Romania · Liga III - Serie 5 · Group 5 - 17

Cetatea

10º · 1.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h

–

Progresul Mogosoaia

5º · 1.33 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 34d 0h

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Cetatea and Progresul Mogosoaia meet in the Liga III - Serie 5 2026 season on 11 December 2026. Cetatea have recorded 2 wins from 14 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Progresul Mogosoaia have won 40% of their 15 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 27%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.18 for Cetatea and 1.38 for Progresul Mogosoaia. The models give Cetatea a 55% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Progresul Mogosoaia win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 66%.

Season Statistics

Cetatea

—

Progresul Mogosoaia

10º

Position

5º

1.00

PPG

1.33

17%

Win %

33%

1.92

Goals / game

1.42

1.58

Conceded / game

1.75

64%

BTTS %

53%

14%

Clean sheet %

27%

57%

Over 2.5 %

67%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Cetatea

Home (6)

—

Progresul Mogosoaia

Away (6)

1.17

PPG

0.83

17%

Win %

17%

2.83

Goals / game

1.17

1.67

Conceded / game

2.00

83%

BTTS %

67%

17%

Clean sheet %

67%

Over 2.5 %

50%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Cetatea	Home	Away	Progresul Mogosoaia	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	71%	100%	50%	73%	78%	67%
Over 1.5 Scored	50%	67%	38%	53%	56%	50%
Over 2.5 Scored	21%	17%	25%	27%	44%	0%
Failed To Score	29%	0%	50%	27%	22%	33%

Goals Conceded

	Cetatea	Home	Away	Progresul Mogosoaia	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	86%	83%	88%	73%	56%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	57%	50%	63%	47%	44%	50%
Over 2.5 Conceded	21%	17%	25%	27%	33%	17%
Clean Sheets	14%	17%	13%	27%	44%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Cetatea	Progresul Mogosoaia
Over 0.5	93%	93%
Over 1.5	86%	80%
Over 2.5	57%	67%
Over 3.5	50%	33%
Over 4.5	29%	27%
BTTS	64%	53%
BTTS & Win	7%	20%
BTTS & Draw	36%	20%
BTTS & Over 2.5	50%	47%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	7%	20%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Cetatea	Progresul Mogosoaia
Win 1st Half	29%	27%
Draw 1st Half	50%	53%
Loss 1st Half	21%	20%
Scored 1st Half	64%	53%
Conceded 1st Half	57%	53%
Win 2nd Half	14%	33%
Draw 2nd Half	43%	27%
Loss 2nd Half	43%	40%
Scored 2nd Half	50%	53%
Conceded 2nd Half	71%	53%
Over 0.5 HT	86%	67%
Over 1.5 HT	50%	40%

Recent Venue Form

Cetatea (H)

Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu2–4

Omega Sport1–1

Alexandria1–1

LPS HD Clinceni2–2

Voluntari II2–2

FCSB II9–0

Progresul Mogosoaia (A)

Axi Adunații-Copăceni0–2

FCSB II2–5

Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu1–1

Omega Sport0–1

Progresul Spartac2–1

Alexandria2–2

Head to Head · 1 matches

Cetatea

Draws

100%

Progresul Mogosoaia

100%

Over 1.5

1/1

100%

Over 2.5

1/1

100%

Over 3.5

1/1

100%

BTTS

1/1

26/09/26

Progresul Mogosoaia

3–3

Cetatea

Liga III - Serie 5

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu	12	7	5	0	+13	26
2	LPS HD Clinceni	12	8	2	2	+13	26
3	Omega Sport	12	7	4	1	+7	25
4	Alexandria	12	6	4	2	+6	22
5	Progresul Mogosoaia	12	4	4	4	-4	16
6	Axi Adunații-Copăceni	12	5	0	7	-9	15
7	Voluntari II	12	4	2	6	-3	14
8	FCSB II	12	4	1	7	-5	13
9	Oxigen Bucuresti	12	4	1	7	-8	13
10	Cetatea	12	2	6	4	+4	12
11	Dinamo Bucureşti II	12	4	0	8	-9	12
12	Progresul Spartac	12	2	1	9	-5	7

Team Insights

Cetatea

●Cetatea have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
●Cetatea have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
●Cetatea failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Cetatea have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
●Cetatea failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
●Cetatea have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
●Cetatea failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
●74% of Cetatea's goals have been scored at home.

Progresul Mogosoaia

●Progresul Mogosoaia have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
●Progresul Mogosoaia have lost their last 2 away matches.
●Progresul Mogosoaia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Progresul Mogosoaia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
●Progresul Mogosoaia failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
●Progresul Mogosoaia have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.

Cetatea

LHDunărea 2020 Giurgiu1º2–4

DHOmega Sport3º1–1

DAProgresul Spartac12º0–0

DHAlexandria4º1–1

LAOxigen Bucuresti9º0–2

DHLPS HD Clinceni2º2–2

DAProgresul Mogosoaia5º3–3

WADinamo Bucureşti II11º3–1

DHVoluntari II7º2–2

LAAxi Adunații-Copăceni6º0–1

Progresul Mogosoaia