Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC — Liga Pro
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Estadio 9 de Mayo·Machala·Ecuador·16,456
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Orense SC and Mushuc Runa SC meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Orense SC have recorded 9 wins from 33 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.12 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Mushuc Runa SC have won 28% of their 32 matches, with 1.19 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 34%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Orense SC and 1.32 for Mushuc Runa SC. The models give Orense SC a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Mushuc Runa SC win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Orense SC—
Mushuc Runa SC13º
Position
10º
1.10
PPG
1.27
30%
Win %
30%
1.20
Goals / game
1.17
1.57
Conceded / game
1.27
61%
BTTS %
59%
18%
Clean sheet %
34%
58%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.5
Avg corners
5.1
11.4
Avg shots
12.2
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
11.8
Avg fouls
11.5
52.6%
Avg possession
47.6%
Home vs Away
Orense SC
Home (15)
—
Mushuc Runa SC
Away (15)
1.40
PPG
0.93
40%
Win %
20%
1.53
Goals / game
1.27
1.47
Conceded / game
1.60
65%
BTTS %
76%
24%
Clean sheet %
18%
53%
Over 2.5 %
65%
4.5
Avg corners
5.1
11.4
Avg shots
12.2
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
52.6%
Avg possession
47.6%
Goals Scored
| Orense SC | Home | Away | Mushuc Runa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 76% | 63% | 75% | 67% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 41% | 19% | 31% | 27% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 12% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 24% | 38% | 25% | 33% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Orense SC | Home | Away | Mushuc Runa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 76% | 88% | 66% | 47% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 47% | 56% | 41% | 27% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 12% | 25% | 22% | 13% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 24% | 13% | 34% | 53% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Orense SC | Mushuc Runa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 15% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 16% |
| BTTS | 61% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Orense SC | Mushuc Runa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Orense SC (H)D
Deportivo Cuenca0–0
Deportivo Cuenca0–0W
Guayaquil City FC4–3
Guayaquil City FC4–3L
Macara1–2
Macara1–2WDeportivo Cuenca2–0
Deportivo Cuenca2–0L
Independiente del Valle2–3
Independiente del Valle2–3W
Aucas2–1
Aucas2–1Mushuc Runa (A)L
Delfin SC2–3
Delfin SC2–3DDeportivo Cuenca1–1
Deportivo Cuenca1–1LGuayaquil City FC1–3
Guayaquil City FC1–3D
LDU de Quito0–0
LDU de Quito0–0DDeportivo Cuenca0–0
Deportivo Cuenca0–0W
Tecnico Universitario3–0
Tecnico Universitario3–0Number of Corners
9.1
Corners / Match
29 games
League Avg
9.3
240 games
9.6
Corners / Match
30 games
| Match Corners | Orense SC | Mushuc Runa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 90% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 72% | 77% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 52% | 60% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 47% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 24% | 37% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 17% | 18% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 10% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 7% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Orense SC | Mushuc Runa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 79% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 48% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 40% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
4
Orense SC
21%
6
Draws
32%
9
Mushuc Runa
47%
63%
Over 1.5
12/19
47%
Over 2.5
9/19
26%
Over 3.5
5/19
42%
BTTS
8/19
20/07/26Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2–1Orense SC19/03/26Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
3–2Mushuc Runa SC14/09/25Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
3–1Mushuc Runa SC17/05/25Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2–5Orense SC06/03/25Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2–1Orense SC22/09/24Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3–0Orense SC06/04/24Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2–2Mushuc Runa SC11/11/23Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
1–0Mushuc Runa SC03/06/23Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3–1Orense SC13/08/22Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1–1Orense SC03/04/22Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
0–0Mushuc Runa SC25/09/21Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
0–0Orense SC12/04/21Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
0–2Mushuc Runa SC08/12/20Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
0–0Orense SC01/09/20Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
0–2Mushuc Runa SC17/11/18Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3–0Orense SC04/08/18Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
0–0Mushuc Runa SC03/06/18Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
0–1Mushuc Runa SC14/04/18Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1–0Orense SC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 31 | 25 | 2 | 4 | +41 | 77 |
| 2 | Macara | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | +10 | 57 |
| 3 | LDU de Quito | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | +9 | 52 |
| 4 |  Universidad Catolica | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | +22 | 51 |
| 5 | Aucas | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | +3 | 50 |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | +6 | 44 |
| 7 |  Libertad | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | +3 | 47 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | -2 | 43 |
| 9 |  Leones del Norte | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 |  Emelec | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -11 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -12 | 38 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | -12 | 34 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 32 | 10 | 3 | 19 | -15 | 33 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -23 | 27 |
Team Insights
Orense SC- ●Orense SC have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Orense SC have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Orense SC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Orense SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Orense SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Orense SC have lost 10 of their 16 away matches.
- ●62% of Orense SC's goals have been scored at home.
Mushuc Runa- ●Mushuc Runa SC have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Mushuc Runa SC have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mushuc Runa SC have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Mushuc Runa SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Mushuc Runa SC have scored in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●67% of Mushuc Runa SC's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Mushuc Runa SC have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Orense SCDHDeportivo Cuenca0–0
Deportivo Cuenca0–0LAManta FC1–2
Manta FC1–2LAUniversidad Catolica1–2
Universidad Catolica1–2WHGuayaquil City FC4–3
Guayaquil City FC4–3LALeones del Norte0–1
Leones del Norte0–1LHMacara1–2
Macara1–2–AMushuc Runa SC18/10
Mushuc Runa SC18/10–HDelfin SC25/10
Delfin SC25/10–HTecnico Universitario01/11
Tecnico Universitario01/11Mushuc RunaLADelfin SC2–3
Delfin SC2–3DADeportivo Cuenca1–1
Deportivo Cuenca1–1LAGuayaquil City FC1–3
Guayaquil City FC1–3DHLeones del Norte1–1
Leones del Norte1–1DALDU de Quito0–0
LDU de Quito0–0WHDelfin SC1–0
Delfin SC1–0–HOrense SC18/10
Orense SC18/10–ATecnico Universitario25/10
Tecnico Universitario25/10–HManta FC01/11
Manta FC01/11Top Scorers
Orense SCA. Herrera10 ⚽
M. Bermudez4 ⚽
V. Burgoa4 ⚽
S. Vasquez3 ⚽
A. Mena3 ⚽
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez2 ⚽
Mushuc RunaR. Carrillo10 ⚽
R. Ibarra5 ⚽
C. Angulo4 ⚽
F. Mina3 ⚽
K. Velasco2 ⚽
F. Castelli2 ⚽
Cards Given
Orense SCÓscar Quiñónez8 🟨
Beder Caicedo6 🟨
Paul Charpentier6 🟨
Pedro Velasco5 🟨
Sixto Mina4 🟨
Renny Jaramillo4 🟨
Mushuc RunaNicolás Davila6 🟨
Cristopher Angulo5 🟨
Jackson González4 🟨
José Hernández4 🟨
Kevin Peralta4 🟨
Ronie Carrillo4 🟨