Mbarara City vs Lugazi — Premier League
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Mbarara City and Lugazi meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 18 November 2026. Mbarara City have recorded 1 wins from 5 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 0.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 20% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Lugazi have won 40% of their 5 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Mbarara City and 0.69 for Lugazi. The models give Mbarara City a 49% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Lugazi win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30% and BTTS at 36%.
Season Statistics
Mbarara CityLugaziHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mbarara City | Home | Away | Lugazi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 20% | 33% | 0% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 80% | 67% | 100% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Mbarara City | Home | Away | Lugazi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 33% | 100% | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 67% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mbarara City | Lugazi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 20% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 20% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mbarara City | Lugazi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 100% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 0% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 60% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 60% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 0% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 80% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 40% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Mbarara City (H)
Blacks Power2–1
Entebbe UPPC0–0
NEC0–0
Buhimba Saints2–0
SC Villa1–3
Express2–1Lugazi (A)
Maroons0–3Entebbe UPPC1–0NEC1–3Express0–0
BUL0–0Buhimba Saints2–0Head to Head · 4 matches
Mbarara CityLugaziLugaziMbarara City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 |  Vipers | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 7 |
| 8 | Maroons | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Police | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 |  KCCA | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 |  UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Express | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 |  URA | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 |  Ntugasaze | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 |  Kataka | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Team Insights
Mbarara City- ●Mbarara City have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mbarara City have lost their last 2 away matches.
Lugazi- ●67% of Lugazi's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Mbarara CityBlacks Power2–1Ntugasaze0–1Entebbe UPPC0–0NEC0–0Police0–1SC Villa22/10Vipers28/10KCCA31/10LugaziMaroons0–3Police0–2Entebbe UPPC1–0NEC1–3Kigezi HomeBoyz2–1Express21/10KCCA28/10SC Villa31/10Top Scorers
Mbarara CityLugaziCards Given
Mbarara CityLugazi