Maroons vs Mbarara City — Premier League
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Maroons and Mbarara City meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Maroons have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Mbarara City have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 0.56 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Maroons and 0.87 for Mbarara City. The models give Maroons a 55% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Mbarara City win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
MaroonsMbarara CityHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Maroons | Home | Away | Mbarara City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 100% | 40% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 20% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 0% | 60% | 56% | 40% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| Maroons | Home | Away | Mbarara City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 75% | 80% | 67% | 40% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 20% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 20% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 25% | 20% | 33% | 60% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Maroons | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS | 56% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Maroons | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 56% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 11% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Maroons (H)
Kataka4–1
Lugazi3–0
Blacks Power1–2
URA1–2
Vipers0–3
Entebbe UPPC0–0Mbarara City (A)
Kigezi HomeBoyz1–2
SC Villa0–2
Ntugasaze0–1
Police0–1
KCCA1–4Lugazi1–0Head to Head · 11 matches
MaroonsMbarara CityMbarara CityMaroonsMaroonsMbarara CityMaroonsMbarara CityMaroonsMaroonsMbarara City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NEC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |  BUL | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 21 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 | KCCA | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 6 | Vipers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +14 | 17 |
| 7 | Police | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | URA | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Blacks Power | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 10 |  Kitara | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 | Maroons | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 11 |
| 12 |  Express | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  UPDF | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Lugazi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | Ntugasaze | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 4 |
| 18 | Kataka | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 3 |
Team Insights
Maroons- ●Maroons have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Maroons have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Maroons failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Maroons's goals have been scored at home.
Mbarara City- ●Mbarara City have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Mbarara City have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●100% of Mbarara City's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
MaroonsKCCA0–3Entebbe UPPC0–0Kataka4–1Vipers1–1Lugazi3–0UPDF0–1NEC19/11SC Villa25/11Kitara02/12Mbarara CityKigezi HomeBoyz1–2KCCA1–3Vipers1–0SC Villa0–2Blacks Power2–1Ntugasaze0–1Lugazi18/11UPDF24/11Kataka02/12Top Scorers
MaroonsMbarara CityCards Given
MaroonsMbarara City