Ecuador · Liga Pro · Championship Group - 5

Independiente del Valle

1º · 2.47 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 44d 20h

–

LDU de Quito

5º · 1.53 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 45d 23h

Estadio Banco Guayaquil·Quito·Ecuador·12,600

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Independiente del Valle and LDU de Quito meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Independiente del Valle have recorded 31 wins from 42 matches this season (74% win rate), averaging 2.21 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. LDU de Quito have won 44% of their 43 matches, with 1.12 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 37%, Over 2.5 at 26%, and clean sheets at 37%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Independiente del Valle and 1.05 for LDU de Quito. The models give Independiente del Valle a 58% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an LDU de Quito win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Independiente del Valle

—

LDU de Quito

1º

Position

5º

2.47

PPG

1.53

80%

Win %

43%

2.43

Goals / game

1.03

1.10

Conceded / game

0.80

55%

BTTS %

37%

36%

Clean sheet %

37%

64%

Over 2.5 %

26%

6.3

Avg corners

5.6

17.8

Avg shots

13.6

6.2

Avg shots on target

3.4

1.8

Avg yellow cards

2.5

8.1

Avg fouls

12.9

56.7%

Avg possession

52.8%

Home vs Away

Independiente del Valle

Home (15)

—

LDU de Quito

Away (15)

2.33

PPG

1.53

73%

Win %

47%

2.40

Goals / game

1.20

1.00

Conceded / game

0.87

57%

BTTS %

40%

33%

Clean sheet %

25%

67%

Over 2.5 %

25%

6.3

Avg corners

5.6

17.8

Avg shots

13.6

6.2

Avg shots on target

3.4

1.8

Avg yellow cards

2.5

56.7%

Avg possession

52.8%

Goals Scored

	Independiente del	Home	Away	LDU de	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	88%	90%	86%	63%	61%	65%
Over 1.5 Scored	69%	71%	67%	33%	39%	25%
Over 2.5 Scored	48%	43%	52%	14%	17%	10%
Failed To Score	12%	10%	14%	37%	39%	35%

Goals Conceded

	Independiente del	Home	Away	LDU de	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	64%	67%	62%	63%	52%	75%
Over 1.5 Conceded	40%	33%	48%	21%	26%	15%
Over 2.5 Conceded	2%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	36%	33%	38%	37%	48%	25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Independiente del	LDU de
Over 0.5	98%	88%
Over 1.5	86%	60%
Over 2.5	64%	26%
Over 3.5	45%	12%
Over 4.5	29%	7%
BTTS	55%	37%
BTTS & Win	40%	19%
BTTS & Draw	7%	14%
BTTS & Over 2.5	52%	23%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	12%	2%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Independiente del	LDU de
Win 1st Half	55%	26%
Draw 1st Half	36%	49%
Loss 1st Half	10%	26%
Scored 1st Half	67%	33%
Conceded 1st Half	36%	35%
Win 2nd Half	52%	33%
Draw 2nd Half	21%	44%
Loss 2nd Half	26%	23%
Scored 2nd Half	64%	42%
Conceded 2nd Half	50%	40%
Over 0.5 HT	76%	56%
Over 1.5 HT	45%	16%

Recent Venue Form

Independiente del (H)

Flamengo0–2

Macara3–1

Universidad Catolica2–2

Deportes Tolima3–1

Delfin SC3–2

Deportivo Cuenca1–0

LDU de (A)

Palmeiras0–1

Tecnico Universitario3–1

Guayaquil City FC1–2

Aucas1–0

Mirassol1–1

Barcelona SC1–0

Number of Corners

9.9

Corners / Match

37 games

League Avg

9.2

228 games

10.4

Corners / Match

38 games

Match Corners	Independiente del	LDU de	League Avg
Over 6	89%	87%	86%
Over 7	81%	82%	74%
Over 8	65%	68%	56%
Over 9	54%	63%	40%
Over 10	43%	50%	29%
Over 11	32%	32%	18%
Over 12	19%	24%	11%
Over 13	11%	13%	6%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Independiente del	LDU de
Corners Earned / Match	6.3	5.5
Corners Against / Match	3.6	4.8
Over 2.5 Corners For	100%	87%
Over 3.5 Corners For	78%	79%
Over 4.5 Corners For	65%	58%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	59%	68%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	46%	58%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	35%	42%

