Mexico · Primera Premier · Regular Season - 11

Celaya

5º · 1.86 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 28d 3h

–

Tigres de Alica

6º · 1.57 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 28d 3h

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Celaya and Tigres de Alica meet in the Primera Premier 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Celaya have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Tigres de Alica have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Celaya and 1.11 for Tigres de Alica. The models give Celaya a 46% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Tigres de Alica win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.

Season Statistics

Celaya

—

Tigres de Alica

5º

Position

6º

1.86

PPG

1.57

57%

Win %

43%

1.71

Goals / game

1.29

1.00

Conceded / game

1.00

57%

BTTS %

71%

29%

Clean sheet %

14%

57%

Over 2.5 %

43%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Celaya

Home (3)

—

Tigres de Alica

Away (3)

2.00

PPG

1.00

67%

Win %

33%

1.33

Goals / game

1.00

0.67

Conceded / game

1.33

33%

BTTS %

67%

33%

Clean sheet %

33%

Over 2.5 %

67%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Celaya	Home	Away	Tigres de	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	86%	67%	100%	86%	100%	67%
Over 1.5 Scored	57%	67%	50%	29%	25%	33%
Over 2.5 Scored	14%	0%	25%	14%	25%	0%
Failed To Score	14%	33%	0%	14%	0%	33%

Goals Conceded

	Celaya	Home	Away	Tigres de	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	71%	67%	75%	86%	75%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	29%	0%	50%	14%	0%	33%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	29%	33%	25%	14%	25%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Celaya	Tigres de
Over 0.5	100%	100%
Over 1.5	86%	71%
Over 2.5	57%	43%
Over 3.5	14%	14%
Over 4.5	0%	0%
BTTS	57%	71%
BTTS & Win	14%	29%
BTTS & Draw	29%	29%
BTTS & Over 2.5	43%	43%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	14%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Celaya	Tigres de
Win 1st Half	0%	14%
Draw 1st Half	67%	57%
Loss 1st Half	33%	29%
Scored 1st Half	33%	29%
Conceded 1st Half	50%	43%
Win 2nd Half	33%	43%
Draw 2nd Half	67%	57%
Loss 2nd Half	0%	0%
Scored 2nd Half	50%	71%
Conceded 2nd Half	17%	43%
Over 0.5 HT	50%	57%
Over 1.5 HT	33%	43%

Recent Venue Form

Celaya (H)

Jaguares de Chiapas0–1

Montañeses2–1

Tapachula2–0

Cimarrones2–1

Leones Negros5–0

Jaguares de Chiapas1–1

Tigres de (A)

Cordobés0–1

Irapuato1–2

Los Cabos United2–1

Deportivo Zap0–2

Los Cabos United2–0

Tecos1–1

Primera Premier

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Irapuato	6	6	0	0	+10	18
2	Pioneros de Cancún	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	Reboceros La Piedad	6	5	0	1	+6	15
4	Racing de Veracruz	6	4	2	0	+11	14
5	Celaya	7	4	1	2	+5	13
6	Tigres de Alica	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Zacatepec 1948	6	3	1	2	0	10
8	Jaguares de Chiapas	6	3	1	2	0	10
9	Montañeses	7	3	1	3	-1	10
10	Los Cabos United	7	3	0	4	-2	9
11	Cordobés	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Deportiva Venados	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Chapulineros	6	1	2	3	-6	5
14	H2O Purepechas	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	Inter Playa del Carmen	6	1	1	4	-6	4
16	Lobos ULMX	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Tapachula	6	1	0	5	-10	3
18	Tritons Vallarta	6	0	2	4	-4	2