Real Madrid W vs Paris FC W — UEFA Champions League Women
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Real Madrid W and Paris FC W meet in the UEFA Champions League Women 2026 season on 10 November 2026. Real Madrid W have recorded 8 wins from 13 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 2.08 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Paris FC W have won 57% of their 7 matches, with 2.43 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.24 for Real Madrid W and 1.62 for Paris FC W. The models give Real Madrid W a 53% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Paris FC W win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Real Madrid W—
Paris FC W10º
Position
15º
1.00
PPG
0.50
0%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
2.00
1.33
Conceded / game
3.50
69%
BTTS %
57%
23%
Clean sheet %
43%
62%
Over 2.5 %
71%
5.5
Avg corners
6.6
13.3
Avg shots
18.1
5.0
Avg shots on target
6.3
1.6
Avg yellow cards
0.7
10.0
Avg fouls
6.6
45.3%
Avg possession
35.7%
Home vs Away
Real Madrid W
Home (1)
—
Paris FC W
Away (1)
1.00
PPG
0.00
0%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
5.00
86%
BTTS %
50%
14%
Clean sheet %
50%
71%
Over 2.5 %
75%
5.5
Avg corners
6.6
13.3
Avg shots
18.1
5.0
Avg shots on target
6.3
1.6
Avg yellow cards
0.7
45.3%
Avg possession
35.7%
Goals Scored
| Real Madrid | Home | Away | Paris FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 86% | 83% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 71% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 57% | 17% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 14% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Madrid | Home | Away | Paris FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 86% | 67% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 29% | 50% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 0% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 14% | 33% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Madrid | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 38% |
| BTTS | 69% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 46% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Madrid | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 62% | 63% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 0% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 63% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Madrid (H)W
Granad. Tenerife W3–2
Granad. Tenerife W3–2W
Espanyol W3–1
Espanyol W3–1D
Paris Saint Germain W1–1
Paris Saint Germain W1–1W
Valencia W3–1
Valencia W3–1D
Eibar W0–0
Eibar W0–0W
Ajax W2–1
Ajax W2–1Paris FC (A)W
Toulouse W4–0
Toulouse W4–0L
Barcelona W2–5
Barcelona W2–5W
Strasbourg W2–0
Strasbourg W2–0L
Lyon W1–7
Lyon W1–7LLyon W0–5
Lyon W0–5W
Dijon W2–1
Dijon W2–1Number of Corners
9.8
Corners / Match
4 games
League Avg
9.2
30 games
12.0
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Real Madrid | Paris FC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 100% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 86% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 71% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 71% | 27% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 57% | 17% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 43% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 29% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Real Madrid | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 6.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 75% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 43% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
2
Real Madrid
40%
1
Draws
20%
2
Paris FC
40%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
18/02/26Paris FC W
Real Madrid W
2–0Paris FC W11/02/26Real Madrid W
Paris FC W
2–3Real Madrid W11/11/25Paris FC W
Real Madrid W
1–1Paris FC W20/12/23Paris FC W
Real Madrid W
0–1Paris FC W14/12/23Real Madrid W
Paris FC W
2–1Real Madrid W| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +14 | 7 |
| 2 |  Arsenal W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 3 |  Chelsea W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 | Barcelona W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 6 |
| 5 |  Bayern Munich W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 5 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 4 |
| 7 |  Inter Milano W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 |  Køge W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 9 |  Juventus W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Madrid W | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  SL Benfica W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 |  Servette Chênois W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 3 |
| 13 |  Manchester City W | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 |  Austria Wien W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Paris FC W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 |  Roma W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
| 17 |  OH Leuven W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -9 | 1 |
| 18 |  Häcken W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Team Insights
Real Madrid- ●Real Madrid W have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Madrid W have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Madrid W have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●62% of Real Madrid W's goals have been scored away.
- ●Real Madrid W have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Paris FC- ●Paris FC W have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
Season Schedule
Real MadridDABayern Munich W2–2
Bayern Munich W2–2DAManchester City W1–1
Manchester City W1–1DHParis Saint Germain W1–1
Paris Saint Germain W1–1WHAjax W2–1
Ajax W2–1WAAjax W2–0
Ajax W2–0–HParis FC W10/11
Paris FC W10/11–HInter Milano W18/11
Inter Milano W18/11–ARoma W16/12
Roma W16/12Paris FCDHHäcken W1–1
Häcken W1–1DHArsenal W2–2
Arsenal W2–2LABarcelona W2–5
Barcelona W2–5–AReal Madrid W10/11
Real Madrid W10/11–HKøge W19/11
Køge W19/11–AServette Chênois W16/12
Servette Chênois W16/12Top Scorers
Real MadridF. Schroder8 ⚽
S. Dabritz3 ⚽
L. Beerensteyn3 ⚽
Felicia Schröder2 ⚽
Linda Caicedo2 ⚽
B. Andersson1 ⚽
Paris FCClara Mateo4 ⚽
Evelyne Viens3 ⚽
Mariam Toloba2 ⚽
Karla Dayana Torres García1 ⚽
M. Baquerizo1 ⚽
M. Mendy1 ⚽
Cards Given
Real MadridL. Caicedo3 🟨
E. Navarro3 🟨
B. Andersson2 🟨
Elisa Senss2 🟨
F. Schroder2 🟨
Eva Maria Navarro1 🟨
Paris FCC. Hocine1 🟨
Clara Mateo1 🟨
Hillary Diaz1 🟨
K. Jedlinska1 🟨
Kinga Seweryn1 🟨
M. Mendy1 🟨