Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven — UEFA Champions League
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Real Madrid and PSV Eindhoven meet in the UEFA Champions League 2026 season on 24 November 2026. Real Madrid have recorded 15 wins from 18 matches this season (83% win rate), averaging 2.61 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 72% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. PSV Eindhoven have won 56% of their 18 matches, with 2.50 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.46 for Real Madrid and 1.50 for PSV Eindhoven. The models give Real Madrid a 59% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an PSV Eindhoven win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Real Madrid—
PSV Eindhoven4º
Position
18º
3.00
PPG
1.33
100%
Win %
33%
3.33
Goals / game
0.67
1.67
Conceded / game
0.67
72%
BTTS %
78%
22%
Clean sheet %
17%
83%
Over 2.5 %
67%
6.3
Avg corners
6.4
15.6
Avg shots
18.1
7.2
Avg shots on target
6.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
8.8
Avg fouls
10.4
51.2%
Avg possession
59.3%
Home vs Away
Real Madrid
Home (2)
—
PSV Eindhoven
Away (2)
3.00
PPG
1.50
100%
Win %
50%
3.00
Goals / game
0.50
1.00
Conceded / game
0.50
78%
BTTS %
71%
22%
Clean sheet %
14%
89%
Over 2.5 %
71%
6.3
Avg corners
6.4
15.6
Avg shots
18.1
7.2
Avg shots on target
6.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
51.2%
Avg possession
59.3%
Goals Scored
| Real Madrid | Home | Away | PSV Eindhoven | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 89% | 94% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 78% | 89% | 67% | 61% | 64% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 33% | 39% | 45% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 0% | 11% | 6% | 0% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Madrid | Home | Away | PSV Eindhoven | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 78% | 78% | 83% | 82% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 11% | 33% | 33% | 36% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 11% | 17% | 18% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 22% | 22% | 17% | 18% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Madrid | PSV Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 39% | 33% |
| BTTS | 72% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 61% | 39% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 72% | 61% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Madrid | PSV Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 67% | 61% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 83% | 72% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 61% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 6% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 61% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Madrid (H)W
RB Leipzig4–1
RB Leipzig4–1W
Sevilla4–1
Sevilla4–1W
Villarreal1–0
Villarreal1–0W
Rayo Vallecano4–1
Rayo Vallecano4–1W
Inter2–1
Inter2–1W
Malaga4–0
Malaga4–0PSV Eindhoven (A)W
FC Porto1–0
FC Porto1–0L
ADO Den Haag1–2
ADO Den Haag1–2LRB Leipzig0–1
RB Leipzig0–1L
Twente2–3
Twente2–3W
Ajax3–1
Ajax3–1W
Utrecht6–1
Utrecht6–1Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.6
98 games
9.6
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Real Madrid | PSV Eindhoven | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 69% | 73% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 69% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 62% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 54% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 67% | 46% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 58% | 31% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 42% | 31% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 42% | 15% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Real Madrid | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.3 | 6.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 3.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 58% | 38% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 |
Team Insights
Real Madrid- ●Real Madrid have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Real Madrid have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Real Madrid have won their last 2 home matches.
PSV Eindhoven—
Season Schedule
Real MadridWHRB Leipzig4–1
RB Leipzig4–1WAAS Roma4–3
AS Roma4–3WHInter2–1
Inter2–1–AAEK Athens FC04/11
AEK Athens FC04/11–HPSV Eindhoven24/11
PSV Eindhoven24/11–AArsenal09/12
Arsenal09/12PSV EindhovenWAFC Porto1–0
FC Porto1–0LARB Leipzig0–1
RB Leipzig0–1DHShakhtar Donetsk1–1
Shakhtar Donetsk1–1–HClub Brugge KV04/11
Club Brugge KV04/11–AReal Madrid24/11
Real Madrid24/11–HAtletico Madrid09/12
Atletico Madrid09/12Top Scorers
Real MadridKylian Mbappé10 ⚽
K. Mbappe5 ⚽
Yan Diomande3 ⚽
C. Espi3 ⚽
Antonio Rüdiger2 ⚽
J. Bellingham2 ⚽
PSV EindhovenGuus Til5 ⚽
Sven Mijnans4 ⚽
G. Til3 ⚽
N. Fernandez2 ⚽
Mauro Junior2 ⚽
I. Perisic2 ⚽
Cards Given
Real MadridDean Huijsen4 🟨
E. Camavinga3 🟨
Ibrahima Konaté3 🟨
José Mário dos Santos Mourinho Félix2 🟨
Aurelien Tchouameni2 🟨
Jude Bellingham2 🟨
PSV EindhovenArmando Obispo4 🟨
Ruben van Bommel3 🟨
Lutsharel Geertruida2 🟨
Filip Kostić2 🟨
Kodai Sano2 🟨
Ivan Perišić2 🟨