Vega Real vs Cibao — Liga Mayor
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Vega Real and Cibao meet in the Liga Mayor 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Vega Real have recorded 2 wins from 6 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Cibao have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Vega Real and 1.29 for Cibao. The models give Vega Real a 37% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Cibao win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Vega Real | Home | Away | Cibao | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 100% | 50% | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 100% | 0% | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 50% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 0% | 50% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Vega Real | Home | Away | Cibao | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 75% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 0% | 50% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 25% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vega Real | Cibao | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 10% |
| BTTS | 50% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vega Real | Cibao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 23 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 | |
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 10 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 9 | |
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | |
| 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 0 | |
| 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -16 | 0 |
Team Insights
- ●Vega Real have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Vega Real have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●78% of Vega Real's goals have been scored at home.
- ●86% of Vega Real's points have been earned at home.
- ●Vega Real have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Cibao failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●70% of Cibao's goals have been scored away.
- ●60% of Cibao's points have been earned away.

