Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC — Liga Pro
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Estadio Jocay·Manta·Ecuador·21,000
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Delfin SC and Mushuc Runa SC meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 11 October 2026. Delfin SC have recorded 8 wins from 31 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 0.65 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 32% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 23%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Mushuc Runa SC have won 30% of their 30 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 37%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.06 for Delfin SC and 1.01 for Mushuc Runa SC. The models give Delfin SC a 34% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Mushuc Runa SC win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 34% and BTTS at 41%.
Season Statistics
Delfin SC—
Mushuc Runa SC15º
Position
10º
0.93
PPG
1.27
23%
Win %
30%
0.63
Goals / game
1.17
1.03
Conceded / game
1.27
32%
BTTS %
57%
29%
Clean sheet %
37%
23%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.6
Avg corners
5.1
10.5
Avg shots
12.5
3.1
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.2
12.3
Avg fouls
11.7
39.9%
Avg possession
48.5%
Home vs Away
Delfin SC
Home (15)
—
Mushuc Runa SC
Away (15)
1.40
PPG
0.93
40%
Win %
20%
0.67
Goals / game
1.27
0.67
Conceded / game
1.60
25%
BTTS %
73%
44%
Clean sheet %
20%
13%
Over 2.5 %
67%
3.6
Avg corners
5.1
10.5
Avg shots
12.5
3.1
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.2
39.9%
Avg possession
48.5%
Goals Scored
| Delfin SC | Home | Away | Mushuc Runa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 63% | 50% | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 9% | 6% | 13% | 30% | 27% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 7% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 38% | 50% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Delfin SC | Home | Away | Mushuc Runa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 56% | 88% | 63% | 47% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 19% | 6% | 31% | 40% | 27% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 13% | 20% | 13% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 44% | 13% | 37% | 53% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Delfin SC | Mushuc Runa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 38% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 22% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 13% |
| BTTS | 34% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 3% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 19% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Delfin SC | Mushuc Runa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 31% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 47% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 9% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Delfin SC (H)L
Universidad Catolica0–1
Universidad Catolica0–1W
Tecnico Universitario1–0
Tecnico Universitario1–0L
Aucas0–1
Aucas0–1D
Orense SC1–1
Orense SC1–1L
Leones del Norte0–1
Leones del Norte0–1W
Macara2–1
Macara2–1Mushuc Runa (A)L
Guayaquil City FC1–3
Guayaquil City FC1–3D
LDU de Quito0–0
LDU de Quito0–0D
Deportivo Cuenca0–0
Deportivo Cuenca0–0WTecnico Universitario3–0
Tecnico Universitario3–0W
Manta FC2–1
Manta FC2–1D
Emelec1–1
Emelec1–1Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
29 games
League Avg
9.2
228 games
9.8
Corners / Match
28 games
| Match Corners | Delfin SC | Mushuc Runa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 93% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 62% | 79% | 74% |
| Over 8 | 52% | 61% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 34% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 24% | 39% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 18% | 18% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 11% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 3% | 7% | 6% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Delfin SC | Mushuc Runa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 59% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 45% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 31% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 76% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 59% | 43% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
8
Delfin SC
44%
2
Draws
11%
8
Mushuc Runa
44%
78%
Over 1.5
14/18
50%
Over 2.5
9/18
33%
Over 3.5
6/18
39%
BTTS
7/18
28/08/26Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1–0Delfin SC03/05/26Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
1–0Mushuc Runa SC15/06/25Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
3–1Mushuc Runa SC18/02/25Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2–0Delfin SC08/11/24Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
4–2Mushuc Runa SC19/05/24Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
5–0Delfin SC16/09/23Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2–0Delfin SC16/04/23Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
3–0Mushuc Runa SC25/09/22Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
0–0Mushuc Runa SC09/04/22Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1–2Delfin SC28/11/21Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
3–0Mushuc Runa SC17/07/21Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
6–1Delfin SC19/12/20Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2–0Delfin SC20/09/20Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
4–1Mushuc Runa SC17/08/19Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2–0Delfin SC31/03/19Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
1–0Mushuc Runa SC26/06/16Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
5–1Delfin SC06/03/16Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
1–1Mushuc Runa SC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | +40 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +24 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | +5 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +7 | 46 |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 |  Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -25 | 21 |
Team Insights
Delfin SC- ●Delfin SC have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Delfin SC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Delfin SC have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Delfin SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Delfin SC have lost 10 of their 16 away matches.
- ●69% of Delfin SC's goals conceded were conceded away.
Mushuc Runa- ●Mushuc Runa SC have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Mushuc Runa SC have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mushuc Runa SC have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Mushuc Runa SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Mushuc Runa SC have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
Delfin SCDATecnico Universitario1–1
Tecnico Universitario1–1DABarcelona SC1–1
Barcelona SC1–1LHUniversidad Catolica0–1
Universidad Catolica0–1WHTecnico Universitario1–0
Tecnico Universitario1–0LAMushuc Runa SC0–1
Mushuc Runa SC0–1LHAucas0–1
Aucas0–1–HMushuc Runa SC11/10
Mushuc Runa SC11/10–HManta FC18/10
Manta FC18/10–AOrense SC25/10
Orense SC25/10Mushuc RunaLAGuayaquil City FC1–3
Guayaquil City FC1–3DHLeones del Norte1–1
Leones del Norte1–1DALDU de Quito0–0
LDU de Quito0–0WHDelfin SC1–0
Delfin SC1–0DADeportivo Cuenca0–0
Deportivo Cuenca0–0DHBarcelona SC0–0
Barcelona SC0–0–ADelfin SC11/10
Delfin SC11/10–HOrense SC18/10
Orense SC18/10–ATecnico Universitario25/10
Tecnico Universitario25/10Top Scorers
Delfin SCF. Ayunta8 ⚽
K. Ushina3 ⚽
E. Mendoza3 ⚽
A. Bedoya2 ⚽
M. Mejia1 ⚽
T. Ozaeta1 ⚽
Mushuc RunaR. Carrillo10 ⚽
R. Ibarra5 ⚽
C. Angulo4 ⚽
F. Mina3 ⚽
K. Velasco2 ⚽
F. Castelli2 ⚽
Cards Given
Delfin SCErick Zúñiga4 🟨
Mateo Burdisso4 🟨
A. Bedoya4 🟨
Enzo Rubio4 🟨
J. Morocho4 🟨
Brian Heras3 🟨
Mushuc RunaNicolás Davila6 🟨
Ronie Carrillo4 🟨
Kevin Peralta4 🟨
Cristopher Angulo4 🟨
Jackson González4 🟨
Freddy Mina3 🟨