KCCA vs UPDF — Premier League
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KCCA and UPDF meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 22 October 2026. KCCA have recorded 3 wins from 6 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 0% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 0%; and clean sheets in 67% of games. UPDF have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.11 for KCCA and 1.01 for UPDF. The models give KCCA a 49% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an UPDF win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
KCCA
UPDFHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| KCCA | Home | Away | UPDF | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 0% | 25% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| KCCA | Home | Away | UPDF | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 67% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| KCCA | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| KCCA | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 17% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 17% | 17% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 0% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 33% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
KCCA (H)
Kataka1–0
NEC0–2
Mbarara City4–1
Maroons3–0
Vipers1–1
Kitara1–0UPDF (A)
Express2–1
Police0–0
Entebbe UPPC1–2
SC Villa1–2Entebbe UPPC0–2Police0–2Head to Head · 14 matches
KCCAUPDFKCCAUPDFUPDFKCCAUPDFKCCAKCCAUPDFKCCAUPDFUPDFKCCA| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BUL | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 | SC Villa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 3 | NEC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +9 | 14 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 5 | Vipers | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 10 |
| 6 | KCCA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 |  Blacks Power | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | UPDF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Maroons | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Lugazi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Police | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Express | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  URA | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 | Kataka | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Team Insights
KCCA- ●KCCA have won their last 3 matches.
- ●KCCA have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●KCCA have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●KCCA have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of KCCA's points have been earned away.
UPDF—
Season Schedule
KCCANtugasaze2–0URA1–0Kataka1–0Kigezi HomeBoyz0–0Express0–2NEC0–2UPDF22/10Lugazi28/10Mbarara City31/10UPDFBUL0–2Express2–1Maroons1–0Police0–0Entebbe UPPC1–2Kataka0–0KCCA22/10URA27/10Kitara31/10Top Scorers
KCCAUPDFCards Given
KCCAUPDF