Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik — Úrvalsdeild
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Stjarnan and Valur Reykjavik meet in the Úrvalsdeild 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Stjarnan have recorded 20 wins from 38 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 2.11 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 76% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Valur Reykjavik have won 34% of their 35 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.98 for Stjarnan and 1.94 for Valur Reykjavik. The models give Stjarnan a 44% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Valur Reykjavik win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Stjarnan—
Valur Reykjavik9º
Position
5º
1.00
PPG
1.50
30%
Win %
50%
1.80
Goals / game
1.90
2.20
Conceded / game
2.20
76%
BTTS %
63%
13%
Clean sheet %
14%
82%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
2.5
0.0
Avg shots
6.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
2.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
8.0
0.0%
Avg possession
34.5%
Home vs Away
Stjarnan
Home (6)
—
Valur Reykjavik
Away (4)
0.50
PPG
1.50
17%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
2.00
2.50
Conceded / game
2.00
71%
BTTS %
61%
19%
Clean sheet %
6%
81%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
2.5
0.0
Avg shots
6.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
2.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0%
Avg possession
34.5%
Goals Scored
| Stjarnan | Home | Away | Valur Reykjavik | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 90% | 88% | 77% | 88% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 68% | 76% | 59% | 49% | 59% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 33% | 29% | 20% | 24% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 10% | 12% | 23% | 12% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Stjarnan | Home | Away | Valur Reykjavik | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 81% | 94% | 86% | 76% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 48% | 65% | 66% | 59% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 24% | 29% | 37% | 29% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 19% | 6% | 14% | 24% | 6% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stjarnan | Valur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 82% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 66% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 34% | 40% |
| BTTS | 76% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 39% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 74% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stjarnan | Valur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 66% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 66% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 71% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Stjarnan (H)W
IBV Vestmannaeyjar2–0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar2–0DIBV Vestmannaeyjar2–2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar2–2W
Thor Akureyri4–2
Thor Akureyri4–2W
Keflavik1–0
Keflavik1–0W
IA Akranes5–1
IA Akranes5–1W
Ilves1–0
Ilves1–0Valur Reykjavik (A)WKeflavik2–1
Keflavik2–1L
Vikingur Reykjavik0–2
Vikingur Reykjavik0–2L
FC Nordsjaelland0–5
FC Nordsjaelland0–5W
Breidablik3–1
Breidablik3–1D
Zrinjski2–2
Zrinjski2–2LIBV Vestmannaeyjar0–1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar0–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Stjarnan | Valur Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 2.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 9.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 28 matches
9
Stjarnan
32%
7
Draws
25%
12
Valur Reykjavik
43%
89%
Over 1.5
25/28
71%
Over 2.5
20/28
50%
Over 3.5
14/28
75%
BTTS
21/28
03/08/26Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
2–3Stjarnan27/04/26Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
2–4Valur Reykjavik04/10/25Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
3–2Stjarnan14/09/25Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
1–2Stjarnan01/07/25Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
3–1Stjarnan14/06/25Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
3–2Valur Reykjavik23/09/24Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
2–2Stjarnan30/05/24Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
5–1Stjarnan19/04/24Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
1–0Valur Reykjavik17/09/23Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
2–0Stjarnan17/07/23Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
2–0Valur Reykjavik29/04/23Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
3–2Stjarnan16/10/22Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
3–0Stjarnan14/08/22Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
6–1Stjarnan15/05/22Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
1–0Valur Reykjavik28/08/21Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
1–2Stjarnan12/06/21Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
2–1Valur Reykjavik21/09/20Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
1–5Valur Reykjavik13/07/20Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
0–0Stjarnan04/03/20Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
2–2Valur Reykjavik| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | +46 | 53 |
| 2 |  Fram Reykjavik | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | +14 | 45 |
| 3 |  KR Reykjavik | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | +25 | 44 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +2 | 30 |
| 5 | IA Akranes | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 30 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 7 | Stjarnan | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -8 | 28 |
| 8 | Valur Reykjavik | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -6 | 27 |
| 9 |  FH hafnarfjordur | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | -12 | 21 |
| 10 | Thor Akureyri | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -28 | 21 |
| 11 |  KA Akureyri | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 20 |
| 12 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -13 | 18 |
Team Insights
Stjarnan- ●Stjarnan have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Stjarnan have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Stjarnan have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Stjarnan have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Stjarnan have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Stjarnan failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Stjarnan have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Stjarnan failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Stjarnan have won 5 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Stjarnan have scored in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Stjarnan have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Valur Reykjavik- ●Valur Reykjavik have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Valur Reykjavik failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Valur Reykjavik have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Valur Reykjavik have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Valur Reykjavik failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Valur Reykjavik have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Valur Reykjavik failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Valur Reykjavik failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Valur Reykjavik have scored in 12 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Valur Reykjavik failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Valur Reykjavik have won 5 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Valur Reykjavik have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
StjarnanWHIBV Vestmannaeyjar2–0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar2–0DHIBV Vestmannaeyjar2–2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar2–2WABreidablik2–0
Breidablik2–0WHThor Akureyri4–2
Thor Akureyri4–2LAFram Reykjavik1–3
Fram Reykjavik1–3WHKeflavik1–0
Keflavik1–0–AFH hafnarfjordur20/09
FH hafnarfjordur20/09–HKA Akureyri10/10
KA Akureyri10/10–AThor Akureyri17/10
Thor Akureyri17/10Valur ReykjavikWHThor Akureyri4–1
Thor Akureyri4–1WAKeflavik2–1
Keflavik2–1DHIA Akranes2–2
IA Akranes2–2LAVikingur Reykjavik0–2
Vikingur Reykjavik0–2DHKA Akureyri4–4
KA Akureyri4–4WABreidablik3–1
Breidablik3–1–AIBV Vestmannaeyjar20/09
IBV Vestmannaeyjar20/09–HFH hafnarfjordur10/10
FH hafnarfjordur10/10–HKA Akureyri17/10
KA Akureyri17/10Top Scorers
StjarnanE. Atlason19 ⚽
8 ⚽
A. Bjarnason8 ⚽
B. Waren7 ⚽
O. Eggertsson7 ⚽
B. Ingason5 ⚽
Valur ReykjavikT. Haraldsson15 ⚽
L. Heimisson6 ⚽
D. Gardarson5 ⚽
J. Jonsson4 ⚽
A. Palsson4 ⚽
B. Heimisson3 ⚽
Cards Given
StjarnanJ. Gunnarsson10 🟨
G. Kristjansson7 🟨
D. Matthiasson6 🟨
O. Eggertsson5 🟨
G. Nokkvason5 🟨
G. Kjeldsen4 🟨
Valur ReykjavikH. Eyjolfsson7 🟨
B. Antonsson7 🟨
J. Palsson6 🟨
H. Gunnarsson6 🟨
L. Heimisson5 🟨
S. Fridjonsson5 🟨