Bayern Munich W vs Real Madrid W — UEFA Champions League Women
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Bayern Munich W and Real Madrid W meet in the UEFA Champions League Women 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Bayern Munich W have recorded 10 wins from 11 matches this season (91% win rate), averaging 3.09 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Real Madrid W have won 64% of their 11 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.16 for Bayern Munich W and 1.83 for Real Madrid W. The models give Bayern Munich W a 46% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Real Madrid W win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Bayern Munich WReal Madrid WHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Bayern Munich | Home | Away | Real Madrid | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 91% | 100% | 80% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 64% | 67% | 60% | 36% | 50% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Bayern Munich | Home | Away | Real Madrid | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 50% | 60% | 73% | 83% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 33% | 20% | 27% | 17% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 50% | 40% | 27% | 17% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bayern Munich | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 82% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 45% | 27% |
| BTTS | 55% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 45% | 45% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bayern Munich | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 73% | 64% |
| Draw 1st Half | 9% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 73% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 82% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 9% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 9% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 82% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Bayern Munich (H)
Stuttgart W5–0
Manchester City W2–2
FC Koln W5–2
SC Freiburg W4–1
Mainz 05 W2–0
VfL Wolfsburg W3–0Real Madrid (A)
Barcelona W0–7Manchester City W1–1
Real Sociedad W5–3
Deportivo de La Coruña W2–0
Ajax W2–0
FC Levante Badalona W4–0Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Bayern Munich | Real Madrid | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 100% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 100% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 38% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 100% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 33% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 33% | 16% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bayern Munich | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 7.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 33% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 6 |
| 2 |  Lyon W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 4 |
| 3 |  Paris Saint Germain W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 4 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 5 |  Arsenal W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 |  Inter Milano W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Chelsea W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Køge W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 9 |  Juventus W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |  SL Benfica W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Manchester City W | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Real Madrid W | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 |  Austria Wien W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 |  Paris FC W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 |  OH Leuven W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 |  Roma W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6 | 1 |
| 17 |  Häcken W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 |  Servette Chênois W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -12 | 0 |
Team Insights
Bayern Munich—
Real Madrid- ●Real Madrid W have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
Season Schedule
Bayern MunichSL Benfica W3–0Manchester City W2–2Real Madrid W28/10Paris Saint Germain W10/11Austria Wien W19/11Real MadridManchester City W1–1Paris Saint Germain W1–1Ajax W2–1Ajax W2–0Bayern Munich W28/10Paris FC W10/11Inter Milano W18/11Top Scorers
Bayern MunichReal MadridCards Given
Bayern MunichReal Madrid