Ecuador · Liga Pro · Championship Group - 6

Aucas

4º · 1.67 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 50d 20h

–

Independiente del Valle

1º · 2.47 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 51d 20h

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Aucas and Independiente del Valle meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Aucas have recorded 15 wins from 33 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.06 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Independiente del Valle have won 74% of their 42 matches, with 2.21 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 36%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.28 for Aucas and 1.80 for Independiente del Valle. The models give Aucas a 24% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Independiente del Valle win at 52%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.

Season Statistics

Aucas

—

Independiente del Valle

4º

Position

1º

1.67

PPG

2.47

47%

Win %

80%

1.10

Goals / game

2.43

0.93

Conceded / game

1.10

36%

BTTS %

55%

45%

Clean sheet %

36%

33%

Over 2.5 %

64%

5.0

Avg corners

6.3

12.5

Avg shots

17.8

4.2

Avg shots on target

6.2

2.1

Avg yellow cards

1.8

12.9

Avg fouls

8.1

53.7%

Avg possession

56.7%

Home vs Away

Aucas

Home (15)

—

Independiente del Valle

Away (15)

1.73

PPG

2.60

53%

Win %

87%

1.27

Goals / game

2.47

1.07

Conceded / game

1.20

41%

BTTS %

52%

35%

Clean sheet %

38%

41%

Over 2.5 %

62%

5.0

Avg corners

6.3

12.5

Avg shots

17.8

4.2

Avg shots on target

6.2

2.1

Avg yellow cards

1.8

53.7%

Avg possession

56.7%

Goals Scored

	Aucas	Home	Away	Independiente del	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	73%	76%	69%	88%	90%	86%
Over 1.5 Scored	24%	29%	19%	69%	71%	67%
Over 2.5 Scored	9%	18%	0%	48%	43%	52%
Failed To Score	27%	24%	31%	12%	10%	14%

Goals Conceded

	Aucas	Home	Away	Independiente del	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	55%	65%	44%	64%	67%	62%
Over 1.5 Conceded	24%	24%	25%	40%	33%	48%
Over 2.5 Conceded	12%	12%	13%	2%	5%	0%
Clean Sheets	45%	35%	56%	36%	33%	38%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Aucas	Independiente del
Over 0.5	91%	98%
Over 1.5	52%	86%
Over 2.5	33%	64%
Over 3.5	15%	45%
Over 4.5	9%	29%
BTTS	36%	55%
BTTS & Win	9%	40%
BTTS & Draw	15%	7%
BTTS & Over 2.5	24%	52%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	9%	12%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Aucas	Independiente del
Win 1st Half	27%	55%
Draw 1st Half	52%	36%
Loss 1st Half	21%	10%
Scored 1st Half	42%	67%
Conceded 1st Half	36%	36%
Win 2nd Half	39%	52%
Draw 2nd Half	30%	21%
Loss 2nd Half	30%	26%
Scored 2nd Half	48%	64%
Conceded 2nd Half	36%	50%
Over 0.5 HT	61%	76%
Over 1.5 HT	27%	45%

Recent Venue Form

Aucas (H)

Macara1–2

Barcelona SC1–1

Libertad1–0

LDU de Quito0–1

Leones del Norte3–0

Macara1–4

Independiente del (A)

Flamengo1–1

Libertad3–2

Barcelona SC1–2

Leones del Norte3–2

Deportes Tolima1–0

LDU de Quito2–0

Number of Corners

9.2

Corners / Match

29 games

League Avg

9.2

228 games

9.9

Corners / Match

37 games

Match Corners	Aucas	Independiente del	League Avg
Over 6	76%	89%	86%
Over 7	69%	81%	74%
Over 8	52%	65%	56%
Over 9	41%	54%	40%
Over 10	34%	43%	29%
Over 11	28%	32%	18%
Over 12	7%	19%	11%
Over 13	7%	11%	6%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Aucas	Independiente del
Corners Earned / Match	5.0	6.3
Corners Against / Match	4.1	3.6
Over 2.5 Corners For	86%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners For	69%	78%
Over 4.5 Corners For	55%	65%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	79%	59%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	62%	46%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	34%	35%

