Ecuador · Liga Pro · Placement Group - 4

Emelec

11º · 1.30 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 21h

–

Guayaquil City FC

9º · 1.30 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 23h

Estadio George Capwell·Guayaquil·Ecuador·36,007

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Emelec and Guayaquil City FC meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Emelec have recorded 10 wins from 31 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 0.84 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 23%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Guayaquil City FC have won 32% of their 34 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 26%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Emelec and 1.08 for Guayaquil City FC. The models give Emelec a 42% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Guayaquil City FC win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.

Season Statistics

Emelec

—

Guayaquil City FC

11º

Position

9º

1.30

PPG

1.30

33%

Win %

33%

0.83

Goals / game

1.10

1.13

Conceded / game

1.20

42%

BTTS %

53%

32%

Clean sheet %

26%

23%

Over 2.5 %

41%

4.6

Avg corners

3.1

11.5

Avg shots

8.8

3.6

Avg shots on target

3.3

2.1

Avg yellow cards

2.0

10.8

Avg fouls

8.4

47.7%

Avg possession

55.3%

Home vs Away

Emelec

Home (15)

—

Guayaquil City FC

Away (15)

1.87

PPG

1.00

53%

Win %

27%

1.13

Goals / game

1.13

0.87

Conceded / game

1.53

50%

BTTS %

53%

38%

Clean sheet %

18%

31%

Over 2.5 %

41%

4.6

Avg corners

3.1

11.5

Avg shots

8.8

3.6

Avg shots on target

3.3

2.1

Avg yellow cards

2.0

47.7%

Avg possession

55.3%

Goals Scored

	Emelec	Home	Away	Guayaquil City	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	65%	81%	47%	68%	65%	71%
Over 1.5 Scored	19%	31%	7%	29%	35%	24%
Over 2.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	12%	6%	18%
Failed To Score	35%	19%	53%	32%	35%	29%

Goals Conceded

	Emelec	Home	Away	Guayaquil City	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	68%	63%	73%	74%	65%	82%
Over 1.5 Conceded	32%	25%	40%	29%	18%	41%
Over 2.5 Conceded	6%	6%	7%	9%	6%	12%
Clean Sheets	32%	38%	27%	26%	35%	18%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Emelec	Guayaquil City
Over 0.5	90%	88%
Over 1.5	71%	56%
Over 2.5	23%	41%
Over 3.5	6%	24%
Over 4.5	3%	12%
BTTS	42%	53%
BTTS & Win	10%	18%
BTTS & Draw	19%	18%
BTTS & Over 2.5	23%	41%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Emelec	Guayaquil City
Win 1st Half	19%	15%
Draw 1st Half	55%	53%
Loss 1st Half	26%	32%
Scored 1st Half	32%	32%
Conceded 1st Half	39%	47%
Win 2nd Half	29%	35%
Draw 2nd Half	32%	38%
Loss 2nd Half	39%	26%
Scored 2nd Half	42%	50%
Conceded 2nd Half	48%	38%
Over 0.5 HT	58%	62%
Over 1.5 HT	29%	26%

Recent Venue Form

Emelec (H)

Libertad1–2

Manta FC1–0

Leones del Norte2–1

Tecnico Universitario2–1

Aucas0–2

Mushuc Runa SC1–1

Guayaquil City (A)

Orense SC3–4

Deportivo Cuenca0–1

Tecnico Universitario3–2

Macara1–2

Leones del Norte1–1

Barcelona SC1–1

Number of Corners

9.8

Corners / Match

28 games

League Avg

9.2

228 games

7.8

Corners / Match

29 games

Match Corners	Emelec	Guayaquil City	League Avg
Over 6	86%	72%	86%
Over 7	71%	52%	74%
Over 8	57%	31%	56%
Over 9	43%	28%	40%
Over 10	39%	14%	29%
Over 11	32%	7%	18%
Over 12	21%	0%	11%
Over 13	11%	0%	6%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Emelec	Guayaquil City
Corners Earned / Match	4.6	3.1
Corners Against / Match	5.2	4.7
Over 2.5 Corners For	82%	62%
Over 3.5 Corners For	68%	41%
Over 4.5 Corners For	36%	31%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	82%	76%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	75%	69%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	54%	45%

