Finland · Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 30

KuPS

1º · 1.95 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 40d 3h

–

Gnistan

4º · 1.64 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 41d 1h

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KuPS and Gnistan meet in the Veikkausliiga 2026 season on 29 October 2026. KuPS have recorded 20 wins from 44 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.39 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Gnistan have won 38% of their 37 matches, with 1.41 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 24%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for KuPS and 1.42 for Gnistan. The models give KuPS a 47% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Gnistan win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.

Season Statistics

KuPS

—

Gnistan

1º

Position

4º

1.95

PPG

1.64

55%

Win %

45%

1.73

Goals / game

1.64

1.05

Conceded / game

1.32

48%

BTTS %

54%

36%

Clean sheet %

24%

36%

Over 2.5 %

46%

5.0

Avg corners

3.6

14.1

Avg shots

11.7

4.6

Avg shots on target

3.9

1.2

Avg yellow cards

2.0

11.3

Avg fouls

12.2

55.3%

Avg possession

44.2%

Home vs Away

KuPS

Home (11)

—

Gnistan

Away (11)

2.00

PPG

1.45

55%

Win %

36%

1.91

Goals / game

1.36

1.27

Conceded / game

1.09

55%

BTTS %

53%

36%

Clean sheet %

21%

41%

Over 2.5 %

42%

5.0

Avg corners

3.6

14.1

Avg shots

11.7

4.6

Avg shots on target

3.9

1.2

Avg yellow cards

2.0

55.3%

Avg possession

44.2%

Goals Scored

	KuPS	Home	Away	Gnistan	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	75%	77%	73%	76%	78%	74%
Over 1.5 Scored	41%	45%	36%	41%	39%	42%
Over 2.5 Scored	18%	27%	9%	16%	22%	11%
Failed To Score	25%	23%	27%	24%	22%	26%

Goals Conceded

	KuPS	Home	Away	Gnistan	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	64%	64%	64%	76%	72%	79%
Over 1.5 Conceded	23%	27%	18%	38%	44%	32%
Over 2.5 Conceded	14%	18%	9%	16%	22%	11%
Clean Sheets	36%	36%	36%	24%	28%	21%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	KuPS	Gnistan
Over 0.5	91%	97%
Over 1.5	73%	84%
Over 2.5	36%	46%
Over 3.5	23%	27%
Over 4.5	14%	16%
BTTS	48%	54%
BTTS & Win	18%	16%
BTTS & Draw	20%	27%
BTTS & Over 2.5	27%	32%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	9%	14%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	KuPS	Gnistan
Win 1st Half	40%	24%
Draw 1st Half	37%	35%
Loss 1st Half	23%	41%
Scored 1st Half	49%	41%
Conceded 1st Half	37%	54%
Win 2nd Half	28%	43%
Draw 2nd Half	44%	30%
Loss 2nd Half	28%	27%
Scored 2nd Half	44%	54%
Conceded 2nd Half	47%	49%
Over 0.5 HT	70%	76%
Over 1.5 HT	30%	38%

Recent Venue Form

KuPS (H)

HJK Helsinki0–0

Shamrock Rovers1–0

Mariehamn2–4

Turku PS1–1

Universitatea Craiova1–1

Sabah FA0–2

Gnistan (A)

AC Oulu2–1

HJK Helsinki3–2

SJK2–2

Inter Turku2–1

AC Oulu2–0

Lahti0–1

Number of Corners

8.5

Corners / Match

15 games

League Avg

8.9

73 games

10.0

Corners / Match

17 games

Match Corners	KuPS	Gnistan	League Avg
Over 6	73%	88%	78%
Over 7	60%	82%	67%
Over 8	47%	71%	58%
Over 9	40%	59%	45%
Over 10	33%	53%	37%
Over 11	20%	35%	25%
Over 12	13%	18%	11%
Over 13	7%	0%	3%

Team Corners

Team Corners	KuPS	Gnistan
Corners Earned / Match	5.0	3.6
Corners Against / Match	3.5	6.3
Over 2.5 Corners For	87%	71%
Over 3.5 Corners For	67%	53%
Over 4.5 Corners For	47%	29%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	60%	94%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	47%	76%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	13%	76%

