Velež vs Čelik — Premijer Liga
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Velež and Čelik meet in the Premijer Liga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Velež have recorded 7 wins from 17 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Čelik have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Velež and 0.84 for Čelik. The models give Velež a 50% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Čelik win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Velež—
Čelik9º
Position
7º
0.88
PPG
1.00
25%
Win %
25%
0.75
Goals / game
1.38
1.75
Conceded / game
1.50
41%
BTTS %
60%
29%
Clean sheet %
30%
41%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Velež
Home (3)
—
Čelik
Away (5)
2.33
PPG
0.40
67%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
0.80
0.33
Conceded / game
1.60
43%
BTTS %
60%
43%
Clean sheet %
20%
29%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Velež | Home | Away | Čelik | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 86% | 60% | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 29% | 30% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 14% | 40% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Velež | Home | Away | Čelik | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 57% | 80% | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 29% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 14% | 30% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 43% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Velež | Čelik | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 12% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS | 41% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Velež | Čelik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 41% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Velež (H)W
FK Sarajevo1–0
FK Sarajevo1–0D
Radnik Bijeljina1–1
Radnik Bijeljina1–1W
Sloga Doboj2–0
Sloga Doboj2–0L
Dunajska Streda0–3
Dunajska Streda0–3D
Milsami Orhei1–1
Milsami Orhei1–1LFK Sarajevo2–3
FK Sarajevo2–3Čelik (A)D
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1–1
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1–1L
BSK Banja Luka2–3
BSK Banja Luka2–3DSloga Doboj0–0
Sloga Doboj0–0L
Borac Banja Luka0–2
Borac Banja Luka0–2L
Zrinjski1–2
Zrinjski1–2D
GOŠK Gabela1–1
GOŠK Gabela1–1Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Velež
33%
0
Draws
0%
2
Čelik
67%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
28/08/26Velež
Čelik
3–0Velež25/10/19Velež
Čelik
0–2Velež03/08/19Čelik
Velež
1–2Čelik| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 4 | FK Sarajevo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Siroki Brijeg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Sloga Doboj | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Čelik | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | BSK Banja Luka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Velež | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 10 | Radnik Bijeljina | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Velež- ●Velež have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Velež have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Velež failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Velež have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Velež failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Velež have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●93% of Velež's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Velež's points have been earned at home.
- ●Velež have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Čelik- ●Čelik have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Čelik failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Čelik's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Čelik's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Čelik's points have been earned at home.
- ●Čelik have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
VeležLAZrinjski0–2
Zrinjski0–2WHFK Sarajevo1–0
FK Sarajevo1–0LAZeljeznicar Sarajevo1–3
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1–3DHRadnik Bijeljina1–1
Radnik Bijeljina1–1LAČelik0–3
Čelik0–3WHSloga Doboj2–0
Sloga Doboj2–0–HSiroki Brijeg10/10
Siroki Brijeg10/10–HBorac Banja Luka17/10
Borac Banja Luka17/10–HBSK Banja Luka24/10
BSK Banja Luka24/10ČelikDAZeljeznicar Sarajevo1–1
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1–1WHRadnik Bijeljina3–2
Radnik Bijeljina3–2LABSK Banja Luka2–3
BSK Banja Luka2–3DASloga Doboj0–0
Sloga Doboj0–0WHVelež3–0
Velež3–0LABorac Banja Luka0–2
Borac Banja Luka0–2–HFK Sarajevo10/10
FK Sarajevo10/10–HZrinjski17/10
Zrinjski17/10–ASiroki Brijeg24/10
Siroki Brijeg24/10Top Scorers
VeležI. Saric3 ⚽
A. Mesic3 ⚽
A. Milak2 ⚽
M. Rahimic2 ⚽
L. Ignatov1 ⚽
N. Stojanovic1 ⚽
ČelikA. Masic8 ⚽
A. Hrvanovic2 ⚽
B. Jenjic2 ⚽
D. Sijamija1 ⚽
E. Sieh1 ⚽
O. Sarkic1 ⚽
Cards Given
VeležA. Nukic3 🟨
A. Hrkac2 🟨
A. Imamovic2 🟨
A. Omerovic2 🟨
M. Abdallah2 🟨
A. Mesic1 🟨
ČelikM. Popovic3 🟨
F. Gogic2 🟨
K. Horic2 🟨
A. Sutkovic1 🟨
E. Sieh1 🟨
A. Hrvanovic1 🟨