Head to Head · 22 matches

Emelec

41%

Draws

41%

Guayaquil City

18%

41%

Over 1.5

9/22

36%

Over 2.5

8/22

14%

Over 3.5

3/22

32%

BTTS

7/22

10/08/26

Guayaquil City FC

0–0

Emelec

18/04/26

Emelec

1–3

Guayaquil City FC

22/10/25

Guayaquil City FC

0–0

Emelec

04/11/23

Guayaquil City FC

0–0

Emelec

30/05/23

Emelec

0–0

Guayaquil City FC

12/02/23

Emelec

2–0

Guayaquil City FC

24/07/22

Guayaquil City FC

0–0

Emelec

05/03/22

Emelec

2–2

Guayaquil City FC

31/10/21

Guayaquil City FC

0–1

Emelec

16/05/21

Emelec

1–0

Guayaquil City FC

19/10/20

Guayaquil City FC

1–0

Emelec

23/02/20

Emelec

1–2

Guayaquil City FC

01/09/19

Emelec

2–1

Guayaquil City FC

14/04/19

Guayaquil City FC

1–0

Emelec

01/07/18

Emelec

2–1

Guayaquil City FC

06/03/18

Guayaquil City FC

0–3

Emelec

02/07/17

Emelec

1–0

Guayaquil City FC

04/02/17

Guayaquil City FC

0–0

Emelec

22/07/16

Guayaquil City FC

0–1

Emelec

08/05/16

Emelec

3–3

Guayaquil City FC

Liga Pro

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	+24	51
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	-3	39
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	-3	38
11	Emelec	30	10	9	11	-9	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	-25	21

Team Insights

Emelec

●Emelec have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
●Emelec failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
●69% of Emelec's goals have been scored at home.

Guayaquil City

●Guayaquil City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
●Guayaquil City FC have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
●Guayaquil City FC have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
●Guayaquil City FC have lost their last 2 away matches.
●Guayaquil City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
●Guayaquil City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
●Guayaquil City FC have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.

Emelec

LHLibertad7º1–2

LHLibertad14º1–2

LAMacara3º0–1

LAMacara10º0–1

WHManta FC16º1–0

DALibertad7º1–1

DALibertad14º1–1

WHLeones del Norte8º2–1

WHLeones del Norte13º2–1

Guayaquil City FC

DHLeones del Norte8º1–1

DHLeones del Norte13º1–1

WHMushuc Runa SC12º3–1

WHMushuc Runa SC10º3–1

LAOrense SC13º3–4

LAOrense SC7º3–4

LADeportivo Cuenca12º0–1

LADeportivo Cuenca2º0–1

WHLDU de Quito5º2–1

WHLDU de Quito6º2–1

Season Schedule

Emelec

Libertad1–2

Macara0–1

Manta FC1–0

Libertad1–1

Leones del Norte2–1

LDU de Quito0–2

–A

Guayaquil City FC11/10

–A

Leones del Norte18/10

–H

Guayaquil City FC25/10

Guayaquil City

Leones del Norte1–1

Mushuc Runa SC3–1

Orense SC3–4

Deportivo Cuenca0–1

LDU de Quito2–1

Tecnico Universitario3–2

–H

Emelec11/10

–A

Libertad18/10

–A

Emelec25/10

Top Scorers

Emelec

L. Klimowicz7 ⚽

J. Ruiz4 ⚽

R. Caicedo2 ⚽

A. Leguizamon2 ⚽

I. Guerrico2 ⚽

S. Quintero2 ⚽

Guayaquil City

E. Mero12 ⚽

D. Diaz5 ⚽

D. Dorregaray4 ⚽

P. Gonzalez3 ⚽

M. Bolanos3 ⚽

Edinson Mero2 ⚽

Cards Given

Emelec

Ignacio Guerrico7 🟨

Víctor Griffith6 🟨

Aníbal Leguizamón6 🟨

A. Leguizamon5 🟨

Stalin Valencia4 🟨

Angelo Mina3 🟨

Guayaquil City

Roger Arias8 🟨

Damián Díaz5 🟨

R. Arias4 🟨

Jean Humanante3 🟨

D. Arroyo3 🟨

Anderson Naula3 🟨

Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC — Liga Pro

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 22 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given