MatchPulse

Mbarara City vs Express — Premier League

← Back
Uganda · Premier League · Regular Season - 14
Mbarara City
Mbarara City
13º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 40d 0h
vs
–
–
Express
Express
12º · 0.89 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 39d 0h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

From€8.99/Mo

Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime

Start 14-Day Free TrialUpgrade To Pro →

Mbarara City and Express meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 10 December 2026. Mbarara City have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Express have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 0.78 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 22%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.96 for Mbarara City and 0.73 for Express. The models give Mbarara City a 40% win probability, with a draw at 33% and an Express win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 24% and BTTS at 32%.

Season Statistics

Mbarara City
—
Express
13º
Position
12º
1.00
PPG
0.89
25%
Win %
11%
0.50
Goals / game
0.78
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
25%
BTTS %
44%
38%
Clean sheet %
33%
25%
Over 2.5 %
22%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Mbarara City
Home (5)
—
Express
Away (5)
1.60
PPG
0.60
40%
Win %
0%
0.80
Goals / game
0.20
0.80
Conceded / game
0.80
40%
BTTS %
20%
60%
Clean sheet %
40%
40%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Mbarara CityHomeAwayExpressHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored38%60%0%56%100%20%
Over 1.5 Scored13%20%0%22%50%0%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%0%0%0%
Failed To Score63%40%100%44%0%80%

Goals Conceded

Mbarara CityHomeAwayExpressHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded63%40%100%67%75%60%
Over 1.5 Conceded25%20%33%33%50%20%
Over 2.5 Conceded13%20%0%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets38%60%0%33%25%40%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Mbarara CityExpress
Over 0.575%78%
Over 1.538%67%
Over 2.525%22%
Over 3.513%11%
Over 4.50%0%
BTTS25%44%
BTTS & Win13%0%
BTTS & Draw0%33%
BTTS & Over 2.525%22%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Mbarara CityExpress
Win 1st Half25%0%
Draw 1st Half38%56%
Loss 1st Half38%44%
Scored 1st Half38%22%
Conceded 1st Half38%56%
Win 2nd Half0%33%
Draw 2nd Half50%56%
Loss 2nd Half50%11%
Scored 2nd Half0%44%
Conceded 2nd Half50%22%
Over 0.5 HT63%56%
Over 1.5 HT25%33%

Recent Venue Form

Mbarara City (H)
LKCCA1–3
WVipers1–0
WBlacks Power2–1
DEntebbe UPPC0–0
DNEC0–0
WBuhimba Saints2–0
Express (A)
DNtugasaze1–1
DLugazi0–0
DNEC0–0
LSC Villa0–2
LBUL0–1
LVipers0–2

Head to Head · 16 matches

6
Mbarara City
38%
5
Draws
31%
5
Express
31%
63%
Over 1.5
10/16
38%
Over 2.5
6/16
31%
Over 3.5
5/16
50%
BTTS
8/16
28/04/26
Mbarara City
2–1
Express
05/11/25
Express
4–1
Mbarara City
16/05/25
Mbarara City
2–0
Express
28/11/24
Express
3–1
Mbarara City
02/02/24
Mbarara City
3–1
Express
23/09/23
Express
0–0
Mbarara City
25/03/22
Mbarara City
0–0
Express
07/12/21
Express
2–0
Mbarara City
17/04/21
Express
1–1
Mbarara City
16/12/20
Mbarara City
1–1
Express
02/02/20
Express
0–1
Mbarara City
10/09/19
Mbarara City
2–3
Express
05/03/19
Express
0–0
Mbarara City
07/10/18
Mbarara City
3–1
Express
11/04/18
Express
1–0
Mbarara City
16/09/17
Mbarara City
1–0
Express
Premier League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1NEC10721+1423
2BUL9720+1223
3SC Villa10631+1321
4Entebbe UPPC9441+516
5KCCA8512+316
6Police10433-315
7Blacks Power9414-313
8Kitara6330+312
9Vipers8323+911
10Maroons8323+511
11URA8314-310
12Express9153-28
13Mbarara City8224-48
14UPDF9225-48
15Lugazi9225-78
16Ntugasaze8116-144
17Kataka9036-143
18Kigezi HomeBoyz7016-101

Team Insights

Mbarara City
  • ●Mbarara City have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Mbarara City have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●100% of Mbarara City's points have been earned at home.
Express
  • ●Express have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Express have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Express have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Express have conceded 78% of their goals in the first half.
Mbarara CityMbarara City
LHKCCA5º1–3
WHVipers9º1–0
LASC Villa3º0–2
WHBlacks Power7º2–1
LANtugasaze16º0–1
DHEntebbe UPPC4º0–0
DHNEC1º0–0
LAPolice6º0–1
LAKCCA2º1–4
WHBuhimba Saints16º2–0
ExpressExpress
DANtugasaze16º1–1
DHKataka17º2–2
DALugazi15º0–0
LHUPDF14º1–2
DANEC1º0–0
DHKitara8º1–1
LASC Villa3º0–2
WHKCCA5º2–0
LABUL2º0–1
LAVipers1º0–2

Season Schedule

Mbarara City
LHKCCA1–3
WHVipers1–0
LASC Villa0–2
WHBlacks Power2–1
LANtugasaze0–1
DHEntebbe UPPC0–0
–AKigezi HomeBoyz06/11
–HLugazi18/11
–AUPDF24/11
Express
DANtugasaze1–1
DHKataka2–2
DALugazi0–0
LHUPDF1–2
DANEC0–0
DHKitara1–1
–HBlacks Power05/11
–AKigezi HomeBoyz19/11
–HVipers22/11

Top Scorers

Mbarara City
A. Kacancu1 ⚽
E. Tumwine1 ⚽
R. Mugisha1 ⚽
Express
H. Wamala2 ⚽
I. Wagoina2 ⚽
H. Asiimwe1 ⚽
M. Rickman1 ⚽
N. Jjonga1 ⚽

Cards Given

Mbarara City
A. Arinda1 🟨
R. Mugisha1 🟨
Express