NEC vs Police — Premier League
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NEC and Police meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 2 December 2026. NEC have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 2.13 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Police have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 0.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 25%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for NEC and 0.83 for Police. The models give NEC a 56% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Police win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
NEC
PoliceHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| NEC | Home | Away | Police | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 75% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 75% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| NEC | Home | Away | Police | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 75% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 25% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| NEC | Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 13% |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| NEC | Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 75% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 13% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 63% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
NEC (H)
Ntugasaze5–1
Express0–0
URA4–1
Lugazi3–1
SC Villa1–4
Mbarara City0–0Police (A)
Vipers0–0
Entebbe UPPC0–3Lugazi2–0
Blacks Power0–1
Kitara2–2
Calvary0–1Head to Head · 4 matches
NECPoliceNECPolice| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BUL | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | SC Villa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 | NEC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 17 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 |  KCCA | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | Blacks Power | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | Vipers | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 11 |
| 8 |  Maroons | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 9 | Police | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 |  UPDF | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Express | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | URA | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |  Kataka | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 3 |
| 17 | Ntugasaze | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 1 |
Team Insights
NEC- ●NEC have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●71% of NEC's goals have been scored at home.
Police- ●Police have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
NECNtugasaze5–1BUL1–2Kigezi HomeBoyz2–0Express0–0URA4–1Mbarara City0–0Blacks Power31/10UPDF03/11Maroons19/11PoliceKigezi HomeBoyz3–1Vipers0–0SC Villa1–6Entebbe UPPC0–3Lugazi2–0UPDF0–0Kataka30/10Kitara03/11KCCA20/11Top Scorers
NECPoliceCards Given
NECPolice