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Velež vs Čelik — Premijer Liga

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Bosnia & Herzegovina · Premijer Liga · Regular Season - 13
Velež
Velež
8º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 6d 2h
vs
–
–
Čelik
Čelik
9º · 0.83 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 6d 20h
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Velež and Čelik meet in the Premijer Liga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Velež have recorded 8 wins from 21 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Čelik have won 20% of their 15 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Velež and 0.91 for Čelik. The models give Velež a 45% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Čelik win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 44%.

Season Statistics

Velež
—
Čelik
8º
Position
9º
1.00
PPG
0.83
27%
Win %
17%
0.82
Goals / game
1.08
1.55
Conceded / game
1.58
43%
BTTS %
53%
33%
Clean sheet %
33%
43%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
2.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
42.0%

Home vs Away

Velež
Home (5)
—
Čelik
Away (6)
1.60
PPG
0.50
40%
Win %
0%
1.20
Goals / game
0.67
0.80
Conceded / game
1.33
44%
BTTS %
57%
44%
Clean sheet %
29%
33%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
2.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0%
Avg possession
42.0%

Goals Scored

VeležHomeAwayČelikHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored71%78%67%67%75%57%
Over 1.5 Scored29%33%25%33%50%14%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%20%38%0%
Failed To Score29%22%33%33%25%43%

Goals Conceded

VeležHomeAwayČelikHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded67%56%75%67%63%71%
Over 1.5 Conceded43%33%50%47%50%43%
Over 2.5 Conceded24%22%25%20%25%14%
Clean Sheets33%44%25%33%38%29%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

VeležČelik
Over 0.595%80%
Over 1.576%80%
Over 2.543%53%
Over 3.514%27%
Over 4.55%20%
BTTS43%53%
BTTS & Win10%7%
BTTS & Draw10%20%
BTTS & Over 2.533%33%
BTTS No & Over 2.510%20%

1st Half / 2nd Half

VeležČelik
Win 1st Half19%33%
Draw 1st Half38%53%
Loss 1st Half43%13%
Scored 1st Half29%53%
Conceded 1st Half43%40%
Win 2nd Half33%13%
Draw 2nd Half43%47%
Loss 2nd Half24%40%
Scored 2nd Half57%40%
Conceded 2nd Half57%60%
Over 0.5 HT62%67%
Over 1.5 HT38%40%

Recent Venue Form

Velež (H)
LBSK Banja Luka2–3
DSiroki Brijeg0–0
WFK Sarajevo1–0
DRadnik Bijeljina1–1
WSloga Doboj2–0
LDunajska Streda0–3
Čelik (A)
DProleter Dvorovi1–1
DSiroki Brijeg0–0
DZeljeznicar Sarajevo1–1
LBSK Banja Luka2–3
DSloga Doboj0–0
LBorac Banja Luka0–2

Team Corners

Team CornersVeležČelik
Corners Earned / Match0.02.0
Corners Against / Match0.03.0
Over 2.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 3.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against0%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against0%0%

Head to Head · 3 matches

1
Velež
33%
0
Draws
0%
2
Čelik
67%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
28/08/26
Čelik
3–0
Velež
25/10/19
Čelik
0–2
Velež
03/08/19
Velež
1–2
Čelik
Premijer Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Zrinjski121101+2433
2Borac Banja Luka11911+1428
3FK Sarajevo12543+319
4Siroki Brijeg12354-214
5BSK Banja Luka12345-313
6Zeljeznicar Sarajevo12345-713
7Radnik Bijeljina12255-411
8Velež11326-811
9Čelik12246-610
10Sloga Doboj12237-119

Team Insights

Velež
  • ●Velež have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Velež failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Velež have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●67% of Velež's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●76% of Velež's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Velež have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Čelik
  • ●Čelik have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Čelik failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●69% of Čelik's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Čelik have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
VeležVelež
WASloga Doboj10º1–0
LAZvijezda Gradačac1–2
LHBSK Banja Luka5º2–3
DHSiroki Brijeg4º0–0
LAZrinjski1º0–2
WHFK Sarajevo3º1–0
LAZeljeznicar Sarajevo6º1–3
DHRadnik Bijeljina7º1–1
LAČelik9º0–3
WHSloga Doboj10º2–0
ČelikČelik
LHBorac Banja Luka2º2–4
DAProleter Dvorovi1–1
DASiroki Brijeg4º0–0
LHZrinjski1º0–3
DHFK Sarajevo3º0–0
DAZeljeznicar Sarajevo6º1–1
WHRadnik Bijeljina7º3–2
LABSK Banja Luka5º2–3
DASloga Doboj10º0–0
WHVelež8º3–0

Season Schedule

Velež
WASloga Doboj1–0
LHBSK Banja Luka2–3
DHSiroki Brijeg0–0
LAZrinjski0–2
WHFK Sarajevo1–0
LAZeljeznicar Sarajevo1–3
–HČelik07/11
–ARadnik Bijeljina21/11
–HZeljeznicar Sarajevo28/11
Čelik
LHBorac Banja Luka2–4
DASiroki Brijeg0–0
LHZrinjski0–3
DHFK Sarajevo0–0
DAZeljeznicar Sarajevo1–1
WHRadnik Bijeljina3–2
–AVelež07/11
–HSloga Doboj21/11
–HBSK Banja Luka28/11

Top Scorers

Velež
A. Mesic4 ⚽
I. Saric3 ⚽
A. Milak2 ⚽
M. Rahimic2 ⚽
D. Salcin1 ⚽
L. Ignatov1 ⚽
Čelik
A. Masic8 ⚽
4 ⚽
B. Jenjic2 ⚽
A. Hrvanovic2 ⚽
O. Sarkic1 ⚽
S. Faraj1 ⚽

Cards Given

Velež
A. Nukic6 🟨
A. Hrkac2 🟨
A. Imamovic2 🟨
A. Mesic2 🟨
A. Besagic2 🟨
A. Omerovic2 🟨
Čelik
F. Gogic5 🟨
H. Sabanovic3 🟨
M. Popovic3 🟨
K. Horic2 🟨
A. Masic2 🟨
J. Amoah2 🟨