Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul — Second League - Group 4
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Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod and Dinamo Barnaul meet in the Second League - Group 4 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod have recorded 15 wins from 27 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 2.07 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Dinamo Barnaul have won 33% of their 30 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.54 for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod and 1.36 for Dinamo Barnaul. The models give Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod a 61% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Dinamo Barnaul win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod—
Dinamo Barnaul3º
Position
12º
2.00
PPG
0.36
64%
Win %
0%
2.09
Goals / game
1.00
1.45
Conceded / game
2.73
56%
BTTS %
60%
33%
Clean sheet %
17%
59%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
5.0
0.0
Avg shots
7.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
53.0%
Home vs Away
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Home (6)
—
Dinamo Barnaul
Away (7)
2.17
PPG
0.29
67%
Win %
0%
2.33
Goals / game
1.14
1.67
Conceded / game
3.43
69%
BTTS %
71%
23%
Clean sheet %
7%
77%
Over 2.5 %
79%
0.0
Avg corners
5.0
0.0
Avg shots
7.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0%
Avg possession
53.0%
Goals Scored
| Pobeda Nizhniy | Home | Away | Dinamo Barnaul | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 92% | 86% | 70% | 63% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 69% | 50% | 37% | 38% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 54% | 14% | 23% | 25% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 8% | 14% | 30% | 38% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Pobeda Nizhniy | Home | Away | Dinamo Barnaul | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 77% | 57% | 83% | 75% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 46% | 50% | 53% | 44% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 15% | 14% | 33% | 19% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 23% | 43% | 17% | 25% | 7% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pobeda Nizhniy | Dinamo Barnaul | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 37% | 30% |
| BTTS | 56% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pobeda Nizhniy | Dinamo Barnaul | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Pobeda Nizhniy (H)L
Khimik Dzerzhinsk0–1
Khimik Dzerzhinsk0–1W
Akron II3–2
Akron II3–2LDinamo Barnaul2–3
Dinamo Barnaul2–3W
Ural II4–1
Ural II4–1DKhimik Dzerzhinsk1–1
Khimik Dzerzhinsk1–1W
KDV4–0
KDV4–0Dinamo Barnaul (A)W
Krylya Sovetov II2–1
Krylya Sovetov II2–1LKhimik Dzerzhinsk0–3
Khimik Dzerzhinsk0–3WPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod3–2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod3–2W
Chelyabinsk II3–2
Chelyabinsk II3–2W
Anri Vladivostok2–1
Anri Vladivostok2–1L
Izhevsk0–4
Izhevsk0–4Team Corners
| Team Corners | Pobeda Nizhniy | Dinamo Barnaul |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Pobeda Nizhniy
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Dinamo Barnaul
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
16/08/26Dinamo Barnaul
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
2–3Dinamo Barnaul07/06/26Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Dinamo Barnaul
0–2Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | +41 | 56 |
| 2 | KDV | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +20 | 53 |
| 3 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | +18 | 43 |
| 4 | Akron II | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | +12 | 32 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov II | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | -1 | 27 |
| 6 | Dinamo Barnaul | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -19 | 26 |
| 7 |  Orenburg II | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -4 | 26 |
| 8 | Izhevsk | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Ural II | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rubin Kazan 2 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -10 | 20 |
| 11 |  Nosta | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -28 | 18 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk II | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -17 | 17 |
Team Insights
Pobeda Nizhniy- ●Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod have scored in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod have won 7 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod have scored in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Dinamo Barnaul- ●Dinamo Barnaul failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Dinamo Barnaul failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Barnaul have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Barnaul failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Barnaul failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Barnaul failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Barnaul have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
Pobeda NizhniyLAKDV1–2
KDV1–2LHKhimik Dzerzhinsk0–1
Khimik Dzerzhinsk0–1WAKrylya Sovetov II1–0
Krylya Sovetov II1–0WHAkron II3–2
Akron II3–2DANosta2–2
Nosta2–2LHDinamo Barnaul2–3
Dinamo Barnaul2–3–ADinamo Barnaul25/09
Dinamo Barnaul25/09–HKrylya Sovetov II04/10
Krylya Sovetov II04/10–AKhimik Dzerzhinsk11/10
Khimik Dzerzhinsk11/10Dinamo BarnaulWAKrylya Sovetov II2–1
Krylya Sovetov II2–1LHKDV1–2
KDV1–2DHAkron II1–1
Akron II1–1LAKhimik Dzerzhinsk0–3
Khimik Dzerzhinsk0–3WHAkron II3–1
Akron II3–1WAPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod3–2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod3–2–HPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod25/09
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod25/09–AAkron II04/10
Akron II04/10–AKDV11/10
KDV11/10Top Scorers
Pobeda NizhniyA. Maksimchuk15 ⚽
I. Kozhukhar10 ⚽
R. Mikhaylovskiy7 ⚽
E. Grushin3 ⚽
D. Peshcherov3 ⚽
A. Kurbanaliev3 ⚽
Dinamo BarnaulN. Vorona8 ⚽
M. Osipov5 ⚽
A. Yarkin4 ⚽
D. Bakay3 ⚽
K. Mogel3 ⚽
R. Kolmakov3 ⚽
Cards Given
Pobeda NizhniyA. Efremov2 🟨
I. Lazarev2 🟨
D. Peshcherov1 🟨
K. Erokhin1 🟨
N. Kupriyanov1 🟨
R. Mikhaylovskiy1 🟨
Dinamo BarnaulA. Petukhov2 🟨
A. Yarkin2 🟨
D. Chernobay2 🟨
2 🟨
Daniil Chernobay1 🟨