Orenburg II vs Nosta — Second League - Group 4
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Orenburg II and Nosta meet in the Second League - Group 4 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Orenburg II have recorded 8 wins from 26 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.54 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Nosta have won 25% of their 28 matches, with 1.04 goals scored and 1.96 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 7%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.22 for Orenburg II and 1.13 for Nosta. The models give Orenburg II a 63% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Nosta win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Orenburg II—
Nosta4º
Position
11º
1.55
PPG
0.55
36%
Win %
9%
1.64
Goals / game
1.00
1.18
Conceded / game
2.27
58%
BTTS %
50%
31%
Clean sheet %
7%
65%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Orenburg II
Home (6)
—
Nosta
Away (6)
1.83
PPG
0.67
50%
Win %
17%
2.17
Goals / game
1.17
1.00
Conceded / game
2.67
57%
BTTS %
50%
43%
Clean sheet %
0%
71%
Over 2.5 %
79%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Orenburg II | Home | Away | Nosta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 86% | 67% | 57% | 64% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 71% | 25% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 43% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 14% | 33% | 43% | 36% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Orenburg II | Home | Away | Nosta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 57% | 83% | 93% | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 36% | 58% | 57% | 36% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 14% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 43% | 17% | 7% | 14% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Orenburg II | Nosta | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 21% |
| BTTS | 58% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Orenburg II | Nosta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 61% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Orenburg II (H)D
Rubin Kazan 23–3
Rubin Kazan 23–3W
Izhevsk3–0
Izhevsk3–0W
Chelyabinsk II2–0
Chelyabinsk II2–0WChelyabinsk II2–1
Chelyabinsk II2–1WIzhevsk3–2
Izhevsk3–2D
Krylya Sovetov II0–0
Krylya Sovetov II0–0Nosta (A)LRubin Kazan 20–2
Rubin Kazan 20–2WIzhevsk2–1
Izhevsk2–1W
Ural II2–1
Ural II2–1W
Khimik Dzerzhinsk3–2
Khimik Dzerzhinsk3–2LKhimik Dzerzhinsk0–5
Khimik Dzerzhinsk0–5L
KDV0–3
KDV0–3Head to Head · 16 matches
5
Orenburg II
31%
3
Draws
19%
8
Nosta
50%
88%
Over 1.5
14/16
56%
Over 2.5
9/16
13%
Over 3.5
2/16
38%
BTTS
6/16
05/07/26Orenburg II
Nosta
1–0Orenburg II03/05/26Nosta
Orenburg II
3–0Nosta06/10/25Nosta
Orenburg II
2–0Nosta29/06/25Orenburg II
Nosta
3–2Orenburg II13/09/24Nosta
Orenburg II
2–1Nosta08/06/24Orenburg II
Nosta
2–1Orenburg II08/10/23Nosta
Orenburg II
0–2Nosta13/08/23Orenburg II
Nosta
1–1Orenburg II04/06/23Nosta
Orenburg II
3–0Nosta09/04/23Nosta
Orenburg II
2–1Nosta14/08/22Orenburg II
Nosta
1–1Orenburg II31/10/21Nosta
Orenburg II
0–2Nosta10/10/21Orenburg II
Nosta
3–0Orenburg II09/07/21Orenburg II
Nosta
3–0Orenburg II10/11/20Nosta
Orenburg II
0–0Nosta05/11/20Orenburg II
Nosta
4–0Orenburg II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | +41 | 56 |
| 2 | KDV | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +20 | 53 |
| 3 |  Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | +18 | 43 |
| 4 |  Akron II | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | +12 | 32 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov II | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | -1 | 27 |
| 6 |  Dinamo Barnaul | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -19 | 26 |
| 7 | Orenburg II | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -4 | 26 |
| 8 | Izhevsk | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Ural II | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan 2 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -10 | 20 |
| 11 | Nosta | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -28 | 18 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk II | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -17 | 17 |
Team Insights
Orenburg II- ●Orenburg II have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Orenburg II have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Orenburg II have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Orenburg II have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Orenburg II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Orenburg II have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Orenburg II have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Orenburg II failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●70% of Orenburg II's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Orenburg II's points have been earned at home.
- ●Orenburg II have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Nosta- ●Nosta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Nosta failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Nosta failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Nosta have lost 9 of their 13 away matches.
- ●69% of Nosta's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Nosta have scored 68% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Orenburg IIDHRubin Kazan 23–3
Rubin Kazan 23–3DAUral II1–1
Ural II1–1WHIzhevsk3–0
Izhevsk3–0WHChelyabinsk II2–0
Chelyabinsk II2–0WHChelyabinsk II2–1
Chelyabinsk II2–1LAKhimik Dzerzhinsk1–2
Khimik Dzerzhinsk1–2–ANosta27/09
Nosta27/09–AIzhevsk04/10
Izhevsk04/10–HUral II11/10
Ural II11/10NostaWHChelyabinsk II3–0
Chelyabinsk II3–0LARubin Kazan 20–2
Rubin Kazan 20–2LHUral II0–1
Ural II0–1WAIzhevsk2–1
Izhevsk2–1DHPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod2–2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod2–2WAUral II2–1
Ural II2–1–HOrenburg II27/09
Orenburg II27/09–AUral II04/10
Ural II04/10–HRubin Kazan 211/10
Rubin Kazan 211/10Top Scorers
Orenburg IIY. Frolov6 ⚽
Y. Pitintsev6 ⚽
K. Dudarin5 ⚽
O. Minatulaev5 ⚽
D. Cherkasov5 ⚽
I. Morozov3 ⚽
NostaA. Vainer6 ⚽
A. Ananyan6 ⚽
E. Borisov5 ⚽
E. Pigaev3 ⚽
I. Kamyshev3 ⚽
A. Bakhysh-Zade2 ⚽
Cards Given
Orenburg III. Ivashchenko4 🟨
K. Dudarin1 🟨
M. Pykhcheev1 🟨
S. Zverev1 🟨
Y. Pitintsev1 🟨
NostaA. Vainer1 🟨
E. Borisov1 🟨
E. Pigaev1 🟨