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Siroki Brijeg vs Velež — Premijer Liga

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Siroki Brijeg
Siroki Brijeg
4º · 1.31 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 22h
vs
–
–
Velež
Velež
7º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 1h
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Siroki Brijeg and Velež meet in the Premijer Liga 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Siroki Brijeg have recorded 6 wins from 22 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Velež have won 36% of their 22 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 32%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Siroki Brijeg and 0.93 for Velež. The models give Siroki Brijeg a 49% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Velež win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 48%.

Season Statistics

Siroki Brijeg
—
Velež
4º
Position
7º
1.31
PPG
1.00
31%
Win %
25%
1.00
Goals / game
0.83
1.08
Conceded / game
1.50
59%
BTTS %
45%
23%
Clean sheet %
32%
50%
Over 2.5 %
41%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
10.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.8
Avg yellow cards
1.3
11.0
Avg fouls
0.0
49.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Siroki Brijeg
Home (7)
—
Velež
Away (6)
1.29
PPG
0.50
29%
Win %
17%
1.14
Goals / game
0.50
1.14
Conceded / game
2.17
62%
BTTS %
42%
23%
Clean sheet %
25%
62%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
10.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.8
Avg yellow cards
1.3
49.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Siroki BrijegHomeAwayVeležHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored68%69%67%73%80%67%
Over 1.5 Scored27%38%11%27%30%25%
Over 2.5 Scored9%15%0%0%0%0%
Failed To Score32%31%33%27%20%33%

Goals Conceded

Siroki BrijegHomeAwayVeležHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded77%77%78%68%60%75%
Over 1.5 Conceded41%38%44%41%30%50%
Over 2.5 Conceded9%15%0%23%20%25%
Clean Sheets23%23%22%32%40%25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Siroki BrijegVelež
Over 0.586%95%
Over 1.582%77%
Over 2.550%41%
Over 3.59%14%
Over 4.59%5%
BTTS59%45%
BTTS & Win18%9%
BTTS & Draw18%14%
BTTS & Over 2.541%32%
BTTS No & Over 2.59%9%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Siroki BrijegVelež
Win 1st Half23%18%
Draw 1st Half55%41%
Loss 1st Half23%41%
Scored 1st Half45%27%
Conceded 1st Half41%41%
Win 2nd Half27%32%
Draw 2nd Half45%45%
Loss 2nd Half27%23%
Scored 2nd Half45%59%
Conceded 2nd Half45%59%
Over 0.5 HT64%59%
Over 1.5 HT41%36%

Recent Venue Form

Siroki Brijeg (H)
WZeljeznicar Sarajevo2–1
DČelik0–0
LBorac Banja Luka2–3
DBSK Banja Luka1–1
LFK Sarajevo1–2
WRadnik Bijeljina2–1
Velež (A)
WSloga Doboj1–0
LZvijezda Gradačac1–2
LZrinjski0–2
LZeljeznicar Sarajevo1–3
LČelik0–3
LBSK Banja Luka0–2

Team Corners

Team CornersSiroki BrijegVelež
Corners Earned / Match4.00.0
Corners Against / Match4.00.0
Over 2.5 Corners For100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners For100%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against0%0%

Head to Head · 32 matches

9
Siroki Brijeg
28%
8
Draws
25%
15
Velež
47%
59%
Over 1.5
19/32
44%
Over 2.5
14/32
25%
Over 3.5
8/32
41%
BTTS
13/32
09/10/26
Velež
0–0
Siroki Brijeg
21/04/26
Velež
3–0
Siroki Brijeg
15/02/26
Siroki Brijeg
1–0
Velež
11/02/26
Velež
2–1
Siroki Brijeg
25/10/25
Velež
1–0
Siroki Brijeg
10/08/25
Siroki Brijeg
1–3
Velež
28/03/25
Siroki Brijeg
2–5
Velež
12/03/25
Velež
1–2
Siroki Brijeg
26/02/25
Siroki Brijeg
2–0
Velež
23/11/24
Velež
3–1
Siroki Brijeg
18/08/24
Siroki Brijeg
0–2
Velež
11/05/24
Siroki Brijeg
0–1
Velež
14/03/24
Velež
2–3
Siroki Brijeg
06/03/24
Siroki Brijeg
2–1
Velež
26/11/23
Siroki Brijeg
2–2
Velež
20/08/23
Velež
1–1
Siroki Brijeg
26/04/23
Siroki Brijeg
1–0
Velež
12/11/22
Velež
4–4
Siroki Brijeg
27/08/22
Siroki Brijeg
0–0
Velež
08/07/22
Siroki Brijeg
0–0
Velež
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Zrinjski121101+2433
2Borac Banja Luka11911+1428
3FK Sarajevo12543+319
4Siroki Brijeg13454-117
5BSK Banja Luka12345-313
6Zeljeznicar Sarajevo13346-813
7Velež12336-812
8Radnik Bijeljina12255-411
9Čelik13256-611
10Sloga Doboj12237-119

Team Insights

Siroki Brijeg
  • ●Siroki Brijeg failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●62% of Siroki Brijeg's goals have been scored at home.
Velež
  • ●Velež have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Velež failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Velež have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●70% of Velež's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●72% of Velež's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●75% of Velež's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Velež have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
DHČelik9º0–0
WASloga Doboj10º1–0
DAVelež7º0–0
DHBSK Banja Luka5º1–1
LAZrinjski1º1–2
LHFK Sarajevo3º1–2
DHČelik9º1–1
WASloga Doboj10º1–0
LHBSK Banja Luka5º2–3
DHSiroki Brijeg4º0–0
LAZrinjski1º0–2
WHFK Sarajevo3º1–0
LAČelik9º0–3

Season Schedule

Siroki Brijeg
WHZeljeznicar Sarajevo2–1
LARadnik Bijeljina0–2
DHČelik0–0
WASloga Doboj1–0
DAVelež0–0
LHBorac Banja Luka2–3
–AFK Sarajevo21/11
–HZrinjski28/11
–ABSK Banja Luka02/12
Velež
DHČelik1–1
WASloga Doboj1–0
LHBSK Banja Luka2–3
DHSiroki Brijeg0–0
LAZrinjski0–2
WHFK Sarajevo1–0
–ARadnik Bijeljina21/11
–HZeljeznicar Sarajevo28/11
–AFK Sarajevo02/12

Top Scorers

Siroki Brijeg
F. Matic6 ⚽
B. Markovina3 ⚽
3 ⚽
L. Guedes2 ⚽
M. Matic2 ⚽
D. Virgili2 ⚽
Velež
A. Mesic4 ⚽
I. Saric3 ⚽
A. Hrkac2 ⚽
M. Rahimic2 ⚽
A. Milak2 ⚽
N. Stojanovic1 ⚽

Cards Given

Siroki Brijeg
T. Tomic5 🟨
K. Sesar2 🟨
M. Kordic-Gruzic2 🟨
I. Krstanovic2 🟨
M. Mourelo2 🟨
F. Jelcic1 🟨
Velež
A. Nukic6 🟨
A. Hrkac2 🟨
A. Imamovic2 🟨
A. Mesic2 🟨
A. Besagic2 🟨
A. Omerovic2 🟨