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Macara vs Independiente del Valle — Liga Pro

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Ecuador · Liga Pro · Championship Group - 3
Macara
Macara
3º · 1.70 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 29d 19h
vs
–
–
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
1º · 2.47 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 30d 19h
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Macara and Independiente del Valle meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Macara have recorded 19 wins from 42 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.26 goals scored and 1.02 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Independiente del Valle have won 74% of their 42 matches, with 2.21 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 36%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Macara and 1.73 for Independiente del Valle. The models give Macara a 29% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Independiente del Valle win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.

Season Statistics

Macara
—
Independiente del Valle
3º
Position
1º
1.70
PPG
2.47
50%
Win %
80%
1.37
Goals / game
2.43
1.10
Conceded / game
1.10
50%
BTTS %
55%
38%
Clean sheet %
36%
48%
Over 2.5 %
64%
4.8
Avg corners
6.3
12.9
Avg shots
17.8
4.3
Avg shots on target
6.2
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
12.5
Avg fouls
8.1
47.7%
Avg possession
56.7%

Home vs Away

Macara
Home (15)
—
Independiente del Valle
Away (15)
2.00
PPG
2.60
60%
Win %
87%
1.53
Goals / game
2.47
0.93
Conceded / game
1.20
50%
BTTS %
52%
40%
Clean sheet %
38%
50%
Over 2.5 %
62%
4.8
Avg corners
6.3
12.9
Avg shots
17.8
4.3
Avg shots on target
6.2
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
47.7%
Avg possession
56.7%

Goals Scored

MacaraHomeAwayIndependiente delHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored76%75%77%88%90%86%
Over 1.5 Scored33%35%32%69%71%67%
Over 2.5 Scored12%20%5%48%43%52%
Failed To Score24%25%23%12%10%14%

Goals Conceded

MacaraHomeAwayIndependiente delHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded62%60%64%64%67%62%
Over 1.5 Conceded29%25%32%40%33%48%
Over 2.5 Conceded10%10%9%2%5%0%
Clean Sheets38%40%36%36%33%38%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

MacaraIndependiente del
Over 0.588%98%
Over 1.569%86%
Over 2.548%64%
Over 3.514%45%
Over 4.55%29%
BTTS50%55%
BTTS & Win19%40%
BTTS & Draw14%7%
BTTS & Over 2.538%52%
BTTS No & Over 2.510%12%

1st Half / 2nd Half

MacaraIndependiente del
Win 1st Half29%55%
Draw 1st Half52%36%
Loss 1st Half19%10%
Scored 1st Half48%67%
Conceded 1st Half38%36%
Win 2nd Half36%52%
Draw 2nd Half43%21%
Loss 2nd Half21%26%
Scored 2nd Half52%64%
Conceded 2nd Half40%50%
Over 0.5 HT67%76%
Over 1.5 HT33%45%

Recent Venue Form

Macara (H)
WEmelec1–0
WManta FC4–3
DSantos0–0
DUniversidad Catolica1–1
WGuayaquil City FC2–1
WDeportivo Cuenca3–0
Independiente del (A)
DFlamengo1–1
WLibertad3–2
LBarcelona SC1–2
WLeones del Norte3–2
WDeportes Tolima1–0
WLDU de Quito2–0

Number of Corners

9.2
Corners / Match
39 games
League Avg
9.2
228 games
9.9
Corners / Match
37 games
Match CornersMacaraIndependiente delLeague Avg
Over 695%89%86%
Over 779%81%74%
Over 849%65%56%
Over 941%54%40%
Over 1026%43%29%
Over 1115%32%18%
Over 1213%19%11%
Over 133%11%6%

Team Corners

Team CornersMacaraIndependiente del
Corners Earned / Match4.86.3
Corners Against / Match4.43.6
Over 2.5 Corners For85%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For69%78%
Over 4.5 Corners For46%65%
Over 2.5 Corners Against85%59%
Over 3.5 Corners Against69%46%
Over 4.5 Corners Against44%35%

