Ecuador · Liga Pro · Championship Group - 2

Universidad Catolica

2º · 1.70 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 26d 20h

–

Macara

3º · 1.70 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 22d 19h

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Universidad Catolica and Macara meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 11 October 2026. Universidad Catolica have recorded 15 wins from 34 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.65 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Macara have won 45% of their 42 matches, with 1.26 goals scored and 1.02 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for Universidad Catolica and 1.11 for Macara. The models give Universidad Catolica a 51% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Macara win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 57%.

Season Statistics

Universidad Catolica

—

Macara

2º

Position

3º

1.70

PPG

1.70

47%

Win %

50%

1.70

Goals / game

1.37

0.90

Conceded / game

1.10

53%

BTTS %

50%

35%

Clean sheet %

38%

50%

Over 2.5 %

48%

4.4

Avg corners

4.8

14.1

Avg shots

12.9

4.8

Avg shots on target

4.3

1.6

Avg yellow cards

2.1

10.8

Avg fouls

12.5

58.8%

Avg possession

47.7%

Home vs Away

Universidad Catolica

Home (15)

—

Macara

Away (15)

2.20

PPG

1.40

67%

Win %

40%

2.47

Goals / game

1.20

0.93

Conceded / game

1.27

59%

BTTS %

50%

35%

Clean sheet %

36%

71%

Over 2.5 %

45%

4.4

Avg corners

4.8

14.1

Avg shots

12.9

4.8

Avg shots on target

4.3

1.6

Avg yellow cards

2.1

58.8%

Avg possession

47.7%

Goals Scored

	Universidad Catolica	Home	Away	Macara	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	82%	94%	71%	76%	75%	77%
Over 1.5 Scored	47%	71%	24%	33%	35%	32%
Over 2.5 Scored	18%	35%	0%	12%	20%	5%
Failed To Score	18%	6%	29%	24%	25%	23%

Goals Conceded

	Universidad Catolica	Home	Away	Macara	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	65%	65%	65%	62%	60%	64%
Over 1.5 Conceded	26%	29%	24%	29%	25%	32%
Over 2.5 Conceded	15%	24%	6%	10%	10%	9%
Clean Sheets	35%	35%	35%	38%	40%	36%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Universidad Catolica	Macara
Over 0.5	94%	88%
Over 1.5	74%	69%
Over 2.5	50%	48%
Over 3.5	29%	14%
Over 4.5	18%	5%
BTTS	53%	50%
BTTS & Win	15%	19%
BTTS & Draw	21%	14%
BTTS & Over 2.5	38%	38%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	12%	10%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Universidad Catolica	Macara
Win 1st Half	24%	29%
Draw 1st Half	50%	52%
Loss 1st Half	26%	19%
Scored 1st Half	41%	48%
Conceded 1st Half	41%	38%
Win 2nd Half	41%	36%
Draw 2nd Half	44%	43%
Loss 2nd Half	15%	21%
Scored 2nd Half	71%	52%
Conceded 2nd Half	44%	40%
Over 0.5 HT	59%	67%
Over 1.5 HT	29%	33%

Recent Venue Form

Universidad Catolica (H)

Orense SC2–1

Aucas1–1

Manta FC5–1

Tecnico Universitario5–0

Barcelona SC2–1

LDU de Quito1–0

Macara (A)

Aucas2–1

Independiente del Valle1–3

Orense SC2–1

Libertad0–1

Santos1–2

Barcelona SC2–1

Number of Corners

8.8

Corners / Match

32 games

League Avg

9.2

228 games

9.2

Corners / Match

39 games

Match Corners	Universidad Catolica	Macara	League Avg
Over 6	94%	95%	86%
Over 7	78%	79%	74%
Over 8	44%	49%	56%
Over 9	28%	41%	40%
Over 10	19%	26%	29%
Over 11	13%	15%	18%
Over 12	6%	13%	11%
Over 13	3%	3%	6%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Universidad Catolica	Macara
Corners Earned / Match	4.4	4.8
Corners Against / Match	4.4	4.4
Over 2.5 Corners For	84%	85%
Over 3.5 Corners For	66%	69%
Over 4.5 Corners For	47%	46%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	78%	85%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	59%	69%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	50%	44%

