Uganda · Premier League · Regular Season - 12

Lugazi

11º · 1.14 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 31d 0h

–

Kitara

9º · 2.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h

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Lugazi and Kitara meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Lugazi have recorded 2 wins from 7 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 0.57 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Kitara have won 57% of their 7 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 29%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.92 for Lugazi and 1.05 for Kitara. The models give Lugazi a 27% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Kitara win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 31% and BTTS at 39%.

Season Statistics

Lugazi

—

Kitara

11º

Position

9º

1.14

PPG

2.00

29%

Win %

50%

0.57

Goals / game

1.25

1.29

Conceded / game

0.75

29%

BTTS %

71%

43%

Clean sheet %

29%

43%

Over 2.5 %

43%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Lugazi

Home (4)

—

Kitara

Away (3)

1.25

PPG

1.67

25%

Win %

33%

0.50

Goals / game

1.33

0.75

Conceded / game

1.00

25%

BTTS %

100%

50%

Clean sheet %

25%

Over 2.5 %

50%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Lugazi	Home	Away	Kitara	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	43%	25%	67%	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	14%	25%	0%	43%	33%	50%
Over 2.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	57%	75%	33%	0%	0%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Lugazi	Home	Away	Kitara	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	57%	50%	67%	71%	33%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	43%	25%	67%	14%	33%	0%
Over 2.5 Conceded	29%	0%	67%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	43%	50%	33%	29%	67%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Lugazi	Kitara
Over 0.5	71%	100%
Over 1.5	57%	86%
Over 2.5	43%	43%
Over 3.5	14%	0%
Over 4.5	0%	0%
BTTS	29%	71%
BTTS & Win	14%	29%
BTTS & Draw	0%	29%
BTTS & Over 2.5	29%	43%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	14%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Lugazi	Kitara
Win 1st Half	0%	57%
Draw 1st Half	100%	29%
Loss 1st Half	0%	14%
Scored 1st Half	0%	71%
Conceded 1st Half	0%	43%
Win 2nd Half	29%	43%
Draw 2nd Half	29%	43%
Loss 2nd Half	43%	14%
Scored 2nd Half	43%	43%
Conceded 2nd Half	57%	29%
Over 0.5 HT	0%	86%
Over 1.5 HT	0%	29%

Recent Venue Form

Lugazi (H)

Express0–0

BUL0–0

Police0–2

Kigezi HomeBoyz2–1

Maroons0–1

Mbarara City0–1

Kitara (A)

Kataka2–1

Express1–1

Mogadishu City2–1

SC Villa1–1

BUL1–1

Express2–3

Head to Head · 4 matches

Lugazi

Draws

25%

Kitara

75%

Over 1.5

3/4

75%

Over 2.5

3/4

25%

Over 3.5

1/4

25%

BTTS

1/4

25/04/26

Lugazi

1–2

Kitara

30/10/25

Kitara

4–0

Lugazi

15/04/25

Kitara

0–0

Lugazi

14/09/24

Lugazi

0–3

Kitara

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	BUL	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	SC Villa	7	5	2	0	+13	17
3	NEC	7	4	2	1	+8	14
4	Entebbe UPPC	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Vipers	5	3	1	1	+11	10
6	Maroons	7	3	1	3	+5	10
7	KCCA	6	3	1	2	0	10
8	Blacks Power	6	3	0	3	-3	9
9	Kitara	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	UPDF	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Lugazi	7	2	2	3	-5	8
12	Police	6	2	1	3	-6	7
13	Express	7	1	3	3	-2	6
14	Mbarara City	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	URA	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Ntugasaze	6	1	0	5	-10	3
17	Kataka	7	0	2	5	-13	2
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	6	0	1	5	-8	1