Jarabacoa vs Vega Real — Liga Mayor
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Jarabacoa and Vega Real meet in the Liga Mayor 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Jarabacoa have recorded 1 wins from 10 matches this season (10% win rate), averaging 0.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Vega Real have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.11 for Jarabacoa and 0.97 for Vega Real. The models give Jarabacoa a 35% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Vega Real win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Jarabacoa | Home | Away | Vega Real | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 40% | 40% | 40% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 20% | 20% | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 60% | 60% | 60% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Jarabacoa | Home | Away | Vega Real | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 80% | 100% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 40% | 80% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 0% | 60% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Jarabacoa | Vega Real | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Jarabacoa | Vega Real | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 20% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 19 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +15 | 26 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 20 | |
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 16 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 12 | |
| 6 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | |
| 7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 2 | |
| 8 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -27 | 0 |
Team Insights
- ●Jarabacoa have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Jarabacoa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Jarabacoa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Jarabacoa have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Jarabacoa failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Jarabacoa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Jarabacoa have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●68% of Jarabacoa's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●79% of Vega Real's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Vega Real's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Vega Real's points have been earned at home.
- ●Vega Real have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.

