Lugazi vs UPDF — Premier League
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Lugazi and UPDF meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 10 December 2026. Lugazi have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. UPDF have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 0.44 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 22%, Over 2.5 at 22%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.00 for Lugazi and 0.97 for UPDF. The models give Lugazi a 39% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an UPDF win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 31% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Lugazi
UPDFHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lugazi | Home | Away | UPDF | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 40% | 75% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 60% | 25% | 67% | 80% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Lugazi | Home | Away | UPDF | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 60% | 75% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 40% | 75% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 40% | 25% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lugazi | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 22% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 44% | 22% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lugazi | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 89% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 0% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 11% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 56% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 0% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 11% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Lugazi (H)
SC Villa1–2
Express0–0
BUL0–0
Police0–2
Kigezi HomeBoyz2–1
Maroons0–1UPDF (A)
NEC0–1Express2–1Police0–0
Entebbe UPPC1–2SC Villa1–2Entebbe UPPC0–2Head to Head · 4 matches
UPDFLugaziUPDFLugazi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | BUL | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 21 |
| 4 |  KCCA | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 | Police | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 |  URA | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Blacks Power | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Kitara | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Vipers | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 11 |
| 11 | Maroons | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 11 |
| 12 | Express | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Mbarara City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | UPDF | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Lugazi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Ntugasaze | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  Kataka | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 3 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 1 |
Team Insights
Lugazi- ●Lugazi have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Lugazi have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lugazi have lost their last 2 away matches.
UPDF- ●UPDF have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●UPDF have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●UPDF failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●UPDF have lost their last 3 home matches.
Season Schedule
LugaziSC Villa1–2KCCA1–2Express0–0BUL0–0Maroons0–3Police0–2Vipers05/11Mbarara City18/11Kitara21/11UPDFNEC0–1Kitara0–1URA0–1BUL0–2Express2–1Maroons1–0SC Villa20/11Mbarara City24/11Vipers02/12Top Scorers
LugaziUPDFCards Given
LugaziUPDF