Head to Head · 36 matches

Independiente del

22%

Draws

42%

LDU de

36%

81%

Over 1.5

29/36

42%

Over 2.5

15/36

22%

Over 3.5

8/36

64%

BTTS

23/36

08/08/26

LDU de Quito

0–2

Independiente del Valle

19/04/26

Independiente del Valle

0–2

LDU de Quito

10/12/25

Independiente del Valle

0–0

LDU de Quito

29/11/25

LDU de Quito

2–1

Independiente del Valle

22/06/25

LDU de Quito

1–1

Independiente del Valle

23/02/25

Independiente del Valle

1–1

LDU de Quito

14/12/24

Independiente del Valle

1–0

LDU de Quito

07/12/24

LDU de Quito

3–0

Independiente del Valle

09/11/24

LDU de Quito

2–1

Independiente del Valle

18/05/24

Independiente del Valle

1–1

LDU de Quito

17/12/23

LDU de Quito

1–1

Independiente del Valle

10/12/23

Independiente del Valle

0–0

LDU de Quito

04/11/23

LDU de Quito

2–0

Independiente del Valle

28/05/23

Independiente del Valle

2–3

LDU de Quito

17/09/22

LDU de Quito

2–2

Independiente del Valle

02/05/22

Independiente del Valle

1–0

LDU de Quito

24/10/21

LDU de Quito

0–2

Independiente del Valle

08/05/21

Independiente del Valle

3–1

LDU de Quito

18/10/20

Independiente del Valle

3–2

LDU de Quito

22/02/20

LDU de Quito

2–3

Independiente del Valle

Liga Pro

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	+24	51
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	-3	39
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	-3	38
11	Emelec	30	10	9	11	-9	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	-25	21

Team Insights

Independiente del

●Independiente del Valle have won their last 2 matches.
●Independiente del Valle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
●Independiente del Valle have scored in each of their last 21 matches.
●Independiente del Valle have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
●Independiente del Valle have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
●Independiente del Valle have scored in each of their last 13 away matches.
●Independiente del Valle have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Independiente del Valle have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
●Independiente del Valle have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
●Independiente del Valle have won 13 of their 15 away matches.
●Independiente del Valle have scored in 14 of their 15 away matches.

LDU de

●LDU de Quito have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
●LDU de Quito have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
●LDU de Quito have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
●LDU de Quito have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 home matches.
●LDU de Quito failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
●LDU de Quito have won 7 of their 15 away matches.
●LDU de Quito have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.

Independiente del Valle

DAFlamengo1º1–1

WALibertad7º3–2

WALibertad14º3–2

LHFlamengo1º0–2

WHMacara3º3–1

WHMacara10º3–1

LDU de Quito

WHPalmeiras1º3–2

WHPalmeiras2º3–2

DHDeportivo Cuenca12º1–1

DHDeportivo Cuenca2º1–1

LAPalmeiras1º0–1

LAPalmeiras2º0–1

WATecnico Universitario9º3–1

WATecnico Universitario14º3–1

Season Schedule

Independiente del

Libertad3–2

Macara3–1

Barcelona SC1–2

Universidad Catolica2–2

Leones del Norte3–2

Delfin SC3–2

–H

Aucas11/10

–A

Macara18/10

–H

Universidad Catolica25/10

LDU de

Deportivo Cuenca1–1

Tecnico Universitario3–1

Mushuc Runa SC0–0

Guayaquil City FC1–2

Emelec2–0

Aucas1–0

–H

Universidad Catolica20/09

–H

Barcelona SC11/10

–A

Aucas18/10

Top Scorers

Independiente del

C. Gonzalez15 ⚽

D. Reasco9 ⚽

M. Perello9 ⚽

E. Pata8 ⚽

J. Sornoza6 ⚽

J. Angulo6 ⚽

LDU de

Deyverson9 ⚽

M. Estrada7 ⚽

Y. Quinonez5 ⚽

Michael Estrada4 ⚽

J. Corozo4 ⚽

F. Cornejo3 ⚽

Cards Given

Independiente del

Mateo Carabajal6 🟨

Junior Sornoza6 🟨

Jhon Espinoza5 🟨

Layan Loor4 🟨

Juan Viacava4 🟨

Jhegson Méndez4 🟨

LDU de

Gian Franco Allala7 🟨

R. Mina7 🟨

Yerlin Quinonez6 🟨

Jesús Pretell5 🟨

Deyverson5 🟨

Luis Segovia4 🟨

Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito — Liga Pro

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 36 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given