Roma W vs Real Madrid W — UEFA Champions League Women
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Roma W and Real Madrid W meet in the UEFA Champions League Women 2026 season on 16 December 2026. Roma W have recorded 10 wins from 15 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.47 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Real Madrid W have won 63% of their 16 matches, with 2.13 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Roma W and 2.03 for Real Madrid W. The models give Roma W a 34% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Real Madrid W win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Roma W—
Real Madrid W12º
Position
7º
1.00
PPG
1.50
25%
Win %
25%
0.50
Goals / game
1.75
2.25
Conceded / game
1.00
53%
BTTS %
69%
27%
Clean sheet %
25%
73%
Over 2.5 %
63%
3.9
Avg corners
5.4
15.0
Avg shots
15.2
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
8.7
Avg fouls
10.3
44.4%
Avg possession
48.0%
Home vs Away
Roma W
Home (2)
—
Real Madrid W
Away (2)
1.50
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
1.50
3.50
Conceded / game
1.50
57%
BTTS %
63%
14%
Clean sheet %
25%
86%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.9
Avg corners
5.4
15.0
Avg shots
15.2
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
44.4%
Avg possession
48.0%
Goals Scored
| Roma W | Home | Away | Real Madrid | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 71% | 75% | 88% | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 73% | 71% | 75% | 69% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 47% | 43% | 50% | 44% | 63% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 29% | 25% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Roma W | Home | Away | Real Madrid | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 86% | 63% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 29% | 38% | 31% | 25% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 14% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 14% | 38% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Roma W | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 25% |
| BTTS | 53% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 47% | 44% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Roma W | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 73% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Roma W (H)W
Servette Chênois W2–1
Servette Chênois W2–1W
Napoli W2–1
Napoli W2–1W
AC Milan W4–2
AC Milan W4–2W
Lazio W3–1
Lazio W3–1L
Barcelona W0–6
Barcelona W0–6W
Fiorentina W3–0
Fiorentina W3–0Real Madrid (A)D
Athletic Club W1–1
Athletic Club W1–1W
Sevilla W3–1
Sevilla W3–1D
Bayern Munich W2–2
Bayern Munich W2–2LBarcelona W0–7
Barcelona W0–7D
Manchester City W1–1
Manchester City W1–1W
Real Sociedad W5–3
Real Sociedad W5–3Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.3
43 games
9.0
Corners / Match
5 games
| Match Corners | Roma W | Real Madrid | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 7 | 57% | 60% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 29% | 60% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 60% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 20% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 20% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 0% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 29% | 0% | 14% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Roma W | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.6 | 3.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 57% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 29% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 71% | 40% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Roma W
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Real Madrid
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
08/10/25Roma W
Real Madrid W
6–2Roma W| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +20 | 10 |
| 2 | Barcelona W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 10 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 |  Arsenal W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 5 |  Chelsea W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 6 | Manchester City W | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 7 | Real Madrid W | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Juventus W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 |  SL Benfica W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 |  Paris Saint Germain W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 5 |
| 11 |  Køge W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 12 | Roma W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 4 |
| 13 |  Inter Milano W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 4 |
| 14 | Servette Chênois W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 3 |
| 15 |  Häcken W | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 |  Paris FC W | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 2 |
| 17 |  OH Leuven W | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -9 | 2 |
| 18 |  Austria Wien W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Roma W- ●78% of Roma W's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Real Madrid- ●Real Madrid W have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Real Madrid W have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Real Madrid W have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Real Madrid W have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
Roma WWHServette Chênois W2–1
Servette Chênois W2–1LAChelsea W0–2
Chelsea W0–2LHBarcelona W0–6
Barcelona W0–6DAOH Leuven W0–0
OH Leuven W0–0–ASL Benfica W19/11
SL Benfica W19/11–HReal Madrid W16/12
Real Madrid W16/12Real MadridWHParis FC W3–0
Paris FC W3–0DABayern Munich W2–2
Bayern Munich W2–2DAManchester City W1–1
Manchester City W1–1DHParis Saint Germain W1–1
Paris Saint Germain W1–1WH
Ajax W2–1
Ajax W2–1WAAjax W2–0
Ajax W2–0–HInter Milano W18/11
Inter Milano W18/11–ARoma W16/12
Roma W16/12Top Scorers
Roma WM. Giugliano10 ⚽
M. Piemonte4 ⚽
A. Pilgrim4 ⚽
K. van Dooren4 ⚽
G. Greggi3 ⚽
G. Pellegrino3 ⚽
Real MadridF. Schroder9 ⚽
L. Beerensteyn4 ⚽
Linda Caicedo3 ⚽
S. Dabritz3 ⚽
Lineth Beerensteyn2 ⚽
Felicia Schröder2 ⚽
Cards Given
Roma WV. Bergamaschi2 🟨
Annalena Rieke1 🟨
Bianca Vergani1 🟨
E. Oliviero1 🟨
Elisabetta Oliviero1 🟨
A. Pilgrim1 🟨
Real MadridE. Navarro3 🟨
L. Caicedo3 🟨
F. Schroder2 🟨
B. Andersson2 🟨
Athenea Del Castillo2 🟨
Elisa Senss2 🟨