Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC — Liga Pro
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Mushuc Runa SC and Orense SC meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Mushuc Runa SC have recorded 9 wins from 30 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 37% of games. Orense SC have won 29% of their 31 matches, with 1.16 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Mushuc Runa SC and 0.90 for Orense SC. The models give Mushuc Runa SC a 47% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Orense SC win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Mushuc Runa SC—
Orense SC10º
Position
13º
1.27
PPG
1.10
30%
Win %
30%
1.17
Goals / game
1.20
1.27
Conceded / game
1.57
57%
BTTS %
61%
37%
Clean sheet %
16%
50%
Over 2.5 %
58%
5.1
Avg corners
4.4
12.5
Avg shots
11.1
3.8
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.5
11.7
Avg fouls
11.7
48.5%
Avg possession
52.2%
Home vs Away
Mushuc Runa SC
Home (15)
—
Orense SC
Away (15)
1.60
PPG
0.80
40%
Win %
20%
1.07
Goals / game
0.87
0.93
Conceded / game
1.67
40%
BTTS %
53%
53%
Clean sheet %
13%
33%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.1
Avg corners
4.4
12.5
Avg shots
11.1
3.8
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.5
48.5%
Avg possession
52.2%
Goals Scored
| Mushuc Runa | Home | Away | Orense SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 67% | 80% | 71% | 81% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 27% | 33% | 32% | 44% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 13% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 33% | 20% | 29% | 19% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Mushuc Runa | Home | Away | Orense SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 47% | 80% | 84% | 81% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 27% | 53% | 52% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 13% | 27% | 19% | 13% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 53% | 20% | 16% | 19% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mushuc Runa | Orense SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 16% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS | 57% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mushuc Runa | Orense SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Mushuc Runa (H)D
Leones del Norte1–1
Leones del Norte1–1W
Delfin SC1–0
Delfin SC1–0D
Barcelona SC0–0
Barcelona SC0–0L
Libertad0–2
Libertad0–2WOrense SC2–1
Orense SC2–1L
Independiente del Valle1–4
Independiente del Valle1–4Orense SC (A)L
Universidad Catolica1–2
Universidad Catolica1–2LLeones del Norte0–1
Leones del Norte0–1LBarcelona SC0–3
Barcelona SC0–3DDelfin SC1–1
Delfin SC1–1LLibertad0–3
Libertad0–3LMushuc Runa SC1–2
Mushuc Runa SC1–2Number of Corners
9.8
Corners / Match
28 games
League Avg
9.2
228 games
9.1
Corners / Match
27 games
| Match Corners | Mushuc Runa | Orense SC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 81% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 79% | 70% | 74% |
| Over 8 | 61% | 48% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 39% | 26% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 15% | 18% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 15% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 7% | 6% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Mushuc Runa | Orense SC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.1 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 82% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 61% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 79% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 61% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 44% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
9
Mushuc Runa
47%
6
Draws
32%
4
Orense SC
21%
63%
Over 1.5
12/19
47%
Over 2.5
9/19
26%
Over 3.5
5/19
42%
BTTS
8/19
20/07/26Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2–1Orense SC19/03/26Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
3–2Mushuc Runa SC14/09/25Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
3–1Mushuc Runa SC17/05/25Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2–5Orense SC06/03/25Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2–1Orense SC22/09/24Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3–0Orense SC06/04/24Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2–2Mushuc Runa SC11/11/23Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
1–0Mushuc Runa SC03/06/23Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3–1Orense SC13/08/22Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1–1Orense SC03/04/22Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
0–0Mushuc Runa SC25/09/21Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
0–0Orense SC12/04/21Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
0–2Mushuc Runa SC08/12/20Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
0–0Orense SC01/09/20Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
0–2Mushuc Runa SC17/11/18Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3–0Orense SC04/08/18Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
0–0Mushuc Runa SC03/06/18Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
0–1Mushuc Runa SC14/04/18Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1–0Orense SC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | +40 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +24 | 51 |
| 3 |  Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 |  Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | +5 | 50 |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +7 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -25 | 21 |
Team Insights
Mushuc Runa- ●Mushuc Runa SC have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Mushuc Runa SC have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mushuc Runa SC have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Mushuc Runa SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Mushuc Runa SC have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Orense SC- ●Orense SC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Orense SC have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Orense SC have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Orense SC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Orense SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Orense SC have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Orense SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Orense SC have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●64% of Orense SC's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Mushuc RunaLAGuayaquil City FC1–3
Guayaquil City FC1–3DHLeones del Norte1–1
Leones del Norte1–1DALDU de Quito0–0
LDU de Quito0–0WHDelfin SC1–0
Delfin SC1–0DADeportivo Cuenca0–0
Deportivo Cuenca0–0DHBarcelona SC0–0
Barcelona SC0–0–ADelfin SC11/10
Delfin SC11/10–HOrense SC18/10
Orense SC18/10–ATecnico Universitario25/10
Tecnico Universitario25/10Orense SCLAUniversidad Catolica1–2
Universidad Catolica1–2WHGuayaquil City FC4–3
Guayaquil City FC4–3LALeones del Norte0–1
Leones del Norte0–1LHMacara1–2
Macara1–2LABarcelona SC0–3
Barcelona SC0–3WHDeportivo Cuenca2–0
Deportivo Cuenca2–0–AManta FC21/09
Manta FC21/09–HDeportivo Cuenca11/10
Deportivo Cuenca11/10–AMushuc Runa SC18/10
Mushuc Runa SC18/10Top Scorers
Mushuc RunaR. Carrillo10 ⚽
R. Ibarra5 ⚽
C. Angulo4 ⚽
F. Mina3 ⚽
K. Velasco2 ⚽
F. Castelli2 ⚽
Orense SCA. Herrera10 ⚽
M. Bermudez4 ⚽
V. Burgoa4 ⚽
S. Vasquez3 ⚽
A. Mena3 ⚽
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez2 ⚽
Cards Given
Mushuc RunaNicolás Davila6 🟨
Ronie Carrillo4 🟨
Kevin Peralta4 🟨
Cristopher Angulo4 🟨
Jackson González4 🟨
Freddy Mina3 🟨
Orense SCÓscar Quiñónez8 🟨
Beder Caicedo6 🟨
Paul Charpentier6 🟨
Sixto Mina4 🟨
Renny Jaramillo4 🟨
Pedro Velasco4 🟨