Uganda · Premier League · Regular Season - 11

SC Villa

2º · 2.33 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 34d 0h

–

UPDF

9º · 1.33 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 32d 23h

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SC Villa and UPDF meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 20 November 2026. SC Villa have recorded 5 wins from 13 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.31 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 31%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. UPDF have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 50%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for SC Villa and 0.88 for UPDF. The models give SC Villa a 56% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an UPDF win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 43%.

Season Statistics

SC Villa

—

UPDF

2º

Position

9º

2.33

PPG

1.33

67%

Win %

33%

2.33

Goals / game

0.67

0.50

Conceded / game

0.83

38%

BTTS %

33%

23%

Clean sheet %

50%

31%

Over 2.5 %

33%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

SC Villa

Home (3)

—

UPDF

Away (3)

2.33

PPG

1.33

67%

Win %

33%

2.00

Goals / game

1.00

0.33

Conceded / game

1.00

50%

BTTS %

67%

33%

Clean sheet %

33%

Over 2.5 %

67%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	SC Villa	Home	Away	UPDF	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	62%	83%	43%	50%	33%	67%
Over 1.5 Scored	31%	50%	14%	17%	0%	33%
Over 2.5 Scored	15%	17%	14%	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	38%	17%	57%	50%	67%	33%

Goals Conceded

	SC Villa	Home	Away	UPDF	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	77%	67%	86%	50%	33%	67%
Over 1.5 Conceded	8%	0%	14%	33%	33%	33%
Over 2.5 Conceded	8%	0%	14%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	23%	33%	14%	50%	67%	33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	SC Villa	UPDF
Over 0.5	100%	67%
Over 1.5	62%	50%
Over 2.5	31%	33%
Over 3.5	8%	0%
Over 4.5	8%	0%
BTTS	38%	33%
BTTS & Win	15%	17%
BTTS & Draw	23%	0%
BTTS & Over 2.5	15%	33%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	15%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	SC Villa	UPDF
Win 1st Half	42%	33%
Draw 1st Half	33%	67%
Loss 1st Half	25%	0%
Scored 1st Half	50%	50%
Conceded 1st Half	33%	17%
Win 2nd Half	42%	0%
Draw 2nd Half	25%	50%
Loss 2nd Half	33%	50%
Scored 2nd Half	50%	0%
Conceded 2nd Half	50%	50%
Over 0.5 HT	75%	50%
Over 1.5 HT	25%	33%

Recent Venue Form

SC Villa (H)

LMPS1–1

Members0–1

Kigezi HomeBoyz3–0

Express2–0

LCS2–1

Kitara1–1

UPDF (A)

Express2–1

Police0–0

Entebbe UPPC1–2

SC Villa1–2

Entebbe UPPC0–2

Police0–2

Head to Head · 14 matches

SC Villa

57%

Draws

14%

UPDF

29%

64%

Over 1.5

9/14

29%

Over 2.5

4/14

Over 3.5

1/14

14%

BTTS

2/14

23/05/26

SC Villa

2–1

UPDF

25/11/25

UPDF

0–1

SC Villa

02/03/25

UPDF

2–0

SC Villa

01/11/24

SC Villa

5–0

UPDF

11/05/24

UPDF

0–2

SC Villa

02/01/24

SC Villa

3–0

UPDF

16/05/23

UPDF

0–2

SC Villa

11/12/22

SC Villa

2–0

UPDF

06/02/22

UPDF

0–0

SC Villa

08/01/22

SC Villa

0–0

UPDF

18/06/21

UPDF

2–1

SC Villa

27/02/21

SC Villa

0–1

UPDF

05/05/18

UPDF

1–0

SC Villa

14/10/17

SC Villa

2–0

UPDF

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	BUL	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	SC Villa	6	4	2	0	+11	14
3	NEC	6	4	2	0	+9	14
4	Entebbe UPPC	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Vipers	5	3	1	1	+11	10
6	KCCA	6	3	1	2	0	10
7	Blacks Power	6	3	0	3	-3	9
8	Kitara	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	UPDF	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Maroons	6	2	1	3	+2	7
11	Lugazi	6	2	1	3	-5	7
12	Police	6	2	1	3	-6	7
13	Mbarara City	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Express	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	URA	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Ntugasaze	6	1	0	5	-10	3
17	Kataka	6	0	2	4	-10	2
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	5	0	1	4	-7	1