International · UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4

Sturm Graz

20º · 1.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 18d 5h

–

Celje

29º · 0.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 18d 4h

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Sturm Graz and Celje meet in the UEFA Europa League 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Sturm Graz have recorded 14 wins from 27 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 2.15 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Celje have won 32% of their 25 matches, with 1.28 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 32%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Sturm Graz and 1.24 for Celje. The models give Sturm Graz a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Celje win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.

Season Statistics

Sturm Graz

—

Celje

20º

Position

29º

1.00

PPG

0.00

Win %

0.00

Goals / game

0.00

Conceded / game

2.00

52%

BTTS %

52%

33%

Clean sheet %

32%

59%

Over 2.5 %

40%

6.1

Avg corners

4.4

15.0

Avg shots

11.0

4.7

Avg shots on target

4.8

2.0

Avg yellow cards

4.0

13.1

Avg fouls

12.6

44.9%

Avg possession

53.4%

Home vs Away

Sturm Graz

Home (1)

—

Celje

Away (1)

1.00

PPG

0.00

Win %

0.00

Goals / game

0.00

Conceded / game

2.00

63%

BTTS %

55%

31%

Clean sheet %

36%

63%

Over 2.5 %

55%

6.1

Avg corners

4.4

15.0

Avg shots

11.0

4.7

Avg shots on target

4.8

2.0

Avg yellow cards

4.0

44.9%

Avg possession

53.4%

Goals Scored

	Sturm Graz	Home	Away	Celje	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	81%	88%	73%	76%	79%	73%
Over 1.5 Scored	59%	63%	55%	28%	21%	36%
Over 2.5 Scored	33%	44%	18%	16%	7%	27%
Failed To Score	19%	13%	27%	24%	21%	27%

Goals Conceded

	Sturm Graz	Home	Away	Celje	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	67%	69%	64%	68%	71%	64%
Over 1.5 Conceded	30%	19%	45%	36%	29%	45%
Over 2.5 Conceded	19%	13%	27%	16%	14%	18%
Clean Sheets	33%	31%	36%	32%	29%	36%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Sturm Graz	Celje
Over 0.5	96%	92%
Over 1.5	85%	72%
Over 2.5	59%	40%
Over 3.5	44%	24%
Over 4.5	26%	12%
BTTS	52%	52%
BTTS & Win	22%	8%
BTTS & Draw	22%	28%
BTTS & Over 2.5	41%	32%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	19%	8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Sturm Graz	Celje
Win 1st Half	37%	13%
Draw 1st Half	44%	61%
Loss 1st Half	19%	26%
Scored 1st Half	63%	48%
Conceded 1st Half	48%	65%
Win 2nd Half	56%	35%
Draw 2nd Half	22%	39%
Loss 2nd Half	22%	26%
Scored 2nd Half	67%	39%
Conceded 2nd Half	33%	39%
Over 0.5 HT	74%	74%
Over 1.5 HT	52%	39%

Recent Venue Form

Sturm Graz (H)

Grazer AK6–1

Floridsdorfer AC3–1

Rennes0–0

Lask Linz2–1

Austria Lustenau1–1

SCR Altach1–0

Celje (A)

Maribor0–0

Mura0–0

Bayer Leverkusen0–2

Bravo1–2

Aluminij2–0

Brinje-Grosuplje1–4

Number of Corners

11.5

Corners / Match

15 games

League Avg

9.8

98 games

11.0

Corners / Match

5 games

Match Corners	Sturm Graz	Celje	League Avg
Over 6	93%	80%	86%
Over 7	87%	80%	77%
Over 8	87%	60%	64%
Over 9	67%	40%	52%
Over 10	47%	40%	38%
Over 11	40%	40%	29%
Over 12	33%	40%	21%
Over 13	27%	20%	13%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Sturm Graz	Celje
Corners Earned / Match	6.1	4.4
Corners Against / Match	5.5	6.6
Over 2.5 Corners For	87%	60%
Over 3.5 Corners For	73%	40%
Over 4.5 Corners For	60%	40%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	87%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	73%	100%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	60%	80%

UEFA Europa League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Beşiktaş	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Omonia Nicosia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Ferencvarosi TC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Olympiakos Piraeus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Sparta Praha	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Union St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+3	4
13	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	AC Milan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	OFI	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Torreense	2	1	0	1	0	3
20	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	0	3
21	Red Bull Salzburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
22	Real Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	-1	1
24	Levski Sofia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
25	Hapoel Beer Sheva	2	0	1	1	-1	1
26	Sturm Graz	2	0	1	1	-3	1
27	NEC Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-5	1
28	Celta Vigo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
29	Anderlecht	2	0	0	2	-2	0
30	1899 Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	-3	0
31	Plzen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
32	Marseille	2	0	0	2	-4	0
33	Celtic	2	0	0	2	-5	0
34	Ararat-Armenia	2	0	0	2	-5	0
35	Celje	2	0	0	2	-5	0
36	Lech Poznan	2	0	0	2	-8	0