UCV vs Portuguesa FC — Primera División
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UCV and Portuguesa FC meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 18 October 2026. UCV have recorded 14 wins from 38 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Portuguesa FC have won 36% of their 28 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 39%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for UCV and 1.12 for Portuguesa FC. The models give UCV a 43% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Portuguesa FC win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
UCV—
Portuguesa FC4º
Position
5º
1.77
PPG
1.54
54%
Win %
38%
1.85
Goals / game
1.54
1.54
Conceded / game
0.92
58%
BTTS %
50%
18%
Clean sheet %
39%
58%
Over 2.5 %
39%
1.9
Avg corners
0.0
10.9
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.6
Avg yellow cards
0.0
8.3
Avg fouls
0.0
38.8%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
UCV
Home (6)
—
Portuguesa FC
Away (6)
1.83
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
17%
1.50
Goals / game
1.17
1.00
Conceded / game
1.17
61%
BTTS %
64%
17%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
43%
1.9
Avg corners
0.0
10.9
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.6
Avg yellow cards
0.0
38.8%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| UCV | Home | Away | Portuguesa FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 72% | 70% | 79% | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 50% | 40% | 32% | 29% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 22% | 15% | 18% | 21% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 28% | 30% | 21% | 14% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| UCV | Home | Away | Portuguesa FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 83% | 80% | 61% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 22% | 60% | 32% | 21% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 17% | 30% | 11% | 7% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 17% | 20% | 39% | 50% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UCV | Portuguesa FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 11% |
| BTTS | 58% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 32% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UCV | Portuguesa FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 68% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
UCV (H)D
Puerto Cabello0–0
Puerto Cabello0–0W
Rayo Zuliano4–1
Rayo Zuliano4–1L
Caracas FC0–1
Caracas FC0–1W
Monagas SC2–1
Monagas SC2–1L
Santos1–4
Santos1–4LPortuguesa FC2–3
Portuguesa FC2–3Portuguesa FC (A)DRayo Zuliano1–1
Rayo Zuliano1–1DCaracas FC1–1
Caracas FC1–1DMonagas SC0–0
Monagas SC0–0W
Anzoátegui FC4–3
Anzoátegui FC4–3L
Deportivo Tachira FC0–1
Deportivo Tachira FC0–1WUCV3–2
UCV3–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | UCV | Portuguesa FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 1.9 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.5 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 25% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 13% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 75% | 0% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
5
UCV
31%
4
Draws
25%
7
Portuguesa FC
44%
69%
Over 1.5
11/16
31%
Over 2.5
5/16
19%
Over 3.5
3/16
38%
BTTS
6/16
30/05/26Portuguesa FC
UCV
2–3Portuguesa FC02/05/26UCV
Portuguesa FC
1–1UCV25/04/26UCV
Portuguesa FC
3–0UCV03/08/25Portuguesa FC
UCV
2–0Portuguesa FC31/05/25UCV
Portuguesa FC
1–3UCV11/05/25Portuguesa FC
UCV
2–2Portuguesa FC23/02/25UCV
Portuguesa FC
0–1UCV22/09/24UCV
Portuguesa FC
1–1UCV22/03/24Portuguesa FC
UCV
1–0Portuguesa FC28/07/23Portuguesa FC
UCV
0–1Portuguesa FC16/04/23UCV
Portuguesa FC
2–0UCV20/08/22Portuguesa FC
UCV
2–0Portuguesa FC03/04/22UCV
Portuguesa FC
0–0UCV28/02/21UCV
Portuguesa FC
1–0UCV20/05/12UCV
Portuguesa FC
2–0UCV10/03/12Portuguesa FC
UCV
1–2Portuguesa FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metropolitanos FC | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | +17 | 47 |
| 2 |  Deportivo La Guaira | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | +17 | 43 |
| 3 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | +13 | 43 |
| 4 |  Estudiantes de Merida FC | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +4 | 35 |
| 5 | Portuguesa FC | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | +10 | 34 |
| 6 | UCV | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +4 | 34 |
| 7 |  Carabobo FC | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | +12 | 33 |
| 8 | Puerto Cabello | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 32 |
| 9 | Caracas FC | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | -4 | 25 |
| 10 |  Zamora FC | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | Monagas SC | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 21 |
| 12 | Rayo Zuliano | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -18 | 21 |
| 13 |  Trujillanos FC | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 14 |
| 14 | Anzoátegui FC | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | -23 | 13 |
Team Insights
UCV- ●UCV have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●UCV have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●UCV failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 home matches.
- ●UCV failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●UCV have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Portuguesa FC- ●Portuguesa FC have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Portuguesa FC have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Portuguesa FC have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Portuguesa FC have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Portuguesa FC have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Portuguesa FC have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Portuguesa FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Portuguesa FC have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
UCVWADeportivo La Guaira2–0
Deportivo La Guaira2–0DHPuerto Cabello0–0
Puerto Cabello0–0DAEstudiantes de Merida FC1–1
Estudiantes de Merida FC1–1WHRayo Zuliano4–1
Rayo Zuliano4–1LAZamora FC0–2
Zamora FC0–2LHCaracas FC0–1
Caracas FC0–1–AEstudiantes de Merida FC30/08
Estudiantes de Merida FC30/08–HPuerto Cabello02/09
Puerto Cabello02/09–ADeportivo La Guaira06/09
Deportivo La Guaira06/09Portuguesa FCDARayo Zuliano1–1
Rayo Zuliano1–1DHZamora FC1–1
Zamora FC1–1DACaracas FC1–1
Caracas FC1–1DHMetropolitanos FC2–2
Metropolitanos FC2–2DAMonagas SC0–0
Monagas SC0–0WHTrujillanos FC1–0
Trujillanos FC1–0–ACaracas FC30/08
Caracas FC30/08–HZamora FC02/09
Zamora FC02/09–ARayo Zuliano06/09
Rayo Zuliano06/09Top Scorers
UCVJ. Cuesta10 ⚽
J. Bolivar9 ⚽
S. Sosa7 ⚽
J. Zapata4 ⚽
K. Silva4 ⚽
D. De Sousa3 ⚽
Portuguesa FCJ. Canete13 ⚽
D. Linarez4 ⚽
R. Rojas4 ⚽
J. Moreno3 ⚽
J. Gonzalez2 ⚽
O. Lopez2 ⚽
Cards Given
UCVY. Cumana12 🟨
V. Rodriguez8 🟨
F. Sole8 🟨
L. Martinez5 🟨
J. Zapata5 🟨
A. Gonzalez5 🟨
Portuguesa FCL. Lovazzano9 🟨
A. Trujillo8 🟨
E. Peraza6 🟨
K. Zuniga6 🟨
J. Gonzalez5 🟨
C. Montana4 🟨