Head to Head · 20 matches

Universidad Catolica

60%

Draws

25%

Macara

15%

90%

Over 1.5

18/20

70%

Over 2.5

14/20

35%

Over 3.5

7/20

75%

BTTS

15/20

18/08/26

Macara

1–1

Universidad Catolica

24/04/26

Universidad Catolica

4–0

Macara

27/07/25

Macara

1–4

Universidad Catolica

06/04/25

Universidad Catolica

1–0

Macara

30/11/24

Macara

1–2

Universidad Catolica

02/06/24

Universidad Catolica

3–0

Macara

31/07/22

Macara

1–3

Universidad Catolica

13/03/22

Universidad Catolica

2–2

Macara

29/08/21

Macara

1–2

Universidad Catolica

01/04/21

Universidad Catolica

1–1

Macara

16/10/20

Universidad Catolica

2–1

Macara

16/02/20

Macara

1–1

Universidad Catolica

20/08/19

Universidad Catolica

1–3

Macara

30/03/19

Macara

1–0

Universidad Catolica

05/05/18

Macara

1–2

Universidad Catolica

28/04/18

Universidad Catolica

3–1

Macara

30/04/17

Macara

0–3

Universidad Catolica

23/04/17

Universidad Catolica

1–3

Macara

04/05/13

Universidad Catolica

2–1

Macara

30/03/13

Macara

1–1

Universidad Catolica

Liga Pro

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	+24	51
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	-3	39
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	-3	38
11	Emelec	30	10	9	11	-9	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	-25	21

Team Insights

Universidad Catolica

●Universidad Catolica have won their last 2 matches.
●Universidad Catolica have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
●Universidad Catolica have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
●Universidad Catolica have scored in each of their last 15 home matches.
●Universidad Catolica have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
●Universidad Catolica have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
●Universidad Catolica have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
●Universidad Catolica have scored in 15 of their 15 home matches.
●73% of Universidad Catolica's goals have been scored at home.

Macara

●Macara have won their last 2 matches.
●Macara have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
●Macara have won their last 2 home matches.
●Macara have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
●Macara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
●Macara have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
●Macara failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
●Macara have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
●Macara have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.

Universidad Catolica

WHOrense SC13º2–1

WHOrense SC7º2–1

WAAstillero FC (Ecu)1–0

WADelfin SC15º1–0

DHAucas4º1–1

DHAucas5º1–1

DAIndependiente del Valle1º2–2

WHManta FC16º5–1

Macara

WAAucas4º2–1

WAAucas5º2–1

WHEmelec11º1–0

WHEmelec8º1–0

LAIndependiente del Valle1º1–3

WHManta FC16º4–3

WAOrense SC13º2–1

WAOrense SC7º2–1

Season Schedule

Universidad Catolica

Orense SC2–1

Delfin SC1–0

Aucas1–1

Independiente del Valle2–2

Manta FC5–1

Macara1–1

–A

LDU de Quito20/09

–H

Macara11/10

–A

Barcelona SC18/10

Macara

Aucas2–1

Emelec1–0

Independiente del Valle1–3

Manta FC4–3

Orense SC2–1

Libertad0–1

–A

Universidad Catolica11/10

–H

Independiente del Valle18/10

–A

LDU de Quito25/10

Top Scorers

Universidad Catolica

J. Fajardo12 ⚽

M. Alonso8 ⚽

B. Palacios6 ⚽

E. Clavijo5 ⚽

A. Londono4 ⚽

Jhon Chancellor4 ⚽

Macara

F. Posse15 ⚽

A. I. Campana8 ⚽

M. Viera4 ⚽

F. Paz4 ⚽

M. Tello3 ⚽

L. Ferro2 ⚽

Cards Given

Universidad Catolica

Mauro Díaz5 🟨

Gregori Anangonó5 🟨

Mauricio Alonso4 🟨

José Fajardo4 🟨

Luis Cangá4 🟨

Eddy Mejía3 🟨

Macara

Santiago Etchebarne7 🟨

Jose Cazares7 🟨

Luis Ayala7 🟨

J. Estacio6 🟨

José Luis Marrufo6 🟨

Jean Carlos Estacio5 🟨

Universidad Catolica vs Macara — Liga Pro

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Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 20 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given