Progresul Mogosoaia vs Alexandria — Liga III - Serie 5
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Progresul Mogosoaia and Alexandria meet in the Liga III - Serie 5 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Progresul Mogosoaia have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.64 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Alexandria have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Progresul Mogosoaia and 1.51 for Alexandria. The models give Progresul Mogosoaia a 37% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Alexandria win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Progresul Mogosoaia | Home | Away | Alexandria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 86% | 75% | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 57% | 50% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 43% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 14% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Progresul Mogosoaia | Home | Away | Alexandria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 57% | 100% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 43% | 25% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 43% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 43% | 0% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Progresul Mogosoaia | Alexandria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 10% |
| BTTS | 55% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Progresul Mogosoaia | Alexandria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 64% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 20 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 | |
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 12 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 9 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 9 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -1 | 6 | |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Progresul Mogosoaia have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Progresul Mogosoaia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Alexandria have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Alexandria have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Alexandria have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Alexandria have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Alexandria have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Alexandria have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Alexandria have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Alexandria have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●62% of Alexandria's goals have been scored at home.