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UPDF vs Kigezi HomeBoyz — Premier League

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Uganda · Premier League · Regular Season - 15
UPDF
UPDF
14º · 0.89 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 1h
vs
–
–
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Kigezi HomeBoyz
18º · 0.14 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 49d 1h
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UPDF and Kigezi HomeBoyz meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 15 December 2026. UPDF have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 0.44 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 22% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 22%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Kigezi HomeBoyz have won 0% of their 7 matches, with 0.29 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for UPDF and 0.82 for Kigezi HomeBoyz. The models give UPDF a 42% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Kigezi HomeBoyz win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 32% and BTTS at 39%.

Season Statistics

UPDF
—
Kigezi HomeBoyz
14º
Position
18º
0.89
PPG
0.14
22%
Win %
0%
0.44
Goals / game
0.29
0.89
Conceded / game
1.71
22%
BTTS %
29%
33%
Clean sheet %
14%
22%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

UPDF
Home (5)
—
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Away (4)
0.80
PPG
0.00
20%
Win %
0%
0.20
Goals / game
0.50
0.80
Conceded / game
2.25
0%
BTTS %
50%
40%
Clean sheet %
0%
0%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

UPDFHomeAwayKigezi HomeBoyzHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored33%20%50%29%0%50%
Over 1.5 Scored11%0%25%0%0%0%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%0%0%0%
Failed To Score67%80%50%71%100%50%

Goals Conceded

UPDFHomeAwayKigezi HomeBoyzHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded67%60%75%86%67%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded22%20%25%57%33%75%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%29%0%50%
Clean Sheets33%40%25%14%33%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

UPDFKigezi HomeBoyz
Over 0.578%86%
Over 1.533%57%
Over 2.522%43%
Over 3.50%14%
Over 4.50%0%
BTTS22%29%
BTTS & Win11%0%
BTTS & Draw0%0%
BTTS & Over 2.522%29%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%14%

1st Half / 2nd Half

UPDFKigezi HomeBoyz
Win 1st Half22%0%
Draw 1st Half67%43%
Loss 1st Half11%57%
Scored 1st Half33%14%
Conceded 1st Half22%71%
Win 2nd Half0%0%
Draw 2nd Half44%43%
Loss 2nd Half56%57%
Scored 2nd Half0%14%
Conceded 2nd Half56%57%
Over 0.5 HT44%71%
Over 1.5 HT22%29%

Recent Venue Form

UPDF (H)
LKitara0–1
LURA0–1
LBUL0–2
WMaroons1–0
DKataka0–0
DCalvary0–0
Kigezi HomeBoyz (A)
LPolice1–3
LKitara0–1
LSC Villa0–3
LLugazi1–2
Premier League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1NEC10721+1423
2BUL9720+1223
3SC Villa10631+1321
4KCCA9612+619
5Entebbe UPPC9441+516
6Police10433-315
7URA9414-213
8Blacks Power9414-313
9Kitara6330+312
10Vipers8323+911
11Maroons9324+211
12Express9153-28
13Mbarara City8224-48
14UPDF9225-48
15Lugazi9225-78
16Ntugasaze8116-144
17Kataka10037-153
18Kigezi HomeBoyz7016-101

Team Insights

UPDF
  • ●UPDF have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●UPDF have lost their last 4 matches.
  • ●UPDF failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●UPDF have lost their last 3 home matches.
Kigezi HomeBoyz
  • ●Kigezi HomeBoyz have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
  • ●Kigezi HomeBoyz have lost their last 5 matches.
  • ●Kigezi HomeBoyz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Kigezi HomeBoyz have lost their last 4 away matches.
  • ●75% of Kigezi HomeBoyz's goals conceded were conceded away.
UPDFUPDF
LANEC1º0–1
LHKitara9º0–1
LHURA7º0–1
LHBUL2º0–2
WAExpress12º2–1
WHMaroons11º1–0
DAPolice6º0–0
LAEntebbe UPPC5º1–2
DHKataka17º0–0
LASC Villa3º1–2
Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz
LAPolice6º1–3
LHEntebbe UPPC5º0–1
LHNEC1º0–2
LAKitara9º0–1
LASC Villa3º0–3
DHKCCA4º0–0
LALugazi15º1–2

Season Schedule

UPDF
LANEC0–1
LHKitara0–1
LHURA0–1
LHBUL0–2
WAExpress2–1
WHMaroons1–0
–ASC Villa20/11
–HMbarara City24/11
–HVipers02/12
Kigezi HomeBoyz
LAPolice1–3
LHEntebbe UPPC0–1
LHNEC0–2
LAKitara0–1
LASC Villa0–3
DHKCCA0–0
–HMbarara City06/11
–HExpress19/11
–AURA26/11

Top Scorers

UPDF
D. Talemwa2 ⚽
D. Taremwa1 ⚽
H. Zzinda1 ⚽
Kigezi HomeBoyz
B. Kwezi1 ⚽
M. Walaga1 ⚽

Cards Given

UPDF
S. Kalule1 🟨
Kigezi HomeBoyz