Kataka vs Ntugasaze — Premier League
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Kataka and Ntugasaze meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 14 December 2026. Kataka have recorded 0 wins from 10 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Ntugasaze have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 0.63 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Kataka and 1.53 for Ntugasaze. The models give Kataka a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Ntugasaze win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Kataka
NtugasazeHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Kataka | Home | Away | Ntugasaze | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 83% | 50% | 67% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 17% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 17% | 50% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Kataka | Home | Away | Ntugasaze | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 100% | 75% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 70% | 83% | 50% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 40% | 50% | 25% | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 25% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kataka | Ntugasaze | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 22% |
| BTTS | 70% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kataka | Ntugasaze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 56% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 70% | 67% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 22% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 90% | 89% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Kataka (H)
URA3–4
Police1–2
Vipers0–5
Kitara1–2
SC Villa1–1
BUL1–4Ntugasaze (A)
NEC1–5Vipers0–3BUL1–4
Blacks Power0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | BUL | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 21 |
| 4 |  KCCA | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  Entebbe UPPC | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 | Police | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | URA | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Blacks Power | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Kitara | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Vipers | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 11 |
| 11 |  Maroons | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 11 |
| 12 |  Express | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Mbarara City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  UPDF | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Lugazi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Ntugasaze | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 | Kataka | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 3 |
| 18 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 1 |
Team Insights
Kataka- ●Kataka have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
- ●Kataka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Kataka have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Kataka have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Kataka have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kataka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Kataka failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Kataka have lost 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●70% of Kataka's goals have been scored at home.
- ●72% of Kataka's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Ntugasaze- ●Ntugasaze have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Ntugasaze have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ntugasaze have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ntugasaze failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Season Schedule
KatakaURA3–4Police1–2Express2–2Maroons1–4Vipers0–5Kitara1–2Entebbe UPPC19/11NEC25/11Mbarara City02/12NtugasazeEntebbe UPPC1–3Express1–1NEC1–5KCCA0–2Mbarara City1–0Vipers0–3URA20/11Police25/11SC Villa02/12Top Scorers
KatakaNtugasazeCards Given
KatakaNtugasaze