Head to Head · 10 matches

KuPS

70%

Draws

30%

Gnistan

70%

Over 1.5

7/10

50%

Over 2.5

5/10

40%

Over 3.5

4/10

50%

BTTS

5/10

08/09/26

Gnistan

1–1

KuPS

01/08/26

Gnistan

0–1

KuPS

11/04/26

KuPS

1–0

Gnistan

30/10/25

KuPS

1–1

Gnistan

27/09/25

Gnistan

0–4

KuPS

01/07/25

KuPS

6–2

Gnistan

27/04/25

Gnistan

1–2

KuPS

07/07/24

KuPS

3–1

Gnistan

19/05/24

Gnistan

0–0

KuPS

20/03/21

KuPS

5–0

Gnistan

Veikkausliiga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	22	12	7	3	+15	43
2	Inter Turku	22	11	9	2	+13	42
3	HJK Helsinki	22	11	4	7	+9	37
4	Gnistan	22	10	6	6	+7	36
5	AC Oulu	22	10	4	8	0	34
6	VPS	22	9	6	7	+7	33
7	Lahti	22	9	5	8	+7	32
8	Turku PS	22	8	7	7	+5	31
9	Ilves	22	7	4	11	-3	25
10	SJK	22	4	7	11	-8	19
11	FF Jaro	22	3	6	13	-26	15
12	Mariehamn	22	3	5	14	-26	14

Team Insights

KuPS

●KuPS have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
●KuPS have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
●KuPS failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
●KuPS have won 7 of their 13 away matches.
●KuPS have scored in 11 of their 13 away matches.
●KuPS have scored 66% of their goals in the first half.

Gnistan

●Gnistan have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
●Gnistan failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
●Gnistan have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
●Gnistan have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
●Gnistan failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
●Gnistan have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
●Gnistan have won their last 2 away matches.
●Gnistan have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Gnistan have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Gnistan failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
●Gnistan failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
●Gnistan have won 5 of their 12 away matches.
●Gnistan have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.

KuPS

WAVPS6º2–0

DHHJK Helsinki3º0–0

DAGnistan4º1–1

LAInter Turku2º0–1

WHShamrock Rovers1–0

LHMariehamn12º2–4

DAShamrock Rovers1–1

WALahti7º2–1

LAUniversitatea Craiova1–2

DHTurku PS8º1–1

Gnistan

DHHJK Helsinki3º1–1

WAAC Oulu5º2–1

DHKuPS1º1–1

DHTurku PS8º1–1

WAHJK Helsinki3º3–2

WHIlves9º3–2

DASJK10º2–2

LHKuPS1º0–1

WAInter Turku2º2–1

WAAC Oulu5º2–0

Season Schedule

KuPS

VPS2–0

HJK Helsinki0–0

Gnistan1–1

Inter Turku0–1

Mariehamn2–4

Lahti2–1

–H

AC Oulu08/10

–A

Inter Turku11/10

–H

VPS18/10

Gnistan

HJK Helsinki1–1

AC Oulu2–1

KuPS1–1

Turku PS1–1

HJK Helsinki3–2

Ilves3–2

–H

Inter Turku07/10

–A

VPS12/10

–A

HJK Helsinki17/10

Top Scorers

KuPS

J. J. Moreno Ciorciari11 ⚽

B. Armah7 ⚽

P. Pennanen5 ⚽

J. Luyeye-Lutumba5 ⚽

O. Ruoppi5 ⚽

G. Engvall4 ⚽

Gnistan

A. Akinyemi16 ⚽

J. Latonen6 ⚽

D. Perez4 ⚽

A. Obileye3 ⚽

S. Eremenko3 ⚽

G. Europaeus2 ⚽

Cards Given

KuPS

Valentín Gasc5 🟨

Petteri Pennanen4 🟨

Brahima Magassa4 🟨

Bob Nii Armah4 🟨

S. Heiskanen3 🟨

T. Hamalainen3 🟨

Gnistan

Edmund Arko-Mensah5 🟨

Adam Jouhi4 🟨

Saku Ylätupa4 🟨

4 🟨

Otto Hannula3 🟨

Danny Pérez3 🟨

KuPS vs Gnistan — Veikkausliiga

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 10 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given