Lille vs Bayern München — UEFA Champions League
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Lille and Bayern München meet in the UEFA Champions League 2026 season on 25 November 2026. Lille have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.72 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Bayern München have won 71% of their 21 matches, with 3.24 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 90%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.96 for Lille and 2.30 for Bayern München. The models give Lille a 30% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Bayern München win at 49%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 79% and BTTS at 75%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lille | Home | Away | Bayern München | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 80% | 95% | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 67% | 30% | 90% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 11% | 10% | 52% | 67% | 42% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 20% | 5% | 0% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Lille | Home | Away | Bayern München | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 56% | 70% | 76% | 78% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 33% | 50% | 29% | 22% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 44% | 30% | 24% | 22% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lille | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 43% |
| BTTS | 58% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 52% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 76% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lille | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 62% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 19% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Lille | Bayern München | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 93% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 46% | 87% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 38% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 31% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 15% | 60% | 35% |
| Over 11 | 8% | 40% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 20% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 20% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lille | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 7.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 3.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 62% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 46% | 93% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 31% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 85% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 62% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 62% | 33% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +15 | 12 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 9 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | |
| 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 | |
| 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 8 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | |
| 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | |
| 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | |
| 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 | |
| 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | |
| 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | |
| 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | |
| 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | |
| 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | |
| 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | |
| 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3 | |
| 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 | |
| 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | |
| 34 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 | |
| 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -16 | 0 |
Team Insights
- ●Lille have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●70% of Lille's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Bayern München have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.