Uganda · Premier League · Regular Season - 13

UPDF

14º · 0.89 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 29d 0h

–

Vipers

10º · 1.38 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 31d 20h

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UPDF and Vipers meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 2 December 2026. UPDF have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 0.44 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 22% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 22%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Vipers have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 20%, Over 2.5 at 30%, and clean sheets at 50%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.72 for UPDF and 1.26 for Vipers. The models give UPDF a 19% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Vipers win at 53%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 32% and BTTS at 37%.

Season Statistics

UPDF

—

Vipers

14º

Position

10º

0.89

PPG

1.38

22%

Win %

38%

0.44

Goals / game

1.63

0.89

Conceded / game

0.50

22%

BTTS %

20%

33%

Clean sheet %

50%

22%

Over 2.5 %

30%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

UPDF

Home (5)

—

Vipers

Away (4)

0.80

PPG

1.50

20%

Win %

50%

0.20

Goals / game

2.25

0.80

Conceded / game

0.50

BTTS %

40%

Clean sheet %

60%

Over 2.5 %

40%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	UPDF	Home	Away	Vipers	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	33%	20%	50%	50%	60%	40%
Over 1.5 Scored	11%	0%	25%	30%	20%	40%
Over 2.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	30%	20%	40%
Failed To Score	67%	80%	50%	50%	40%	60%

Goals Conceded

	UPDF	Home	Away	Vipers	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	67%	60%	75%	50%	60%	40%
Over 1.5 Conceded	22%	20%	25%	0%	0%	0%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	33%	40%	25%	50%	40%	60%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	UPDF	Vipers
Over 0.5	78%	80%
Over 1.5	33%	50%
Over 2.5	22%	30%
Over 3.5	0%	20%
Over 4.5	0%	10%
BTTS	22%	20%
BTTS & Win	11%	0%
BTTS & Draw	0%	20%
BTTS & Over 2.5	22%	0%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	30%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	UPDF	Vipers
Win 1st Half	22%	30%
Draw 1st Half	67%	30%
Loss 1st Half	11%	40%
Scored 1st Half	33%	40%
Conceded 1st Half	22%	50%
Win 2nd Half	0%	40%
Draw 2nd Half	44%	60%
Loss 2nd Half	56%	0%
Scored 2nd Half	0%	40%
Conceded 2nd Half	56%	0%
Over 0.5 HT	44%	80%
Over 1.5 HT	22%	20%

Recent Venue Form

UPDF (H)

Kitara0–1

URA0–1

BUL0–2

Maroons1–0

Kataka0–0

Calvary0–0

Vipers (A)

URA0–1

Mbarara City0–1

Kataka5–0

Blacks Power4–0

Nouadhibou0–0

APR1–2

Head to Head · 14 matches

UPDF

Draws

14%

Vipers

86%

64%

Over 1.5

9/14

50%

Over 2.5

7/14

29%

Over 3.5

4/14

50%

BTTS

7/14

11/03/26

UPDF

1–2

Vipers

02/12/25

Vipers

5–1

UPDF

29/04/25

Vipers

1–0

UPDF

03/01/25

UPDF

0–1

Vipers

05/04/24

Vipers

2–1

UPDF

03/12/23

UPDF

0–1

Vipers

19/04/23

UPDF

0–1

Vipers

18/11/22

Vipers

4–0

UPDF

18/02/22

UPDF

1–1

Vipers

27/12/21

Vipers

7–2

UPDF

02/04/21

UPDF

0–3

Vipers

13/02/21

Vipers

1–0

UPDF

25/05/18

Vipers

4–1

UPDF

15/11/17

UPDF

1–1

Vipers

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	NEC	10	7	2	1	+14	23
2	BUL	9	7	2	0	+12	23
3	SC Villa	10	6	3	1	+13	21
4	KCCA	9	6	1	2	+6	19
5	Entebbe UPPC	9	4	4	1	+5	16
6	Police	10	4	3	3	-3	15
7	URA	9	4	1	4	-2	13
8	Blacks Power	9	4	1	4	-3	13
9	Kitara	6	3	3	0	+3	12
10	Vipers	8	3	2	3	+9	11
11	Maroons	9	3	2	4	+2	11
12	Express	9	1	5	3	-2	8
13	Mbarara City	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	UPDF	9	2	2	5	-4	8
15	Lugazi	9	2	2	5	-7	8
16	Ntugasaze	8	1	1	6	-14	4
17	Kataka	10	0	3	7	-15	3
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	7	0	1	6	-10	1