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Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC — Liga Pro

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Ecuador · Liga Pro · Placement Group - 3
Libertad
Libertad
7º · 1.37 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 20h
vs
–
–
Guayaquil City FC
Guayaquil City FC
9º · 1.30 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 22h
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne·Loja·Ecuador·15,281
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Libertad and Guayaquil City FC meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Libertad have recorded 12 wins from 32 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Guayaquil City FC have won 32% of their 34 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 26%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Libertad and 1.12 for Guayaquil City FC. The models give Libertad a 46% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Guayaquil City FC win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.

Season Statistics

Libertad
—
Guayaquil City FC
7º
Position
9º
1.37
PPG
1.30
37%
Win %
33%
1.10
Goals / game
1.10
1.13
Conceded / game
1.20
47%
BTTS %
53%
31%
Clean sheet %
26%
47%
Over 2.5 %
41%
3.9
Avg corners
3.1
11.4
Avg shots
8.8
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.3
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.0
11.5
Avg fouls
8.4
45.0%
Avg possession
55.3%

Home vs Away

Libertad
Home (15)
—
Guayaquil City FC
Away (15)
1.80
PPG
1.00
53%
Win %
27%
1.33
Goals / game
1.13
1.00
Conceded / game
1.53
47%
BTTS %
53%
40%
Clean sheet %
18%
47%
Over 2.5 %
41%
3.9
Avg corners
3.1
11.4
Avg shots
8.8
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.3
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.0
45.0%
Avg possession
55.3%

Goals Scored

LibertadHomeAwayGuayaquil CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored69%80%59%68%65%71%
Over 1.5 Scored31%40%24%29%35%24%
Over 2.5 Scored9%13%6%12%6%18%
Failed To Score31%20%41%32%35%29%

Goals Conceded

LibertadHomeAwayGuayaquil CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded69%60%76%74%65%82%
Over 1.5 Conceded38%27%47%29%18%41%
Over 2.5 Conceded13%13%12%9%6%12%
Clean Sheets31%40%24%26%35%18%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

LibertadGuayaquil City
Over 0.591%88%
Over 1.563%56%
Over 2.547%41%
Over 3.519%24%
Over 4.59%12%
BTTS47%53%
BTTS & Win16%18%
BTTS & Draw16%18%
BTTS & Over 2.538%41%
BTTS No & Over 2.59%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

LibertadGuayaquil City
Win 1st Half22%15%
Draw 1st Half47%53%
Loss 1st Half31%32%
Scored 1st Half38%32%
Conceded 1st Half38%47%
Win 2nd Half31%35%
Draw 2nd Half38%38%
Loss 2nd Half31%26%
Scored 2nd Half47%50%
Conceded 2nd Half50%38%
Over 0.5 HT59%62%
Over 1.5 HT25%26%

Recent Venue Form

Libertad (H)
LIndependiente del Valle2–3
DEmelec1–1
WMacara1–0
WUniversidad Catolica2–1
WOrense SC3–0
WDelfin SC1–0
Guayaquil City (A)
LOrense SC3–4
LDeportivo Cuenca0–1
WTecnico Universitario3–2
LMacara1–2
DLeones del Norte1–1
DBarcelona SC1–1

Number of Corners

9.5
Corners / Match
29 games
League Avg
9.2
228 games
7.8
Corners / Match
29 games
Match CornersLibertadGuayaquil CityLeague Avg
Over 690%72%86%
Over 783%52%74%
Over 869%31%56%
Over 945%28%40%
Over 1028%14%29%
Over 1117%7%18%
Over 1214%0%11%
Over 1310%0%6%

Team Corners

Team CornersLibertadGuayaquil City
Corners Earned / Match3.93.1
Corners Against / Match5.74.7
Over 2.5 Corners For66%62%
Over 3.5 Corners For55%41%
Over 4.5 Corners For41%31%
Over 2.5 Corners Against90%76%
Over 3.5 Corners Against79%69%
Over 4.5 Corners Against59%45%

Head to Head · 4 matches

1
Libertad
25%
2
Draws
50%
1
Guayaquil City
25%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
25%
Over 2.5
1/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
15/08/26
Guayaquil City FC
2–2
Libertad
21/04/26
Libertad
0–1
Guayaquil City FC
10/10/23
Libertad
1–0
Guayaquil City FC
06/05/23
Guayaquil City FC
1–1
Libertad
Liga Pro
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
11Emelec3010911-936
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

Team Insights

Libertad
  • ●Libertad have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
  • ●Libertad have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Libertad have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Libertad failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
Guayaquil City
  • ●Guayaquil City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Guayaquil City FC have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
  • ●Guayaquil City FC have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Guayaquil City FC have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Guayaquil City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
  • ●Guayaquil City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Guayaquil City FC have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
LibertadLibertad
WAEmelec8º2–1
WAEmelec11º2–1
LHIndependiente del Valle1º2–3
LHIndependiente del Valle1º2–3
WADeportivo Cuenca12º1–0
WADeportivo Cuenca2º1–0
DHEmelec11º1–1
DHEmelec8º1–1
LAAucas4º0–1
LAAucas5º0–1
Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC
DHLeones del Norte8º1–1
DHLeones del Norte13º1–1
WHMushuc Runa SC12º3–1
WHMushuc Runa SC10º3–1
LAOrense SC13º3–4
LAOrense SC7º3–4
LADeportivo Cuenca12º0–1
LADeportivo Cuenca2º0–1
WHLDU de Quito5º2–1
WHLDU de Quito6º2–1

Season Schedule

Libertad
WAEmelec2–1
LHIndependiente del Valle2–3
WADeportivo Cuenca1–0
DHEmelec1–1
LAAucas0–1
WHMacara1–0
–HLeones del Norte11/10
–HGuayaquil City FC18/10
–ALeones del Norte25/10
Guayaquil City
DHLeones del Norte1–1
WHMushuc Runa SC3–1
LAOrense SC3–4
LADeportivo Cuenca0–1
WHLDU de Quito2–1
WATecnico Universitario3–2
–HEmelec11/10
–ALibertad18/10
–AEmelec25/10

Top Scorers

Libertad
V. Branda8 ⚽
A. Chere5 ⚽
G. J. Cortez Casierra4 ⚽
I. Zambrano3 ⚽
E. Caicedo2 ⚽
B. Caicedo2 ⚽
Guayaquil City
E. Mero12 ⚽
D. Diaz5 ⚽
D. Dorregaray4 ⚽
P. Gonzalez3 ⚽
M. Bolanos3 ⚽
Edinson Mero2 ⚽

Cards Given

Libertad
Bryan Caicedo8 🟨
Jackson Rodríguez7 🟨
Cristhian Valencia4 🟨
B. Caicedo4 🟨
G. J. Cortez Casierra4 🟨
D. Coronel3 🟨
Guayaquil City
Roger Arias8 🟨
Damián Díaz5 🟨
R. Arias4 🟨
Jean Humanante3 🟨
D. Arroyo3 🟨
Anderson Naula3 🟨