Head to Head · 22 matches

3
Macara
14%
4
Draws
18%
15
Independiente del
68%
73%
Over 1.5
16/22
45%
Over 2.5
10/22
32%
Over 3.5
7/22
41%
BTTS
9/22
05/09/26
Independiente del Valle
3–1
Macara
16/05/26
Macara
0–3
Independiente del Valle
12/07/25
Macara
1–2
Independiente del Valle
16/03/25
Independiente del Valle
1–1
Macara
24/11/24
Independiente del Valle
7–0
Macara
26/05/24
Macara
0–1
Independiente del Valle
25/09/22
Independiente del Valle
1–0
Macara
10/05/22
Macara
0–1
Independiente del Valle
01/08/21
Independiente del Valle
4–0
Macara
27/02/21
Macara
3–1
Independiente del Valle
21/12/20
Macara
1–0
Independiente del Valle
18/08/20
Independiente del Valle
4–4
Macara
12/09/19
Independiente del Valle
0–2
Macara
21/04/19
Macara
1–1
Independiente del Valle
14/07/18
Independiente del Valle
2–0
Macara
17/02/18
Macara
1–3
Independiente del Valle
20/05/17
Independiente del Valle
1–0
Macara
26/03/17
Macara
1–1
Independiente del Valle
25/05/13
Macara
1–5
Independiente del Valle
23/02/13
Independiente del Valle
3–0
Macara
Liga Pro
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
11Emelec3010911-936
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

Team Insights

Macara
  • ●Macara have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Macara have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Macara have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Macara have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Macara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
  • ●Macara have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Macara failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Macara have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Macara have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
Independiente del
  • ●Independiente del Valle have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Independiente del Valle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Independiente del Valle have scored in each of their last 21 matches.
  • ●Independiente del Valle have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Independiente del Valle have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
  • ●Independiente del Valle have scored in each of their last 13 away matches.
  • ●Independiente del Valle have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Independiente del Valle have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Independiente del Valle have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Independiente del Valle have won 13 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Independiente del Valle have scored in 14 of their 15 away matches.
MacaraMacara
WAAucas4º2–1
WAAucas5º2–1
WHEmelec11º1–0
WHEmelec8º1–0
LAIndependiente del Valle1º1–3
LAIndependiente del Valle1º1–3
WHManta FC16º4–3
WHManta FC16º4–3
WAOrense SC13º2–1
WAOrense SC7º2–1
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
DAFlamengo1º1–1
DAFlamengo1º1–1
DAFlamengo1º1–1
WALibertad7º3–2
WALibertad14º3–2
LHFlamengo1º0–2
LHFlamengo1º0–2
LHFlamengo1º0–2
WHMacara3º3–1
WHMacara10º3–1

Season Schedule

Macara
WAAucas2–1
WHEmelec1–0
LAIndependiente del Valle1–3
WHManta FC4–3
WAOrense SC2–1
LALibertad0–1
–AUniversidad Catolica11/10
–HIndependiente del Valle18/10
–ALDU de Quito25/10
Independiente del
WALibertad3–2
WHMacara3–1
LABarcelona SC1–2
DHUniversidad Catolica2–2
WALeones del Norte3–2
WHDelfin SC3–2
–HAucas11/10
–AMacara18/10
–HUniversidad Catolica25/10

Top Scorers

Macara
F. Posse15 ⚽
A. I. Campana8 ⚽
M. Viera4 ⚽
F. Paz4 ⚽
M. Tello3 ⚽
L. Ferro2 ⚽
Independiente del
C. Gonzalez15 ⚽
D. Reasco9 ⚽
M. Perello9 ⚽
E. Pata8 ⚽
J. Sornoza6 ⚽
J. Angulo6 ⚽

Cards Given

Macara
Santiago Etchebarne7 🟨
Jose Cazares7 🟨
Luis Ayala7 🟨
J. Estacio6 🟨
José Luis Marrufo6 🟨
Jean Carlos Estacio5 🟨
Independiente del
Mateo Carabajal6 🟨
Junior Sornoza6 🟨
Jhon Espinoza5 🟨
Layan Loor4 🟨
Juan Viacava4 🟨
Jhegson Méndez4 🟨