Police vs BUL — Premier League
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Police and BUL meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 14 December 2026. Police have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. BUL have won 78% of their 9 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.00 for Police and 1.37 for BUL. The models give Police a 31% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an BUL win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Police
BULHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Police | Home | Away | BUL | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 80% | 40% | 89% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 20% | 40% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 22% | 17% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 20% | 60% | 11% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Police | Home | Away | BUL | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 60% | 60% | 67% | 83% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% | 33% | 17% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Police | BUL | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 22% |
| BTTS | 40% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 56% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Police | BUL | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 67% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 78% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Police (H)
Kitara1–1
Kigezi HomeBoyz3–1
SC Villa1–6
UPDF0–0
Mbarara City1–0
Entebbe UPPC1–1BUL (A)UPDF2–0
Lugazi0–0
Kataka4–1Entebbe UPPC0–4SC Villa0–0
Express2–0Head to Head · 22 matches
BULPolicePoliceBULBULPoliceBULBULPoliceBULPoliceBULBULPolicePoliceBULBULPolicePoliceBUL| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NEC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | BUL | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 21 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  KCCA | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Police | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 |  Blacks Power | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Kitara | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Vipers | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 11 |
| 10 |  Maroons | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 11 |  URA | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Express | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | UPDF | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Lugazi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Ntugasaze | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 | Kataka | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 1 |
Team Insights
Police- ●Police have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
BUL- ●BUL have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●BUL have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●BUL failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●BUL have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●BUL have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●BUL have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●BUL failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●BUL have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●67% of BUL's goals have been scored at home.
- ●BUL have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
PoliceKitara1–1Kataka2–1Kigezi HomeBoyz3–1Vipers0–0SC Villa1–6Entebbe UPPC0–3KCCA20/11Ntugasaze25/11NEC02/12BULSC Villa2–1Entebbe UPPC1–1NEC2–1UPDF2–0Lugazi0–0Blacks Power2–1Vipers18/11KCCA26/11Kigezi HomeBoyz01/12Top Scorers
PoliceBULCards Given
PoliceBUL