Head to Head · 23 matches

Aucas

22%

Draws

22%

Independiente del

57%

78%

Over 1.5

18/23

48%

Over 2.5

11/23

26%

Over 3.5

6/23

43%

BTTS

10/23

16/07/26

Aucas

0–3

Independiente del Valle

14/03/26

Independiente del Valle

2–2

Aucas

19/07/25

Independiente del Valle

2–1

Aucas

28/03/25

Aucas

1–2

Independiente del Valle

01/09/24

Aucas

0–2

Independiente del Valle

24/03/24

Independiente del Valle

1–1

Aucas

11/11/23

Aucas

2–0

Independiente del Valle

02/06/23

Independiente del Valle

2–0

Aucas

11/02/23

Independiente del Valle

3–0

Aucas

23/07/22

Aucas

5–0

Independiente del Valle

07/03/22

Independiente del Valle

1–0

Aucas

14/08/21

Independiente del Valle

1–0

Aucas

14/03/21

Aucas

3–4

Independiente del Valle

18/11/20

Aucas

3–3

Independiente del Valle

25/08/20

Independiente del Valle

1–1

Aucas

19/10/19

Independiente del Valle

4–0

Aucas

11/05/19

Aucas

2–1

Independiente del Valle

10/07/18

Aucas

3–1

Independiente del Valle

24/02/18

Independiente del Valle

1–0

Aucas

10/07/16

Independiente del Valle

2–0

Aucas

Liga Pro

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	+24	51
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	-3	39
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	-3	38
11	Emelec	30	10	9	11	-9	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	-25	21

Team Insights

Aucas

●Aucas have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
●Aucas have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
●Aucas failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
●Aucas have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 15 away matches.
●Aucas have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
●Aucas have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.

Independiente del

●Independiente del Valle have won their last 2 matches.
●Independiente del Valle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
●Independiente del Valle have scored in each of their last 21 matches.
●Independiente del Valle have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
●Independiente del Valle have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
●Independiente del Valle have scored in each of their last 13 away matches.
●Independiente del Valle have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Independiente del Valle have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
●Independiente del Valle have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
●Independiente del Valle have won 13 of their 15 away matches.
●Independiente del Valle have scored in 14 of their 15 away matches.

Aucas

LHMacara10º1–2

LHMacara3º1–2

DAManta FC16º0–0

DHBarcelona SC6º1–1

DHBarcelona SC4º1–1

DAUniversidad Catolica3º1–1

DAUniversidad Catolica2º1–1

WHLibertad7º1–0

WHLibertad14º1–0

Independiente del Valle

DAFlamengo1º1–1

WALibertad7º3–2

WALibertad14º3–2

LHFlamengo1º0–2

WHMacara3º3–1

WHMacara10º3–1

Season Schedule

Aucas

Macara1–2

Manta FC0–0

Barcelona SC1–1

Universidad Catolica1–1

Libertad1–0

Delfin SC1–0

–A

Independiente del Valle11/10

–H

LDU de Quito18/10

–H

Barcelona SC25/10

Independiente del

Libertad3–2

Macara3–1

Barcelona SC1–2

Universidad Catolica2–2

Leones del Norte3–2

Delfin SC3–2

–H

Aucas11/10

–A

Macara18/10

–H

Universidad Catolica25/10

Top Scorers

Aucas

B. Miranda6 ⚽

E. Preciado5 ⚽

R. Quinonez4 ⚽

S. Porozo3 ⚽

A. Mena3 ⚽

R. Bolanos2 ⚽

Independiente del

C. Gonzalez15 ⚽

D. Reasco9 ⚽

M. Perello9 ⚽

E. Pata8 ⚽

J. Sornoza6 ⚽

J. Angulo6 ⚽

Cards Given

Aucas

Luis Arroyo5 🟨

Jhon Ontaneda5 🟨

Agostino Spina4 🟨

Alex Zova4 🟨

Luis Gustavino4 🟨

Santiago Morales4 🟨

Independiente del

Mateo Carabajal6 🟨

Junior Sornoza6 🟨

Jhon Espinoza5 🟨

Layan Loor4 🟨

Juan Viacava4 🟨

Jhegson Méndez4 🟨

Aucas vs Independiente del Valle — Liga Pro

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Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 23 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given