Chelsea W vs Paris Saint Germain W — UEFA Champions League Women
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Chelsea W and Paris Saint Germain W meet in the UEFA Champions League Women 2026 season on 18 November 2026. Chelsea W have recorded 10 wins from 12 matches this season (83% win rate), averaging 2.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 67% of games. Paris Saint Germain W have won 70% of their 10 matches, with 2.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Chelsea W and 1.45 for Paris Saint Germain W. The models give Chelsea W a 53% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Paris Saint Germain W win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Chelsea W—
Paris Saint Germain W3º
Position
6º
2.33
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
3.00
0.00
Conceded / game
0.50
33%
BTTS %
40%
67%
Clean sheet %
50%
42%
Over 2.5 %
40%
7.3
Avg corners
5.4
18.7
Avg shots
14.3
6.8
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.9
8.8
Avg fouls
12.3
63.1%
Avg possession
57.0%
Home vs Away
Chelsea W
Home (2)
—
Paris Saint Germain W
Away (1)
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
0%
1.50
Goals / game
1.00
0.00
Conceded / game
1.00
43%
BTTS %
75%
57%
Clean sheet %
25%
29%
Over 2.5 %
25%
7.3
Avg corners
5.4
18.7
Avg shots
14.3
6.8
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.9
63.1%
Avg possession
57.0%
Goals Scored
| Chelsea W | Home | Away | Paris Saint | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 80% | 90% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 57% | 60% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 42% | 29% | 60% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 20% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Chelsea W | Home | Away | Paris Saint | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 33% | 43% | 20% | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 29% | 0% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 67% | 57% | 80% | 50% | 67% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chelsea W | Paris Saint | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 20% |
| BTTS | 33% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chelsea W | Paris Saint | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 70% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 67% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Chelsea W (H)W
Roma W2–0
Roma W2–0W
Tottenham Hotspur W6–2
Tottenham Hotspur W6–2W
Arsenal W1–0
Arsenal W1–0W
Austria Wien W1–0
Austria Wien W1–0W
Birmingham City W2–0
Birmingham City W2–0D
Aston Villa W1–1
Aston Villa W1–1Paris Saint (A)W
FC Fleury 91 W3–1
FC Fleury 91 W3–1D
Real Madrid W1–1
Real Madrid W1–1W
Lens W2–0
Lens W2–0D
Eintracht Frankfurt W1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt W1–1L
Paris FC W0–1
Paris FC W0–1WFC Fleury 91 W2–0
FC Fleury 91 W2–0Number of Corners
9.8
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.2
30 games
8.5
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Chelsea W | Paris Saint | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 88% | 70% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 45% | 38% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 45% | 13% | 27% |
| Over 11 | 36% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 12 | 36% | 0% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 0% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Chelsea W | Paris Saint |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.3 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.5 | 3.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 91% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 73% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 36% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 27% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 18% | 25% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Chelsea W
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Paris Saint
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
22/12/22Paris Saint Germain W
Chelsea W
3–0Paris Saint Germain W20/10/22Chelsea W
Paris Saint Germain W
0–1Chelsea W| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +14 | 7 |
| 2 | Arsenal W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 3 | Chelsea W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 |  Barcelona W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 6 |
| 5 |  Bayern Munich W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 5 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 4 |
| 7 |  Inter Milano W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 |  Køge W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 9 |  Juventus W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Madrid W | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  SL Benfica W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 |  Servette Chênois W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 3 |
| 13 |  Manchester City W | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Austria Wien W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Paris FC W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Roma W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
| 17 |  OH Leuven W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -9 | 1 |
| 18 |  Häcken W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Team Insights
Chelsea W- ●Chelsea W have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Chelsea W have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Chelsea W have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Chelsea W have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Chelsea W have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●89% of Chelsea W's goals have been scored at home.
Paris Saint- ●Paris Saint Germain W have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain W have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●83% of Paris Saint Germain W's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Paris Saint Germain W's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Chelsea WWHRoma W2–0
Roma W2–0DALyon W0–0
Lyon W0–0WHAustria Wien W1–0
Austria Wien W1–0WA
Real Sociedad W1–0
Real Sociedad W1–0WHReal Sociedad W5–2
Real Sociedad W5–2–AHäcken W10/11
Häcken W10/11–HParis Saint Germain W18/11
Paris Saint Germain W18/11–AOH Leuven W16/12
OH Leuven W16/12Paris SaintWHOH Leuven W5–0
OH Leuven W5–0DAReal Madrid W1–1
Real Madrid W1–1WHEintracht Frankfurt W5–1
Eintracht Frankfurt W5–1DAEintracht Frankfurt W1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt W1–1–AManchester City W29/10
Manchester City W29/10–HBayern Munich W10/11
Bayern Munich W10/11–AChelsea W18/11
Chelsea W18/11Top Scorers
Chelsea WMelvine Malard3 ⚽
M. Malard3 ⚽
Ellie Carpenter3 ⚽
L. James3 ⚽
Lauren James2 ⚽
Keira Walsh2 ⚽
Paris SaintSakina Karchaoui4 ⚽
Rasheedat Ajibade3 ⚽
M. Kanjinga2 ⚽
Naomie Feller2 ⚽
Merveille Kanjinga2 ⚽
Vitória Yaya1 ⚽
Cards Given
Chelsea WKatie McCabe3 🟨
Lucy Bronze2 🟨
Wieke Hendrikje Maria Kaptein2 🟨
Erin Cuthbert1 🟨
S. Nusken1 🟨
Lexi Potter1 🟨
Paris SaintM. Lafontaine3 🟨
Sakina Karchaoui2 🟨
M. Kanjinga1 🟨
Paulo César1 🟨
T. Diakite1 🟨
T. Samoura1 🟨