UPDF vs Mbarara City — Premier League
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UPDF and Mbarara City meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 24 November 2026. UPDF have recorded 2 wins from 6 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Mbarara City have won 17% of their 6 matches, with 0.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 17%, Over 2.5 at 17%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.02 for UPDF and 0.73 for Mbarara City. The models give UPDF a 42% win probability, with a draw at 32% and an Mbarara City win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 26% and BTTS at 33%.
Season Statistics
UPDFMbarara CityHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| UPDF | Home | Away | Mbarara City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 33% | 67% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 67% | 33% | 83% | 67% | 100% |
Goals Conceded
| UPDF | Home | Away | Mbarara City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 67% | 67% | 33% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 33% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UPDF | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 17% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UPDF | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 17% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 17% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 0% | 0% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
UPDF (H)
BUL0–2
Maroons1–0
Kataka0–0
Calvary0–0
KCCA1–2
URA0–0Mbarara City (A)
SC Villa0–2
Ntugasaze0–1
Police0–1KCCA1–4
Lugazi1–0
NEC0–0Head to Head · 11 matches
Mbarara CityUPDFUPDFMbarara CityUPDFMbarara CityUPDFMbarara CityMbarara CityMbarara CityUPDF| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | SC Villa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 | NEC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |  Entebbe UPPC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Vipers | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 10 |
| 6 | Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 | KCCA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 |  Blacks Power | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 |  Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | UPDF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Lugazi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Police | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 |  Express | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | URA | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 | Kataka | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Team Insights
UPDF—
Mbarara City- ●Mbarara City have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mbarara City have lost their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
UPDFBUL0–2Express2–1Maroons1–0Police0–0Entebbe UPPC1–2Kataka0–0URA27/10Kitara31/10NEC03/11Mbarara CitySC Villa0–2Blacks Power2–1Ntugasaze0–1Entebbe UPPC0–0NEC0–0Police0–1Vipers28/10KCCA31/10Kigezi HomeBoyz05/11Top Scorers
UPDFMbarara CityCards Given
UPDFMbarara City