Bucureşti II3–1Voluntari II2–2Axi Adunații-Copăceni0–1FCSB II9–0Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu0–2LPS HD Clinceni02/10Oxigen Bucuresti09/10Alexandria16/10Top Scorers
Progresul SpartacCetateaCards Given
Progresul SpartacCetatea